Wednesday, April 16, 2025

Move fast and break things

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Diplomat Magazine
Diplomat Magazinehttp://www.diplomatmagazine.eu
DIPLOMAT MAGAZINE “For diplomats, by diplomats” Reaching out the world from the European Union First diplomatic publication based in The Netherlands. Founded by members of the diplomatic corps on June 19th, 2013. "Diplomat Magazine is inspiring diplomats, civil servants and academics to contribute to a free flow of ideas through an extremely rich diplomatic life, full of exclusive events and cultural exchanges, as well as by exposing profound ideas and political debates in our printed and online editions." Dr. Mayelinne De Lara, Publisher

By John Dunkelgrün

Up until eleven years ago, Facebook’s internal motto, coined by its founder Mark Zuckerberg, encapsulated the company’s bold vision.

This motto is particularly fitting for a company with ambitious plans to redefine traditional practices. Facebook and WhatsApp transformed personal communication by offering easier, faster, and cheaper ways to connect, rendering traditional mail services almost obsolete. Similarly, Amazon revolutionized the retail industry by providing an unparalleled selection of goods that could be purchased conveniently and affordably from anywhere, delivering them swiftly to people’s doorsteps. While this shift significantly impacted many small businesses, the plan succeeded, ultimately benefiting consumers.

Likewise, Apple’s iPhone disrupted and destroyed Nokia’s mobile phone business but created to an entirely new industry centered on smartphones.

In the business world, the concept of “move fast and break things” is commonplace and is often called “Creative Destruction.” When a product line becomes unprofitable, it should be shut down or replaced swiftly. Similarly, when superior machinery becomes available, it’s often beneficial to upgrade even before the old machines have depreciated. The key factor is how much better the new strategy or technology is.

However, this approach does not apply to a nation’s governance. Like supertankers, countries change direction and speed gradually. Forcing rapid change can undermine their structural integrity and cause instability, chaos, and panic. Moreover, such changes require a well-thought-out plan. Is one in place?

President Trump inherited an economically strong nation. There was near full employmemt and inflation was on a downward trend. The labor market was thriving, and the stock market was performing exceptionally well. Nonetheless, challenges persisted. The U.S. continued to struggle with managing the ongoing influx of migrants. Unemployment in the Rust Belt remained stubbornly high, leaving many without hope for improvement. Additionally, middle-class incomes had stagnated, and the National Debt was becoming increasingly alarming.

When Mr. Trump took office, he claimed that the U.S. was in dire trouble. It had been taken advantage of by almost all of its trading partners. It had been weakened by previous administrations and by the elites controlling the so-called ‘Deep State.’ His approach involved rapid and widespread changes, often lacking a clear plan. The national deficit had increased, in part due to his earlier tax cuts that favored corporations and the ultra-wealthy. At the same time, he reduced the number of IRS employees, potentially allowing more individuals and businesses to evade existing tax obligations.

Additionally, he pushed for a return to in-office work even when many offices were no longer operational or necessary. He encouraged Mr. Musk to fire large numbers of federal employees without having comprehensive reorganization strategies in place. These sweeping actions raise the question: how do they contribute to making the government more efficient? The lack of planning and consistent strategy seems counterproductive to his goal of improving government functionality.

A significant issue is that he applied outdated pre-WWII strategies to address modern challenges that often don’t exist in how he perceives them. The global economy is an intricate network of interconnections involving not just goods, but services, communications, and ideas, all built upon trust. This trust is essential for respecting relationships and agreements, and for resolving disagreements through dialogue rather than abrupt actions. The global economic system is sensitive and doesn’t respond well to blunt disruptions.

The imposition of tariffs, intended to bring jobs back to the U.S., risks fueling inflation instead, much like a blacksmith’s bellows stokes a fire. This approach has seriously damaged the United States’ reputation as a reliable partner on the international stage, challenging the trust essential for sustaining global economic relationships.

Addressing the imbalances in global trade, particularly with countries like China that have long benefited from a purposely uneven playing field, would have been a valid strategic goal. Tackling this issue collaboratively with international partners could have yielded more effective and sustainable solutions. Similarly, supporting lower and middle-income workers might have been better achieved through targeted tax reductions financed by increasing taxes on the super-rich and large corporations.

Improving government efficiency doesn’t necessarily require devastating measures. Instead of a blanket workforce reduction, lMr Trump could have encouraged departments to propose thoughtful efficiency improvements, emphasizing innovation and modernization. If he wanted to deal with the government drastically without Mr. Musk’s chainsaw show, he could have demanded that the heads of departments produce a credible plan to cut costs by 10 or 15 percent within 3 months or lose their jobs. Setting clear, strategic goals and offering creative solutions could have led to meaningful gains without drastic random layoffs.

For instance, the IRS could have set specific targets to reduce tax fraud, coupled with closing major tax loopholes, all aimed at reducing the national debt and promoting fairness in the system. By adopting these more nuanced approaches, substantive change could have been achieved without causing disruptions in the system and untold misery to thousands of diligent employees.

Musking the Ship of State with a chainsaw instead of a plan is a recipe for chaos and disaster, as is the badly reasoned and destructive tariff plan.

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