Viet Nam’s membership in the United Nations Security Council for the term 2020-2021

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A new milestone in Multilateral Diplomacy of the country

In the picture H.E. Mrs. Ngo Thi Hoa, Ambassador of Viet Nam.

By H.E. Mrs. Ngo Thi Hoa, Ambassador of Viet Nam to the Netherlands.

Over the past years, following the foreign policy of independence, self-reliance, multilateralization and diversification of foreign relations, and active international integration, Viet Nam has attached great importance to the work of multilateral mechanisms. Today, Viet Nam enjoys free trading relations with nearly 60 major countries and partners in the world as a result of its membership of 16 Free Trade Agreements (FTAs), some of which are in the final stage of negotiations.

We have actively participated in the United Nations (UN), the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN), the Asia-Europe Meeting (ASEM), the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC), and Mekong sub-regional mechanisms, among others. Most recently, Viet Nam successfully hosted the 2017 APEC Year, the 132th Inter-Parliamentary Union General Assembly, the 2018 World Economic Forum on ASEAN, the 6th Greater Mekong Sub-region Cooperation Summit, and will be assuming the ASEAN Chairmanship in 2020.

Regarding the UN – the world’s largest international organization and the coordinator of international efforts to respond to global challenges, forty two years since becoming a member (1977 until now), Viet Nam has played its proactive and responsible role, making effective contributions to all fundamental pillars of the UN. Some milestones can be highlighted in many areas: 

As a member of the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) in 1998, Viet Nam was one of the first countries to sign the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT) in 1996, joined the Disarmament Conference (DC) as a member; involved in the preparations for major UN conferences, such as the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) Review Conference, the Conference on Illicit Trade in Small Arms, among others. The country was a signatory to many international treaties initiated by the UN and has successfully assumed its membership in many UN subsidiary organs, including the UN Security Council (UNSC; 2008-2009), the Human Rights Council (2014-2016) and the UN Economic and Social Council (ECOSOC; 2016-2018). Since 2014, Viet Nam has sent its officers to UN peacekeeping missions in Africa and deployed level-two field hospitals in South Sudan.

With high sense of responsibility for the UN reforms, we have been one of pilot countries to implement the “One UN” model, successful lessons of which were subsequently applied in many other countries. Viet Nam has been also referred to as a typical example of efficiently using development assistance, and as a leading country in achieving the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) and now the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). 

In a practical effort to contribute to sustainable peace and security, since 2009, Viet Nam has presented its candidature for non-permanent membership of the UNSC for the term 2020-2021. At the plenary session of the UN General Assembly on 7 June 2019 in New York, together with 4 other countries (namely Estonia, Niger, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines and Tunisia), Viet Nam was elected a non-permanent member of the UNSC for the term 2020-2021 with 192 concurring votes out of the 193 member countries and territories of the UN. The result represented a record, with the landslide one of the largest in the history of the Organization.

Vietnam’s upcoming term in the UNSC will be the second after its successful one in the Council in 2008-2009, during which the country’s contributions and performance of the duties have been widely recognised and appreciated. This important milestone reflects the international community’s confidence in Vietnam’s growing stature and capabilities to contribute to multilateral affairs. With the keynote message “Partnership for Sustainable Peace”, Vietnam’s priorities during the forthcoming term in the UNSC will be:

(i) Conflict prevention, preventive diplomacy, peaceful settlement of disputes and the strengthened implementation of Chapter VI of the Charter;

H.E. Mrs. Ngo Thi Hoa, Ambassador of Viet Nam.

(ii) Improving the methods of work of the UNSC; enhancing engagement with regional arrangements in the maintenance of international peace and security, in accordance with Chapter VIII of the Charter;

(iii) Protection of civilians and critical civilian infrastructure in armed conflict;

(iv) Women, peace and security and children and armed conflict;

(v) Addressing the aftermaths of armed conflicts, including threats to civilian populations posed by landmines and explosive remnants of war;

(vi) UN peacekeeping operations;

(vii) Impact of climate change on peace and security.

We look forward to working constructively with all countries and partners to achieve the goals, mandates and duties of the UN in general and the UNSC in particular, thereby contributing to common endeavours of the mankind towards a world of peace, security and development./.

A straw that breaks a camel’s back: how China opposes the United States in a trade war

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By Vitaliy Timoschuk. 
Earlier in Kazakhstan there was quite an interesting and rigid custom. If there were two applicants for the bride, they would take whips and beat each other in turn, until one of them refused the contest or fell down. This long-standing custom is very much like the battle between the United States and China over European trade markets. In the spring, the parties failed to conclude a trade agreement, which led to another round of mutual sanctions and only developed a trade standoff. So, Washington raised up to 25% the duty on importing goods from China in the amount of $ 200 billion and intends to introduce similar tariffs on other products for another $ 325 billion. Beijing, in response, announced the introduction of a duty of 25% from June 1 on goods imported from the US volume of $ 60 billion. And this measure will affect the American LNG. The leading Chinese edition The Global Times has published Beijing’s possible retaliatory actions against Washington, which may turn out to be “a straw that will break the camel’s back.” Among possible responses, blocking the access of US companies to the Chinese market, imposing a ban on the supply of rare earth metals to the US and using a portfolio of US government bonds are indicated. The ban on the access of American companies to the Chinese market is unlikely to cause irreparable economic damage. But it will definitely affect the image. This measure will give American lobbyists an additional reason to take up arms against Donald Trump, which he hardly wants because of the upcoming presidential elections. Analysts say that Asia accounts for about 14% of the sales of large American companies. Therefore, such a move of the Chinese will not exactly be catastrophic for America as a whole, but may concern a number of medium-sized firms, for which China is the only point of sales. But the fact that China is a source of cheap labor will definitely harm and affect the rise in prices and lower competitiveness of American products. In thia area China could be replaced by Thailand or other countries, but this is not firstly fast, and secondly, Trump is at war with everyone. If the ban on the access of American companies to the Chinese market is more likely to be a political step, then the introduction of a ban on the supply of rare earth metals in the United States will very seriously affect American manufacturers of electronics and high-tech goods. Because rare earth metals are used in the basis of any microcircuits. Indirectly, Trump recognized dependence on China in this area, because Washington has suspended the introduction of additional duties on rare earth metals from China. At the same time, it is impossible to impose sanctions only on American companies, since they will conduct purchases through partners from other countries. And the introduction of restrictions for all will also affect European companies, which will lead to retaliatory sanctions of the European Union. This is especially relevant in the context of the Chinese-American struggle for European markets. And the Chinese have called the sale of the existing portfolio of US government bonds the final argument of the Doomsday Day. And the amount is huge. According to the Global Times, China bought US debts during the 2008 crisis, thereby helping to stabilize the US economy. The total amount of US Treasury bonds bought out by China is more than one trillion dollars. And if you use this tool at the time of the next crisis in the US stock market, then the effect of it will be maximum.
In aggregate, it is worth noting that Beijing soberly assesses its chances. China realizes that the US is currently stronger and has the initiative in a trade war. At the same time, the Chinese side emphasizes that it does not intend to give up and is ready to “endure the pain in order to teach the USA a lesson.” Despite the fact that the dollar is the main currency in the conduct of world trade calculations, as well as on the colossal ambitions of the United States, China has shown that it is fully capable of resisting America in a trade war.
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Image by Gino Crescoli from Pixabay

What is a track 1.5 Diplomat?

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By Barrington Roy Schiller The term Private Military Contractor is well known in the modern world but the existence of Private Diplomatic Contractors is less known Perhaps the most famous werethe united states ex-Presidents Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton after they left office. Private diplomatic contractors engage in  Track 1.5 diplomacy which is a type of “soft diplomacy” not to be confused with “soft power”. For the purpose of this article State with a capital S, is synonymous with Country whereas sate with a small s refers to a smaller self-governing part of a Country. The diplomats operate more like envoys and more covertly than in other diplomacy tracks to make approaches of possible official Track one and track two diplomatic negotiations. These covert approaches enable the official State governments to retain plausible deniability until such time as both sides are in a position to confirm their official interest in negotiating without a loss of “face”. (Officially State governments do not negotiate with terrorists and do not have diplomatic relations with all or enemy nations). The track 1.5 diplomat will therefore often use a cover story with the real purpose of their approaches only being known to the intelligence service of the Contracting State or actor. This is particularly useful in hostage negotiations, with rebel organizations and between States which have no formal track 1 diplomatic relations. Diplomacy is divided into tracks and like all tools, each has its strengths and weaknesses. Track 1 is what springs to mind when Diplomacy is talked of in the media i.e. mutually recognised individuals representing and practising the official foreign policy from States which are signatories to the Westphalian State Sovereignty System and it has a certain protocol regarding formal governmental contact. As well as States, other recognized track one actors are the Vatican, the Arab League, the United Nations, the African Union, the OAS and a host of other political and regional groupings like the EU. However, politics is unforgiving and mistakes not tolerated by the electorate creating a need for others to take the fall when inevitably such failures do occur. This creates a need for track 1.5 diplomats. Track one Diplomats (Ambassadors) are employed and appointed by their relevant States’ party political government of the day and they are supported by a host of civil servants, heads of states with their families albeit that the latter hardly constitute track 1 diplomacy b is the perfect example of soft diplomacy. The track one diplomats negotiate international treaties with all the backing and resources of their State/Country/Nation and they have the power to enforce those treaties with the threat of military force if necessary and with all the knowledge of their country’s Intelligence Services but it is done in the full glare of the media so covert actions and arranging backchannels is almost impossible. Their work, however, is aimed solely at promoting their governments’ best interests first and getting re-elected so a better world for humanity or the interests of the political opposition plays a far lesser role. They need to play the gallery of their base of those who elect them.  The Embassies they work out of abroad are also risk-averse so when the going gets tough, the track one diplomats get going and head for home exactly at the time when they could be of the most use leaving those domestic employees who are not already working for their birth country to fend for themselves. The same applies when a general election or some other factor causes a change in government and possibly a change in foreign policy. Track 2 When INGOs (International non-governmental organizations) and NGOs air their views and promote their civil society aims this “unofficial, informal interaction between members of adversary groups or nations that aim to develop strategies, to influence public opinion, organize human and material resources in ways that might help resolve conflict” is referred to as track 2 diplomacy. Such organisations usually have a specific agenda or cause when dealing with humanitarian matters and conflict resolution. Track Two Diplomacy is intended to provide a bridge or complement official Track One negotiations (Nan, 2004; Agha, Feldman, Khalidi, Schiff, 2003). However, there is little evidence of this and it most certainly cannot be seen as a substitute for track 1. That being said their highlighting the plight of those in danger or in need can indeed raise awareness amongst the electorate whereby the government of the day is forced to take track one action INGOs and NGOs do not have to consider an electorate so have the advantage of only having to pursue their own agenda and their members’donations without the complications of bipartisan politics and electoral cycles but this means that they are seldom going to directly affect foreign policy even though they enable their grassroots members to have a say.  In conflict track 2 is, therefore, more of a reaction and damage limitation tool than a strategic action negotiation tool and any results can take a long time to be seen and have minimal effect especially during the hot war phase of a conflict where they initially aim to save lives then rebuild the communities, the systems and implement projects to fight poverty and corruption while the track one diplomats focus more on nation-building. As civil society has less influence in illiberal and authoritarian democracies track 2 is generally not recognised as being very valuable, tends to be frowned upon and considered more as an interfering western liberal invention tool. In International relations, therefore, both tracks of traditional Diplomacy have their limitations leaving a vacuum for some troubleshooting and problem-solving tasks which governments and their Intelligence Services are not suitable to be engaged in.  To do this “exceptional individuals”are often called upon to bridge the gaps. These individuals come from all walks of life but often retired statesmen, track one diplomats, politicians, business leaders or religious leaders tend to have the necessary skills and the time to be of use to the global community and their State. In some cases, therefore, such professional private contractors are called in based upon their life and career experience. Track One and a Half Diplomacy There are many false definitions of the elusive track one and a half diplomacy with most being written by academics with no experience and they portray it as viewed from the outside. In my experience as a practitioner, track, one and a half diplomacy can be defined as “An overt or covert interaction or negotiation, discretely sanctioned by one State leader, government, NGO or INGO to achieve mutually beneficial aims where other diplomacy tracks are limited, initiated and initially mediated by a private individual enabling plausible deniability to achieve ripeness for a solution and as a precursor to track one or two diplomacy.  Barrington Roy Schiller, 2019. Some academics believe track 1.5 diplomacy to be hybrid diplomacy because the initial appointment can be instigated either by typical track one or track 2 actors or be a bridge between track 1 and track 2.  There is however abundant evidence of track 1.5 existing in its own right as a precursor for both other tracks. This enables the track 1.5 diplomats to take on the persona of either track where necessary and use the tools of either track. However, track 1.5 is neither track 1 nor track 2. The diplomats have no authority in their own right to sign any agreements on behalf of those appointing them. There are many examples of track 1.5 individuals acting on their own behalf and a good example of this is Former President Carter with the Carter centre whose own humanitarian beliefs led him to get involved in ethnic and International Conflicts in typical track 1.5 mode. In 2007 the British entrepreneur and the British musician Peter Gabriel took track 1.5 to the next level and together with Nelson Mandela formed a group of influential individuals, the Elders  https://www.theelders.org.  Their focus was on promoting global governance and leadership, the causes and consequences of Conflict, Inequality, Exclusion and injustice.    Other members of the Elders have been Desmond Tutu, Lakhdar Brahimi, Kofi Annan and Graca Machel, the wife of Nelson Mandela. However, now that the Elders are organised and self appointing and following their own agenda with their own funds they have, in my opinionnow switched to practising track 2 diplomacy and no longer track 1.5. as is the Carter Center which continues the work of ex-president Jimmy Carter as opposed to when he acted with Colin Powell on behalf of the U.S government to intervene and hinder an impending military conflict with Haiti which was track 1.5 albeit in the full glare of the media and public. True track 1.5 diplomacy should, therefore, have the following aspects:-
  • The track 1.5 diplomat is appointed by a third party
  • The track 1.5 diplomat has no personal or own agenda
  • The track 1.5 diplomat engages in Scoping talks as Precursor to track 1 or 2
  • The track 1.5 diplomat Is not a signatory to the arranged treaty or agreement
  • The track 1.5 diplomat’s approach can be covert or overt
  • The track 1.5 diplomat offers the contractor plausible deniability
  • The track 1.5 diplomat is discrete
  • The track 1.5 diplomat has the ability to make contact to both middle and top-level leaders
  • The track 1.5 diplomat has the ability to build trust
  • The track 1.5 diplomat has the ability to fund negotiations without a paper trail
  • The track 1.5 diplomat must have sufficient resources
  • The track 1.5 diplomat is an individual
  • The track 1.5 diplomat enables face-saving
  • The track 1.5 diplomat can bridge communication gaps by opening backchannels
  • The track 1.5 diplomat has mastered people and mediation skills.
An essential ability in track 1.5 diplomacy is for the diplomat to build trust and rapport with the person or organisation that they are approaching without being able to rely on the track 1 resources but psychological barriers and biases can hinder the approach. It is not uncommon for the person or organisation being approached to believe that the nationality of the track 1.5 diplomat will be the same as the official current foreign policy as the State they were born or live in and in some cases that official foreign policy and media can be at odds to the aims of the negotiation or aims of what the party being approached is attempting to achieve. A perceived bias or allegiance to one or another religion can also be seen as a potential hindrance to a successful outcome by one or the other State or non-State engaged actors being approached. Unlike in the world of business, the track 1.5 diplomat is not working to commit their own funds or resources and will not personally profit from the outcome of the negotiations so the track 1.5 diplomat must have a clear understanding and briefing before taking on the assignment of exactly how far they can go and what assurances they can make. Their life literally depends on not making representations that they cannot keep and they have no military or technical resources to back them up. This can often be frustrating when they are often badly rewarded financially for their non-partisan diplomatic skills. My experience shows that particularly illiberal democracies and those States in the post-soviet space are reluctant to use or accept track 1.5 envoys who are not their own nationals in resolving conflict or achieving their aims unless the envoy is living in the State being approached with links to the contactor’s own country. This is not without danger however as the track 1.5 diplomat can quickly find themselves accused of spying. Unless the envoy is fluent in the contactors language with a thorough understanding of their culture it is extremely difficult to build the rapport and trust necessary for the track 1.5 processes. However, as Kofi Annan and Desmond Tutu etc. showed contacts and access to the “right” targets should play a larger role than psychological barriers and emotional factors. Track 1.5 diplomacy is, therefore, a highly underrated tool and weapon in the diplomatic toolbox of States and non-State actor who underestimate the ability of certain individuals to influence their adversaries or possible allies. One of the reasons for this underestimation is perhaps that the track 1.5 diplomats, who often act covertly, seldom get any credit when the final treaties or agreements are signed with the politicians or governments taking all the credit. What they are quick to do however is use the plausible deniability and deny all knowledge of the existence of the track 1.5 diplomat when they are caught in an environment where track 1 diplomacy dictates that they shouldn’t be.  Their career is therefore often in the shadows and not without dangers. The expression “don’t shoot the messenger” is extremely appropriate. In some cases, the track 1.5 diplomat is called upon to make covert contact with grassroots elements of a foreign society as a form of instigating public Diplomacy and establishing a bridge between the grassroots activists and the contracting foreign power. This is of particular risk for the diplomat as if observed a criminal charge of treason or spying is possible with no track 1 diplomatic safety net. Relevant quotes Track 1.5 Dr Susan Allen Nan, in her PhD dissertation, writes: [T]here is a type of conflict resolution effort that defies categorization with other types above (Track One and Track Two diplomacy), and is commonly called “Track One and a Half.” This is the long-term unofficial facilitated joint analysis among negotiators, LUFJAAN for short, that Conflict Management Group conducted January 1996, May 1996, June 1997, and July 1998 (Nan, 1999, p. 202). For The Carter Center interventions, Mapendere (2000) defined Track One and a Half Diplomacy, …Public or private interaction between official representatives of conflicting governments or political entities such as popular armed movements, which is facilitated or mediated by a third party not representing a political organization or institution. The aim of such interaction is to influence attitudinal changes between the parties with the objective of changing the political power structures that caused the conflict (p. 16) Nan (2003) defined Track One and a Half Diplomacy as “unofficial interactions between official representatives of states” (p. 9). In 2005, Nan redefined Track One and a Half as “diplomatic initiatives that are facilitated by unofficial bodies, but directly involve officials from the conflict in question” (p. 165). These former presidents’ well-known record for reliability enables serving presidents and rebel leaders to trust that the third party will facilitate the attainment of common interests among the parties without bias (Hoffman, 2006). Moral authority is one of the Track One and a Half interveners’ activities may run contrary to their country’s foreign policy; this may undermine their peace efforts. However, one of the most effective ways of reducing the impact of the weaknesses of the three forms of diplomacy on peace-making is by the complementary application of the various diplomatic activities (Nan, 1999). State power can be a liability to durable peace, rather than a facilitative tool. Power can suppress underlying issues of weaker parties, thereby undermining the sustainability of a peace agreement (Diamond & MacDonald, 1996). officials cannot, of course, speak against their country and, as a result, may either be too rigid or delay negotiations through consultations with their leaders at home (Volkan, 1991; Sanders, 1991). By giving due respect to both President Clinton and the Great Leader Kim Il Sung of North Korea, President Carter gained entry into the peacemaking process and finally defused the situation (Carter, 1995). “The United States and a large international force were on the verge of invading the island when I was called by the [C]ommander in [C]hief of the Haitian military, General Raoul Cédras, who asked for my help…I was willing for the Carter Center to serve as a channel for communication” (Carter, 1995, pp. 176-177). “Because of his prominence as a former president, Carter is able to serve as a bridge between Track One and Track Two diplomacy” (Diamond & McDonald, 1996, p. 43). “The United States had branded Sudan a supporter of world terrorism, and accusations of religious persecution were a major issue in the civil war” (Carter, 1995, p. 184). Regardless of the enmity between the U.S. government and Sudan, the Carter Center never stopped attempts to pursue peace in Sudan (Carter, 1995). Theoretically, the ICCR has the capacity to intervene at various levels of a conflict because of the expertise it carries such as Former President Carter, Bishop Desmond Tutu of South Africa, Harold Saunders, Ambassador Bethune Kiplagat, and professors Vamik Volkan, Christopher Mitchell, and William Ury, just to mention a few (Carter, 1995). President Carter visited North Korea in 1994 as a private citizen to help resolve the tension between the US and North Korea. The North Korean government had withdrawn its membership from the International Atomic Energy Agency raising suspicion by the US that North Korea “had developed nuclear weapons in violation of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty” (Carter, 1995, p. 172). My meeting with Kim II Sung ended the immediate crisis. I did not make any concessions to him. I simply gave the highest leader of the country the opportunity to talk with me and to know that his words would be communicated directly to the president of the United States. Negotiations resumed on a lower level to work out technical issues. These issues included matters of national pride… This is another example of how difficult it is for people in a conflict to overcome their hostility. Yet, with good faith and perhaps a trusted mediator, it is the kind of issue that can be overcome (Carter, 1995, pp. 175-176). Since each track of diplomacy has its own strengths and weaknesses, it is important to find a way by which the weaknesses of each can be reduced in order to improve the chances of resolving conflicts without loss of life and material (Ziegler, 1984; Volkan, 1991; Montville, in Volkan, et al, 1991). The need for joint efforts using different types of diplomacy has been frequently noted in recent conflict resolution literature. Speaking of preventive diplomacy, Bercovitch (1993) writes that early deployment of economic, diplomatic and military tools could be effective at preventing or even resolving conflicts before they escalate. In Volkan et al (1991), Sanders writes that private citizens know how things should be done, and officials develop and widen these ideas. Lederach’s (1997) three levels of leadership, types of diplomacy including Track One and a Half, shows the type of actors found at different diplomacy levels and the levels of leadership on which they can exert influence. Through their combined efforts to address issues at different levels of leadership (Lederach, 1997) with the aim of reducing the impact of their weaknesses. Different levels of diplomacy target different social structures of conflict. In addition, the diagram shows the position of Track One and a Half Diplomacy and presents the Carter Center as an example of a Track One and a Half actor. Track Two Diplomacy (Montville, 1991).   Track 1 (Volkan, 1991 Track One Diplomacy has the ability to use political power to influence the direction of negotiations and outcomes (Sanders, 1991). “Track One Diplomacy has the capacity to access material and financial resources that give high leverage and flexibility in negotiations”(Bercovitch and Houston, 2000). Track One Diplomacy can employ in-depth knowledge about the parties’ interests because of the use of various intelligence sources (Stein and Lewis, 1996). diplomatic missions, an asset to Track One Diplomacy, are normally closed down at the peak of conflicts between countries “thereby reducing communication when it is needed most” (Ziegler, 1984, p. 27). Track 2 The strengths of Track Two Diplomacy have been discussed in detail, but separately by Montville (1991), Ury (1999), Sanders (1991), Ryan (1995), and Lederach (1997). Nan (1999) demonstrates through field research that Track Two efforts prepare the ground for Track One by enabling ideas to be tested before official negotiations. James Traub (2000), in his article Inventing East Timor, discusses the United Nation’s ‘nation-building’ efforts, which include both military and civilian resources in developing a state as a way of providing a lasting solution to what was an intractable conflict. Further Reading
  • Agha, H., Feldman, S., Khalidi, A., & Schiff, Z. (2003). Track II Diplomacy:Lessons from the Middle East. Cambridge: Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs.
  • Bercovitch, J. (1993). The nature of the dispute and the effectiveness of international mediation. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 37, 670-691.
  • Bercovitch, J., & Houston, A. (2000). Why do they do it like this? An analysis of the factors influencing mediation behavior in international conflicts.Journal of Conflict Resolution, 44, 170-202.
  • Burns, F. J. (2000, July 27). Hero’s Welcome for Arafat, From Those Who Showed Up. The New York Times, p. A10.
  • Carter, J. (1995). Talking peace: A vision for the next generation. New York, NY: Dutton Children’s Books.
  • Crossette, B. (2000, August 19). As Peace Mission Deteriorates, U.N. Sends an Envoy to Congo. The New York Times, p. A6.
  • Diamond, L. & McDonald, J. (1996). Multi track diplomacy (3rd Ed.). Connecticut: Kumarian Press, Inc.
  • Fisher, R. (1997). Interactive conflict resolution. New York: Syracuse University Press.
  • Hoffman, A. M. (2006). Building Trust: Overcoming Suspicion in International Conflict. Albany: State University of New York Press.
  • Jentleson, W.B. (Ed.) (2000). Opportunities missed, opportunities seized: Preventive Diplomacy in the Post-Cold War World. New York: Rowman and Littlefield Publishers, Inc.
  • Jonsson, C., & Hall, M. (2005). Essence of Diplomacy. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.
  • Kelman, H. (1996). The Interactive Problem-Solving Approach. In C. A. Crocker, F. O.
  • Kriesberg, L. (1998). Constructive conflicts: From escalation to resolution. New York: Rowman & Littlefield.
  • Landsberg, C. (2004). The Quiet Diplomacy of Liberation: International Politics and South Africa’s Transition. Johannesburg: Jacana Media (Pty) Ltd.
  • Lederach, P. J. (1997). Building peace: Sustainable reconciliation in divided societies. Washington DC: United States Institute of Peace
  • Lund, S. M. (1997). Preventing violent conflicts: A strategy for preventive diplomacy. Washington DC: United States Institute of Peace Press.
  • Magalhaẽs, C. J. (1988). The pure concept of diplomacy. New York: Greenwood Press.
  • Mapendere, J. (2000, Summer). Consequential Conflict Transformation Model, and the Complementarity of Track One, Track One and a Half, and Track-Two Diplomacy. (Available from The Carter Center, Conflict Resolution Program, 453 Freedom Parkway, Atlanta, GA 30307).
  • Mitchell, C. R. (1989). The structure of international conflict. New York: St. Martin’s Press.
  • Montville, J. (1991). Track Two Diplomacy: The Arrow and the Olive Branch: A case for Track Two Diplomacy. In, V. D. Volkan M.D., J. Montville, & D. A. Julius (Eds.), The Psychodynamics of International Relations: Vol. 2. Unofficial diplomacy at work (pp.161-175). Massachusetts: Lexington Books.
  • Nan, A. S. (1999). Complementarity and coordination of conflict resolution efforts in the conflicts over Abkhazia, South Ossetia, and Transdniestria. Fairfax, Virginia: George Mason University.
  • Nan, A.S. (2003). Track I Diplomacy. Retrieved June 12, 2006, from http://www.beyondintractability.org/essay/track1_diplomacy/
  • Nan, A. S. (2005). Track one-and-a-Half Diplomacy: Contributions to Georgia-South Ossetian Peacemaking. In R. J. Fisher (Ed.), Paving the Way (pp. 161-173). Lanham: Lexington Books.
  • Rupesinghe, K. (Ed.) (1995). Conflict Transformation. New York: St. Martin’s Press, Inc.
  • Ryan, S. (1995). Ethnic conflict and international relations. Brookfield: Dartmouth.
  • Rothchild, D. (1996). Successful mediation: Lord Carrington and the Rhodesian Settlement. In C. A. Crocker, F. O. Hampson & P. Aall (Eds.), Managing global chaos: Sources of and Responses to international conflict (pp. 475-486). Washington DC: United States Institute of Peace.
  • Sanders, H.H. (1991). Officials and citizens in international relations. In V. D. Volkan M.D., J. Montville, & D. A. Julius (Eds.), The Psychodynamics of International Relations: Vol. 2. Unofficial diplomacy at work (pp.41-69). Massachusetts: Lexington Books.
  • SIPRI Yearbook. (June, 2006): Armaments, Disarmament and International Security. London: Oxford University Press. Retrieved June 12, 2006, from http://yearbook2006.sipri.org/chap2/app2A
  • Stain, W. K. & Lewis, W. S. (1996). Mediation in the Middle East. In C. A. Crocker,
  1. O. Hampson & P. Aall (Eds.), Managing global chaos: Sources of and Responses to international conflict (pp. 463-473). Washington DC: United States Institute of Peace.
  • Traub, J. (2000, July/August). Inventing East Timo. Foreign Affairs, 79, 74-89.
  • Ury, W. (1999). Getting to peace: Transforming conflict at home, at work, and in the world. New York: Viking Penguin.
  • Volkan, D.V. (1991). Official and unofficial diplomacy: An overview. In V. D. Volkan M.D., J. Montville, & D. A. Julius (Eds.), The Psychodynamics of International Relations: Vol. 2. Unofficial diplomacy at work (pp.1-16). Massachusetts: Lexington Books.
  • Weeks, D. (1992). The eight essential steps to conflict resolution. Los Angeles: Jeremy P. Tarcher, Inc.
  • Ziegler, W.D. (1984). War, Peace, and International Politics. (3rd Ed.). Boston: Little, Brown and Company.

Black Swan season

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.By John Dunkelgrün

My friends and family call me an eternal optimist. Some even call me dangerously optimistic. While I don’t agree with the latter classification, I know I’ve been optimistic all my life. It has helped me get through very difficult situations and especially in the last few years with the growth of my modest investment portfolio.

However, recently I have been feeling uneasy about the world economy in general and the markets in particular. What worries me is not the longest expansion of the world economy ever, nor the oldest bull market on record. It is more the result of the following pebbles in my shoes that urge me to tread carefully:

  • The unpredictability of President Trump’s policies. There is a real chance that a moment will come when he will be impeached and/or sent to jail. That would give the markets a big negative shock.
  • The United States are building an unbearable mountain of debt. Chickens will eventually come home to ro.
  • This year’s budget deficit in the US is worse than the most pessimistic economists expected
  • The tsunami of investments that President Trump promised as a result of his uneven tax cut has not materialised[
  • Profits of the large corporations, which fuelled the stock markets are weakening.
  • Revenue growth in the FAANG club of companies is weakening.
  • The US trade war with China.
  • Growing tension in the South China Sea and between China and Taiwan.
  • The time may come when China decides its loss of control and face due to the continuing mass protests is worse than the fall-out of abrogating the deal with Britain about Hong Kong’s special stat.
  • The tension around the Gulf of Hormuz and the threat of hot conflict with Iran.
  • Possible tension and strife caused by food shortages due to climate change.
  • Brexit and the collapse of normal democracy in Britain. Great Britain breaking up into three entities.
  • The shift towards populist rightwing politics in countries like Poland, Hungary, Brazil, and Australia.
  • The possibility of a failure of Italy. Its economy is so big, the EU possibly wouldn’t survive this disaster in its current form.
  • The risk of massive bankruptcies among China’s banks and big government-owned companies.

Perhaps all this is a false alarm and maybe the decline in profits and revenue growth is just a short blip, but I feel more uneasy about it by the day. The time seems ripe for a mega Black Swan (thank you Mr. Taleb) and sometimes it is better to lock in one’s profits.

If you have time of life, you can always come back when the tension is out of the air. And if you don’t, what does it matter?

Suriname, the most forested country in the world

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Hosted HFLD Conference on Climate Finance Mobilization.

In the picture H.E President Desire Bouterse, President of the Republic Suriname (R) and H.E Antoine Joly, Ambassador of France in Suriname (L)

By Mr. Oquemele Denz MSc, Chargé d’affaires, Embassy of the Republic of Suriname.

The Embassy of the Republic of Suriname in the Hague, Netherlands, introduces Suriname to the Diplomat Magazine as the most forested country in the world, with a forest coverage of 93%. In addition, Suriname has a low deforestation rate and with these characteristics belongs to the group of countries with High Forest cover and Low Deforestation (HFLD).

It is imperative for this trend to change since these HFLD developing countries are in dire need of adequate and tangible international climate finance, technology transfer and capacity building to support their transition towards a climate resilient and low emissions development and to achieve the goals set forth in the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development and the Paris Agreement.

Suriname Climate Finance Mobilization Conference.

In this regard, the Government of Suriname, with the support of the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UNDESA) and the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) Office in Suriname, hosted the high-level HFLD Conference on Climate Finance Mobilization in her capital Paramaribo from 12-14 February, 2019. This conference gathered around 200 national and international experts from 27 countries and 15 international, regional and non-governmental organizations to increase cooperation and exchange knowledge and experiences on climate finance mechanisms.

Mr. Oquemele Denz, Charge d’affaires of the Republic of Suriname to The Netherlands.

On this occasion the HFLD developing countries established their joint strategies and positions on climate finance mobilization, summarized in the adopted “Krutu of Paramaribo Joint Declaration on HFLD Climate Finance Mobilization”. This declaration has mandated Suriname to bring the HFLD developing countries’ effort to the international fora, an assignment taken very seriously and to which Suriname has pledged its dedication.

Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Republic Suriname, H.E  Ms. Yldiz Pollack-Beighle (R)

By this mandate the Government of Suriname convened the first meeting of the HFLD Platform on May 6, 2019 in New York, on the margins of the 14th the United NationsForum on Forests (UNFF14) with the objective to operationalize the “HFLD Platform” asa flexible forum for consultation and collaboration on policies related to HFLD and climate finance mobilization.

The HFLD developing countries have chartered a new pathway to jointly continue their efforts and focus on practical results, and will work towards a united voice and innovative models to shape their mutual interests, which will strongly empower their efforts on their way forward.

Panorama Mesdag presents: Louis Apol on Nova Zembla

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From  19 October 2019 to 1 March 2020

This autumn, Panorama Mesdag will be presenting the exciting exhibition Louis Apol on Nova Zembla. In 1880, the artist Louis Apol (1850–1936) of The Hague undertook the journey of a lifetime. He joined a team of scientists on an expedition to Nova Zembla, spending four months on board the polar schooner Willem Barentsz. As a specialist in painting winter landscapes, this trip offered him the ideal opportunity, during a treacherous journey, to study the most remarkable ice formations and desolate, snow-covered landscapes from close by and to depict them. ‘Apol draws and sketches everywhere; he won’t even leave his sketchbook behind when we go out hunting.’ The exhibition displays a selection of the 200 pencil drawings, sketches, and watercolours that Apol produced in the course of the trip. In looking through the eyes of this unusual crew member, we ourselves experience the adventurous expedition to Nova Zembla: we gain unique insight into life on board the polar schooner and the artist’s working method, and are introduced to the many remarkablecreatures, human beings, and natural phenomena that he encountered during the journey. The exhibition also reflects on the panoramic painting that Apol created in 1896 on the basis of his Nova Zembla sketches. It was a popular attraction in the Panorama building in Amsterdam for many years, until it suddenly fell off the radar around 1930. What happened to this enormous painting? ———————- Source: Captain’s logbook, Nova Zembla expedition In the picture Opnamedatum: 2018-03-23

Taiwan’s Gamble in the Trade War- the New Southbound Policy and its consequences to the status quo

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By Jake Wright. Taiwan is in a period of uncertainty. Although its ruling party (the DPP) advocates for independence, refusing to abide by the 1992 Consensus and are pushing for a fully sovereign state of Taiwan, unlike its political rivals (the KMT) who mutually ‘agree to disagree’ with the PRC on who is the legitimate government of China. Despite this bold platform, Taiwan’s circle of diplomatic allies recognizing its statehood has shrunk to just 17 states and economic growth is stagnating. For three years, Taiwan played defensively on the international stage to keep the remaining support close with enticing investments. The clearest example of buying allies’ favour was a $150 million loan approved to Haiti, although it has yet to be ratified by Haitian Parliament. Still, the head of staff for President Moise, Wilson Laleau, foreshadowed to Haiti exploring potential partnerships with the PRC. Indeed, this was not enough for four: Burkina Faso, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Panama and São Tomé and Príncipe who have flipped recognition to the PRC over the past three years. Taiwan’s response is pragmatic: pivoting towards an informal economic offensive on emerging markets. This is achieved by offering investment to South-South East Asian countries for developing their capabilities for exports, to serve as a counterpoint to China’s disruptive posturing in the region. This is the New Southbound Policy. This Policy will financially incentivise domestic champions of key industries to divert its supply chains away from mainland China and set up operations in the South to benefit from cheaper labour and expand Taiwanese soft power. It shall1) promote economic collaborations and developing destination markets; 2) develop and share talents and resources; 3) relocate manufacturing to destination countries to provide them with a Taiwanese model of production; and 4) expand cooperation between Taiwan and the destination countries. Countries hostile to China’s projection, such as Vietnam and India, are expected to benefit the most from these relocations. Despite the Center for Strategic and International Studies publishing a reporton the Policy, arguing its impact is on small-to-medium enterprises, the ongoing trade war has broadened its application. Several corporations in the IT sector have already started relocating elements of their supply line to the South, having the Taiwan government sponsoring these migrations will encourage more. The intended effect of this is to decouple Taiwan’s reliance with the mainland and place it as a global competitor against the PRC.
Night market – Taiwan. Image by Robert Pastryk from Pixabay
Much has been written on the impact the Policy could have for Taiwan’s slowing economic growth and its position in the region with a tariff-stricken China. Don Shapiroposits this will reawaken Taiwan’s ‘soft power’ with a much wider scope than before. This is framed as a respite to Taiwan’s ‘over-reliance’ on the PRC, reducing its insecurity due to external political ‘shocks’. The Communist Party of China has conducted targeted suspensions of foreign enterprises at times of political antagonism; as in the case of Lotte. Regardless, very little has been said on the New Southbound Policy’s effect on the cross-Strait relationship. This decoupling strategy may finally make a peaceful resolution, or at least transforming to constructive de-escalation, a practical impossibility. Without this common basis of economic self-interest held by the other party, provocations are more likely to be interpreted as unilateral and destructive in nature. Moreover, this movement will permanently change the narrative for future rapprochement discussions: once the supply chain is relocated, Taiwanese enterprises become both economic and political competition in southern markets. In 2009, Taiwanese economist Liang Chi-yuan commented in the Sunday Timesthat Chinese investment in Taiwan would deter them from attacking, and for good reason. When both parties are invested in each other and share common goals, there is far less room for miscalculating intentions: attacking the other means crippling your own economic output. This was understood by the KMT (nationalist opposition) and comprehensively expanded under the Ma Ying-jeou administration. The KMT adhered stringently to the 1992 consensus and focused on cooperating on practical issues. After a bitter rivalry for which side is the legitimate representative of China, Ma Ying-jeou broke new ground by participating in a summit with Xi Jinping. The result was to widen and deepen the interdependence between Taiwan and the PRC, providing additional incentives to reduce hostilities and cooperate. Lifting the ban on direct flights exponentially increased leisure and business travel between the two states. The Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement helped alleviate the economic downturn and allowed more Taiwanese corporations to export their supply chain to the PRC for cheaper production costs. The consequence of this was a significant reduction in cross-strait tensions – no provocations, stronger  security and stable interactions. This positive diplomatic effort brought about the most peaceful era of cross-strait relations in over sixty years. Almost all of this progress has been lost: the Tourism Bureaureports Chinese tourists visiting Taiwan has fallen from 4.18 million in 2015 to 2.69 million in 2018; the lowest intra-strait movements since 2010. On 31stJuly, the PRC halted issuing individual travel permits to Taiwan, limiting travel to tourist groups only. Moreover, military escalations will intensify as Taiwan received approval for a $2.2 billion arms sale from the US and China responded with a military beach drill. Although the link between economics and security is often derided as an anachronism, the cross-Strait mutual investment in each other’s market has a tangible benefit to deterring the outbreak of conflict. This author is not justifying the PRC’s approach to Taiwan, but is speaking from a position of political practicality. The DPP should opt for the re-engagement of high-level talks with the PRC without preconditions of recognition, and continue the positive progress made by the Ma Ying-jeou administration. Moreover, it should establish an official exchange office in the PRC to facilitate non-economic, cooperative activities. Clearly, the DPP does not want to spark a conflict with its New Southbound Policy, but the unintended consequences of losing economic linkages to the PRC could be catastrophic. ————————– About the author: Jake Wright, is an East Asian geopolitics and conflict researcher.

Fracking Societies through manufactured revolts

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By Carlos Pereyra. If society is considered as an open, complex and dynamic system.  This system is attributed for the quality of both organizing and disorganizing.  Constructive chaos occurs when there is an attempt to harness these destructive and seemingly random forces, for strategic purposes. The chaos strategy proposes the artificial creation of disorder and violence in a country or areas that are considered as an object. It can be secured through an unconventional war – use of different methods to achieve internal convulsions within a target country or the use of armed intermediaries to lead to a civil war scenario in a target country.  It is a standardized regime change approach when to topple government or to trigger political collapse of a country or entire region. Chaos theory aroused great interest from a sector of the American elite. Different authors and protagonists, academics and practitioners, took theoretical premises of it to understand the mechanics of social movements in countries and operate on them to obtain designated objectives.  They would formulate their application as a strategy, through a built chaos, for the achievement of American geostrategic interests. These models begin with the introduction of a colour revolution, or a “Spring”. That represents some kind of revolt or navigated or manufactured ‘spontaneity’ of a street demonstration. Certainly, it represents a clear cut case of a soft coup, which could then be followed by a hard blow, through an unconventional war.  If the first fails, population is exposed to social engineering methods and hybrid wars, so that they can escalate into violence, produce civil wars, the results are the change of government or the collapse of the State itself. If this sequence is repeated in several countries of the same region, we can talk about areas that are not integrated (Gap) under Barnett’s parameters. “Gradually, the imperial civilizing mission (Expansion is a path to Security) got a new form. It became a moral duty – R2P (Responsibility to Protect), as much as the parental duty is to raise their infant child. The handsome, masculine and strong Western Prince Charming has one duty – to emancipate his Eastern Sleeping Beauty. Giving a ‘kiss’ meant projecting the western physical military presence, and commerce” – remarks prof. Anis H. Bajrektarevic in his brilliant geo-philosophical synthesis “Imperialism of Lullaby”. Hence, what is a chaos? Engineering the Chaos Chaos theory applied as a strategy is simply a form of social engineering. Based on a comparison of the main guidelines of the strategy of chaos and hybrid warfare, we find under deduction that chaos theory is understood as a variant of the hybrid and fourth generation paradigm of wars.  The objective is to change the regime of a country marked as objective, but it should not be ruled out that the collapse of the state structure is not a desired objective. As we have observed in all these cases, Chaos Theory has been used as a geostrategic foundation of the US to strengthen its role as a global hegemon after the Cold War, mainly in the Middle East area. Chaos theory seeks to provoke, induce attitudes, behaviours, through social engineering to the population of a target country in addition to infiltrating external elements, violence spreads like a computer virus, the expected result is that the system will “reset/restart” with a change of government or such a state disintegrated.  If that is the last case it will also be favourable for the US anyway. Based on the historical methodology to analyse, and the prospective methodology to project, based on trend tracking.  Its future use in other scenarios is not ruled out. Just as Arab springs and colour revolutions have occurred in the former Soviet space, this does not mean that they cannot be introduced outside those geographical areas, according to the interests of contenders fighting for their interests.  Many of these patterns mentioned above are observed in Venezuela to date. Chaos theory and strategy is a paradigmatic methodology of the US, in the geopolitical plane its main objective is the fragmentation and fracturing of the Eurasian belt. We must emphasize that this search for an unquestionable American unipolar hegemony project found its counterweight in recent years with the participation and active intervention in various scenarios and global situations of China and Russia, which to date seem to seek to consolidate a strategic partnership. ————————– About the author: Carlos Pereyra Méle is a Director of the Argentina-based Dossier Geopolitico  

The US and the global promotion of Hybrid Wars. A perspective from Latin America

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About the latest geopolitical and international events

  By Prof. Dr Miguel Ángel Barrios.
The great English geopolitical theorist Halford Mackinder in his famous conference “The geographical pivot in history” in 1904 divided the world as a system (he was the first to speak of a system from a historic geopolitical approach to Earth) on the World Island: Eurasia, In the area of Russia is the decisive area of world power and the continental islands – such as Africa and America that do not have direct access to the world island. Over time, Nicholas John Spykman, geopolitical theorist of the US world supremacy and a disciple of Mackinder, wrote during the Second World War “USA against the world” and ratifies the need to control Eurasia from the Rimland, since the US is a global hegemon that has the characteristic of not being located on the world island, but on the continental island. [1] It is the first empire in history with this geopolitical exceptionality, so England is essential to divide Europe and Japan to divide Asia and thus become an accessible platform to control the world island. But Spykman adds a twist, we must keep Balkanized Latin America divided so that it does not manage to articulate its cultural unity in political power and for this the instrument was economic and military aggression. Spykman renews the so-called Monroe doctrine from a new geopolitical logic [2] to make it their backyard and that “America for the Americans,” truly means:”the Americas for the USA”.  we must remember that it was born to boycott the unionist idea of the Liberator Simon Bolivar.  The philosopher José Vasconcelos crumbles him very well in his work “Bolivariano vs Monroísmo“. The US is in a great strategic disorientation in the post-Cold War and in the face of the emergence of a multipolar world from the defeat of Daesh or ISIS, a terrorist organization created by them – as is clear from WikiLeaks and the role of Hillary Clinton – in Syria caused by the Syrian forces themselves, Russia, Iran and the active diplomacy of Pope Francis, as well as other events and processes. This makes the Imperial Republic a wounded and more dangerous lion with its Falcons pretending to redraw the world board, world system with military muscle. Thus being the main destabilizer of international security and at the same time promoter of global Terrorism. On the world island he is creating a dangerous escalation against the Islamic Republic of Iran, a country of regional power in the Islamic cultural world 40 years after the revolution led by Ayatollah Khomeini. precisely in the area of the Arabian Sea and the Strait of Hormuz – of an unparalleled geopolitical significance as the main oil route – and here the power of Iran and its links with Russia and China are combined. It also involves England, its privileged retiree according to Brzezinski, in a dangerous zero-sum game that has already produced losses such as the demolition of a drone or the seizure of English ships. To this is added the diplomatic isolation due to the current worldwide discrediting of its historical allies such as Saudi Arabia and Israel, true serial human rights violators. This political short-sightedness of the hawks of American foreign policy may lead the US in a short time- into a fatal defeat in the World Island. This is aggravated by the impulse of a new Monroe doctrine on the continental island, that is, in what they consider their “backyard.” This doctrine for us is clear has three pillars: economic, judicial and military. In economic terms, indirect or direct war against China, in judicial matters, to create a persecution party directed based on their interests (former judge Moro and the arrest of Lula is a paradigmatic case) and the militarization of South America creating the hypothesis that terrorism and organized crime are the threats in a new face of the old National Security Doctrine. In Venezuela the first hybrid war of Latin American history is taking place [3] And this is a worldwide surprise, although many “local experts” are silent in that Venezuela in alliance with other actors is leading a defeat to the US on the World-Island. In this lies a central fact, the silence and the declaration of non-intervention of the Brazilian Armed Forces against the support of the US for its president, Bolsonaro. And the diplomatic group of countries of “support for democracy in Venezuela”, a kind of new OAS, the so-called PROSUR or rather PRONORTE does not have the minimum prestige, to the point that one of its leaders is the discredited Argentine president Macri. Five months after the Guaidó doctrine was launched in the context of the new Monroe doctrine, everything has failed in Venezuela and even from the diplomatic to the military. Venezuela is the real border of South America with the US, the Caribbean is the Mare Nostrum of the Empire and its geopolitical characteristics is unique because it is: Latin American, South American and Caribbean. It is the great achievement of rediscovering it for us what Commander Hugo Chávez did. The thing is about not to deviate us in the question of Maduro yes or Maduro not. But in recognizing that the Guaidó doctrine can lead any citizen from a platform to proclaim himself president if the US recognizes him within fifteen minutes. If that succeeds, tomorrow anyone will proclaim himself president of the Amazon, Patagonia or the so-called Triple Frontier and a re-Balkanization of Latin America could occur. That is to say, at this point the US is also being defeated mainly by the unity of the Bolivarian armed forces. Not by chance, the disastrous Francis Fukuyama – admired by much of the Argentinian Inteligentzia – has just declared in his brand new visit to Argentina,  that the Bolivarian armed forces is an army of drug traffickers And in his latest book “Identity” he attacks Juan Domingo Perón as the archetype of resentment politics in South America.  The saddest thing is that the vast majority of pejotist  [4] leaders  They do not feel referenced in these terms by cowardice and cipayism [5]. However, Peronism as a cultural historical phenomenon is at the base of the Argentine people and pejotist leaders must know that if they are not faithful to the people, they will be razed by history. As the last point of the analysis, we say that it has just been carried out in Buenos Aires with the presence of the US Secretary of State, Mike Pompeo, the II Hemispheric Conference against Terrorism, continuation of the first one held in December 2018 in the US. Terrorism is the enemy, as conclusion of the encounter. Better to say the so-called “Islamic terrorism” and Iran is accused of the attacks on the Embassy and the AMIA. At this point, we echo the words of Pope Francis when he said that “terrorism is not synonymous with Islamism.” But two days before July 19 that the meeting was, President Macri declared in a record that he created under pressure from the US and Israel that the Hezbolla group of Lebanon is a terrorist organization. This constitutes a fact of a unique gravity because it is a true declaration of war against Lebanon, since Hezbolla is an officially recognized party that has legislators and ministries in Lebanon – that is, it is part of the government – and even more, not even the  United Nations declares it as a terrorist organization. And there is also a persecution without equal to Syrian-Lebanese citizens and descendants, fully integrated into Argentine society. The irresponsibility is so great that the Argentine government is involved in the “third world war in pieces” denounced by Pope Francis and dangerously aligns us with the US, Israel and Saudi Arabia, in a war they are losing to Russia, Turkey, Iran, China and Syria and papal multipolar diplomacy.  And this defeat on the world island is the main factor in the birth of a multipolar “order”, the opposite was a global military empire that was “The Project for the New American Century” of the American hawks. Also from the US, they accuse Hezbolla of having planned the two attacks and financing terrorism from the Triple Frontier. Triple Frontier is a geopolitical category born in the US referring to an “area without law.” it was always and is the milestone of the three borders between Puerto Iguazú-Argentina-, Foz do Iguazú-Brasil- and Ciudad del Este-Paraguay . The record of tourist influx increases year by year, the integration is total in the commercial, cultural, educational fields like any border. Of course there are facts of insecurity, such as smuggling of all kinds, for example. which involves the issue of border security. But there was never a terrorist attack or terrorist groups were discovered. And here is a nuclear point. We cannot talk about any issue and more about security without specifying the strategic actors. There is no unanimous consensus in international law on terrorism. For us Terrorism, rather than a subject, is a tactic of violence for political purposes. It can be an individual, a para-police or paramilitary group, an individual or a State. That is, what defines terrorism is not the morphology of the subject but its action. Regarding organized crime, we can affirm that it is a structured group that, based on drug trafficking, and as territoriality gains, it becomes an economic and not only economic political actor. We also clarify that there is not only organized crime with the collusion of sectors of political, police, judicial, business, etc. But more than anything in the global financial sector. that is to say of the tax havens or ‘fiscal dens’ that make the dirty circuit of drug trafficking money “enter” into the legal circuit. There are accusations of intelligence services of the “financial movements” of Lebanese families, and the “security experts” in a cut and paste of the “information” write about it. There are always very few exceptions among experts, but there are. But nobody says anything for ex. that the former president of Paraguay, Cartes, a close friend of Macri, is accused of being one of the leaders of the informal economy in Ciudad del Este. And besides, Ciudad del Este is full of Anglo-American banks. Already these reports, they came to say that Bin Laden was in the area in the 90s of the last century without any seriousness. However, it is striking that these “experts” do not speak of the desires of the Imperial Republic of the Guaraní aquifer system, biodiversity, lithium, oil, gas, in synthesis of our natural resources. Finally, we have failed as Unasur at the time, when the South American Defense Council was created, it has not coordinated with the community the preparation of an Observatory of crime and violence between justice, municipalities, intermediate associations, universities, etc. There is much talking about the “triple frontier”, without knowing, we reiterate by cutting and pasting newspapers. In my case, I am a Professor at the Tres Fronteras International University (University of the Three Borders) of postgraduate studies in Ciudad del Este, I have been invited by the Latin American University of Integration (UNILA) in Foz to exhibit at congresses and I have taught the Police of Misiones Province and the Argentinian Army in Iguazu. And therefore, they did not tell me, I know very well the milestone of the three Borders and in homage to that great border community we have a duty to know and demand the truth, but seriously. Therefore, we believe that the promotion of hybrid wars is carried out by the US, as a sponsor of Terrorism and worse, now that they are losing on the world island and the continental island. His strategic despair transforms him into the main destabilizer of world peace References: [1] Miguel Ángel Barrios: Diccionario Latinoamericano de Seguridad y Geopolítica. (Latin American Dictionary of Security and Geopolitics.) [2] Indeed a unilateral statement by President James Monroe devised by his secretary of state Quincy Adams. [3] In summary hybrid warfare are new forms of war where all types of war in history are combined, or whether conventional, unconventional, terrorism, psychological warfare, economic warfare, disinformation war, paramilitary actions seeking regime change government , etc.). [4] From PJ: Partido Justicialista (Justicialist Party, formal name of the official peronist party) [5] From “CIPAYO” (sepoy) derogatory term in Argentina, in reference to those who act or think in favor of foreign powers. Term popularized by the thinker Arturo Jauretche. ———————————– Article translated from Spanish into English by Juan Martín González Cabañas . Original article published by Dossier Geopolitico https://dossiergeopolitico.com/2019/07/23/las-novedades-geopoliticas-de-eeuu-como-promotor-del-terrorismo-en-el-siglo-xxi/   ———————————– About the author: Prof. Dr Miguel Ángel Barrios (Argentina) is Academic Director of Dossier Geopolitico. He holds PHD in Education – PHD in Political Science. Author of more than fifteen works of Latin American Politics, Prof. Dr Barrios is recognized by the specialized critics as one of the referents of Latin American thought.

Slovenia Contributes €20,000 to Support OPCW Activities

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Slovenia’s Permanent Representative to the OPCW, H.E. Ambassador Sanja Štiglic and H.E. Fernando Arias, OPCW Director General. The Government of Slovenia has contributed €20,000 to support significant projects and activities of the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW).
The donation was formalized last May at the Organization’s Headquarters in The Hague at a ceremony involving the OPCW Director-General, H.E. Mr Fernando Arias, and Slovenia’s Permanent Representative to the OPCW, H.E. Ambassador Sanja Štiglic.
Slovenia’s Permanent Representative to the OPCW, H.E. Ambassador Sanja Štiglic.
Ambassador Štiglic, on behalf of the Government of the Republic of Slovenia, announced the decision to contribute €20,000 and remarked: “Slovenia strongly supports the OPCW’s activities aiming for the goal of a world free of chemical weapons and the threat of their use. This includes investigating and attributing responsibility for documented use of chemical weapons in Syria, as well as increasing training and capacity building capabilities offered to States Parties through the construction of a new facility, the OPCW Centre for Chemistry and Technology.” Director-General Arias stated: “I wish to express my sincere thanks to the government of Slovenia for this contribution. Without the continued support of all the States Parties to the Chemical Weapons Convention, the OPCW would not be able to carry out its important work around the world.” Slovenia contributed €10,000 to a special OPCW Trust Fund to support the project to upgrade the current OPCW Laboratory and Equipment Store. This project will result in the construction of a new facility, which will meet the demands of OPCW States Parties for enhanced verification tools, improved detection capabilities and response measures, as well as increased capacity-building activities. Slovenia contributed another €10,000 toward the Trust Fund for Syria Missions for the OPCW to identify the perpetrators of chemical weapons attacks in the Syrian Arab Republic.