China’s Pearl River Delta growing together: Greater Bay Area with first-ever joint ITB presence

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China’s emerging metropolitan region around the Pearl River Delta continues to merge: the two special administrative regions Hong Kong and Macao together with nine municipalities of Chinas most populated Province Guangdong jointly form the “Greater Bay Area”.

The consolidation of the three regions to one large economic hub is part of the infrastructure milestones the Chinese government is pursuing in conjunction with the Road and Belt initiative. As this cooperation also encompasses the tourism sector, the three partners are looking forward to their first-ever joint presence at ITB Berlin from March 6 to 10 (Hall 26A, Stand 119).

Cities united by infrastructural mega projects

A core of the new infrastructure improvements in the Greater Bay Area is the 55 kilometres long bridge, connecting Hong Kong, Macao and Zhuhai. The world’s longest sea bridge reduces the travelling time from Hong Kong airport on Lantau Island to Zhuhai to 45 minutes from four hours previously needed. The new route includes one tunnel and several bridging elements. It is about 20 times the length of the Golden Gate Bridge in San Francisco.

Hong Kong “Greater Bay Area”. at night.

Another milestone is the completion of the Hong Kong Section of the Guangzhou-Shenzhen-Hong Kong Express Rail Link, connecting the Hong Kong train network to the one in Mainland China. Travel time from the newly built Hong Kong Kowloon West station to Guangzhou North was halved to 48 minutes.

Together with the new Liantang/Heung Yuen Wai Boundary Control Point, connecting Hong Kong and Shenzhen, the new sea bridge and the Express Rail Link form an “one-hour living circle” between Guangdong Province, Hong Kong and Macao, laying a solid foundation for the development of the Greater Bay Area. The new border control point, including new highways and overpasses, is set to open in 2019.

Chinas economic driver to flourish

Role model for the new economic hub Greater Bay Area are other delta regions like San Francisco with its neighbouring communities Oakland and San José/Silicon Valley or Tokyo Bay and Greater New York. To surpass its global competitors, Guangdong’s Greater Bay cities (i.e., Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Zhuhai, Foshan, Huizhou, Dongguan, Zhongshan, Jiangmen and Zhaoqing), Hong Kong and Macao are to intertwine their individual strengths much closer than ever before. The Greater Bay Area already offers the largest worldwide network of airports and seaports. Almost 70 Million inhabitants live in the Pearl River Delta – about five percent of the Chinese population. At present about twelve percent of the annual GDP of the People’s Republic of China is generated here on 0.6 percent of Chinas land mass. The plan foresees an even bigger increase.

New chances for tourism

The tourism sector is set to greatly benefit from this regional merger. Anthony Lau, Executive Director, Hong Kong Tourism Board explains on behalf of “Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Tourism Marketing Organization”: “We are at the beginning of a golden age of opportunity that will make the Greater Bay Area a destination of choice for tourists from every corner of the world. By working together, we can steer the region’s tourism industry towards exciting new horizons.”

A major focus for international markets lies in the development of multi-destination travel packages. For this, the respective unique selling points and existing resources are to be matched, harmonized and jointly promoted. A “144 hours Convenient Visa” is already enabling tourists an easy border crossing from Hong Kong or Macao to Guangdong. The cruise industry is also looking with great interest into developments in the Pearl River Delta, as the region offers multiple appealing ports of calls within a short distance. At ITB, the world’s largest tourism and travel fair happening in Berlin from March 6 to 10, the three partners will present themselves as one travel destination. In addition to various advertising during the fair a Greater Bay Area Showcase event is planned for trade partner and media on Wednesday afternoon.

The “Greater Bay Area”.

Overview on the regions of the Greater Area Bay

Guangdong Province is both the southern gateway of China and beautiful starting point of Maritime Silk Road. Located on the South China Sea coast, and adjacent to Hong Kong and Macao, Guangdong Province is one of the most culturally and economically vibrant regions in China. It spans from bustling international metropolises to simple and unsophisticated villages; from amazing natural sceneries to millennium-old cultural heritages; from modern and stylish theme parks to, relaxing hot springs and resorts; and from romantic beaches to fascinating customs of ethnic minorities. Nowadays, Guangdong has become one of the most prominent tourist source markets, travel destinations and tourism industry clusters in China and even Asia Pacific region.

Recently named the world’s most visited city, Hong Kong presents itself as a cosmopolitan mega-city full of contrasts, including an impressive skyline bordering world famous Victoria Harbour. Eastern traditions meet western lifestyle, unforgettable culinary experiences ranging from fine-dining to finger food, as well as intoxicating art and sport events enrich the Living Culture of the seven million metropolis. A city where contrasts, variety, trendiness and excitement live side by side. More than 200 mostly uninhabited islands make up a tranquil green backyard to Hong Kong’s skyscrapers and enable exciting outdoor experiences such as hiking, mountain biking or rafting just a few minutes from the bustling downtown skyscrapers.

Macao has undergone a remarkable transformation in the tourism arena and celebrating its’ 20th anniversary as a Special Administrative Region this year. “The Historic Centre of Macao”, a UNESCO World Heritage Site, is a well preserved living testament to the glorious past as a trading post and cultural exchange platform between Asia and Europe. Centuries of dynamic interaction between the east and the west inherently created a distinctive culture and architectural heritage. One of the world’s earliest forms of fusion cuisine was created here, refined over centuries of blending Chinese and Portuguese ingredients together with exotic spices that came from the trading past, is perhaps the perfect way to sample the rich flavours of the distinctive cultural heritage of this UNESCO Creative City of Gastronomy. An abundance of tourism resources, from fully integrated mega resorts, fine dining and unique shopping experience to the world’s longest sea-crossing bridge, seamlessly connects Macao with the cities in the Greater Bay Area.

For further information:
Discover Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Bay Area: http://www.discoverhongkong.com/eng/beyond-hk/bay-area/index.jsp
http://www.discoverhongkong.com/eng/about-hktb/structure-and-management/executive-director.jsp

Thinking Forward Radical in our Time

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A statement by Joumana El Zein Khoury, Director of the Prince Claus Fund.
Greetings from the Netherlands. It is midwinter here, so our part of the earth is aimed away from the sun, which means we have long, dark nights.

The darkness I worry about, though, isn’t a matter of seasons and it’s not limited to the Northern Hemisphere. In talking with you, with our partners from all over the world, I hear similar messages: a sense that the world is getting darker. People everywhere are facing challenges: worries about a backlash where we thought there was progress in achieving social justice; the imminent dangers of climate change; campaigns to exclude minorities and migrants. There seems to be a political trend of silencing diverse voices, erecting barriers, looking inward, blaming ‘the other’.

These developments aren’t happening quietly. They are being extensively measured. The world has become obsessed with numbers which are often used to frighten. Disasters are measured in statistics of displaced and dead. Poverty is quantified in numbers of homeless and unemployed. I believe when society is focused on numbers, it is missing the full picture.
IT IS THE PEOPLE BEHIND THE NUMBERS THAT SHOULD COUNT
We should be flooding the world with their faces and stories. Society needs stories to see beyond the abstractions, prejudices, fears and stereotypes.

Let me just take my own story as an illustration of what I mean: I was born in Lebanon, but my family fled the war when I was a year old, so I grew up and was educated in other countries. I’ve been fortunate to lead a privileged life in which I have absorbed the habits and values – pieces of the cultures – of each place I’ve lived. I’m as blunt as any Dutch native, my intellectual approach is largely French, but I’m completely Lebanese when it comes to hospitality.So how does my story fit into this world of numbers?

You could say that I am one of the world’s 68.5 million displaced people. You could say that I am one of three million migrants living in the Netherlands, or narrow it down to one of the approximately 60,000 Arab immigrants here. But what does that tell you about who I am or what I can contribute?I believe when people and nations are so focused on counting, obsessed with accumulating more wealth but only in concentrated pockets, using money to build walls and bolster already extraordinary military defense, we need to take another path. We need to invest in culture.

Culture enriches in an important way. It amplifies different perspectives and critical voices. It challenges ideas and opens minds. It connects people with each other, with their past and with our collective future. Culture interrogates and influences the established order. It offers possible solutions.
CULTURE HAS THE POWER TO TRANSFORM AND TO MAKE A POSITIVE DIFFERENCE
That is what culture can do. That is what you all do. And in that sense you have become radical in our time, daring to be different in your thoughts and actions. You dare, through your work and your support, to show the inescapable human consequences of the numbers. At the Prince Claus Fund, that is the commitment we see in our network, the commitment that we all share.

By actively supporting radical and creative thinkers, the Fund stands behind those who dare to challenge the status quo. Through creative and peaceful means, you change perceptions, raise debates, connect across difference and improve realities. For many of you, that commitment entails great risks. Just one example was the arrest in August of photographer and social activist Shahidul Alam in Bangladesh. It brought an immediate response. The solidarity was breath-taking! Our partners all over the world launched creative protests.

Underlining the global nature of the risks, around the same time, Chinese photographer Lu Guang went missing in China and multi-media artist Tania Bruguera was arrested together with other artists in Cuba. As of this writing, Tania is out of jail, Shahidul is free but his case is still pending and Lu Guang is reportedly still in police custody. The international outcry that threw an uncomfortable spotlight on Bangladesh may not sway all governments. Incidents of repression will continue, but solidarity in culture has been proven strong.
CREATIVITY WILL HAVE TO BE ENDLESSLY ADAPTABLE AS NEW CHALLENGES ARISE
Culture also has to prepare us for the future, and it is important to engage the people who will be most affected. It’s essential to be working with and for young creatives and providing them with the organisational skills they will need to take part confidently in shaping a more inclusive world. Younger artists have the energy, optimism and commitment that will help bring light to this darkness. With them, we are enlarging our circle. Congolese choreographer Faustin Linyekula calls this circle of Prince Claus Fund partners a ‘guerrilla network’, working stealthily for change.

I like that imagery. I see us all as a global movement, but one that works locally. We are not a ‘one size fits all’ response, but a vast network of individuals who reinforce each other in our individual work, who resist pressures to accept divisions and conform to a single story. We are listeners who hear many voices, share many stories. We put ears to the ground and hear the tremors that are coming. Spread all over the globe, we share the belief that culture is essential everywhere to change the world for the better. Artist and architect, co-funder and collaborator, new media wizard and old weavers – we are all part of a movement that we can be proud of.


For further informationhttps://princeclausfund.org/awards

Plovdiv – European Capital of Culture

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Ancient Theatre, Plovdiv, Bulgaria.

A variety of entertainment events awaits the guests of Plovdiv – European Capital of Culture 2019

Тhe Bulgarian city of Plovdiv was named “European Capital of Culture 2019” inheriting the title from Leewaurden-Friesland, the European Capital of Culture 2018.

Plovdiv – one of the oldest continuously inhabited cities in Europe, which is also the second largest city in Bulgaria, integrates an abundance of cultural events, a well-developing business sector and a rich history. With its striking cultural heritage, architecture and archeology it takes its visitors on a journey back in time.

Populated successively by Thracian, Romans, Byzantines, Slavs and Bulgarians, Plovdiv is currently a cosmopolitan city – a home of different nationalities, cultures and religions. The heart of Plovdiv is the famous Old town – the most picturesque part of the city with quite an impressive architecture.

The jewel of the Old town is the Ancient theatre, built in the 1st century A.D. and one of the best preserved in the world. Another ancient treasure of Plovdiv is the Bishop Basilica and the roman mosaic of Philipoppolis from V-VI century. The visitors of Plovdiv can also find here a lot of Orthodox churches, Muslim mosques, Catholic cathedral, Armenian church, Evangelist church.

The longest pedestrian zone in Europe is also located in Plovdiv and it includes everyone’s favorite – the creative art district Kapana. The fascinating artefacts in combination with the modern art make Plovdiv a must see town in your bucket list.

Plovdiv is celebrating its year in the spotlight with a reach programme of nearly 500 cultural events, which will enable you to enjoy quality music performed live by world-famous artists as well as delicious food, fascinating exhibitions and diverse spectacles.

The very opening of the initiative Plovdiv – European Capital of Culture 2019 was remarkable. Over the weekend of 11th to 13th of January a series of events kicked off, with the most exciting and large-scale of them all – the spectacle We Are All Colors”. It combined music, lights and dance, and with over 1500 participants from Bulgaria and abroad, it recreated on an open-air stage a sweeping and colorful metaphor presenting all the main themes in the programme of ‘Plovdiv 2019’ and their unification under the slogan ‘Together’.

Bulgaria, Plovdiv Pana-Creative, District. Photography Credits to loveplovdiv.bg

If you are a music enthusiast, regardless of which your favorite genre is, Plovdiv will be the place to experience unforgettable moments in 2019. Opera Open, for example, will bring together the greatest talents from all over the world, and the event atmosphere will be remarkable. The audience will be entertained with 10 spectacles under the open sky and will take place on the stage of the Ancient theatre.

Opera Open’s diverse programme can be enjoyed from June 14 to July 31. Its kick-off will be the premiere of ‘Orpheus and Eurydice’- a spectacle put together by the leading opera director Stefano Poda. In the Ancient theatre, a large-scale coproduction will be held in partnership with Teatro Regio di Parma– namely, Verdi festival – for all those who are fans of classical music. The placard also includes a ballet spectacle with solo performers from the superb Bolshoi Theatre.

For the fans of heavier music, the festival Hills of Rock – for the third consecutive year – will offer three days of euphoria. Hills of Rock will take place from July 19th to 21st at the Rowing Base (Regatta Venue), in the center of the largest park in the city – the Recreation and Culture Park – and will attract world-class performers. 

Ancient Theatre, Plovdiv, Bulgaria.

A delicious complement to the plethora of music events will be Plovdiv Jazz Fest, which will take place in November 2019. This international festival brings together the best performers of the genre and immerses the audience in this type of culture. In addition to the main programme, there are various attendant events – craft workshops, jam sessions, exhibitions. A prestigious award for overall contribution to jazz music and a Youth Competition have also been set up. 

With so much music, it would be impossible to miss out on dance. Love Swing Dance Festival will take place from 26th to 29th of September. In parallel to that – from September 19th to October 13th – ONE DANCE WEEK 2019 will be held. The festival will present the most significant performers in the field of contemporary dance practices from Europe, Asia and America.

NIGHT/Plovdiv is one of the most prominent annual city initiatives in Plovdiv. This year it will be held from September 13th to 15th.  More than 100 participants will join in and an extensive and diverse programme of events will be held in over 70 different spots in the city. NIGHT also offers a free entry to museums, galleries, the workshops of Plovdiv artists, cultural institutions, community centers, reading clubs as well as many open spaces. In 2019 NIGHT will incorporate specially designed projects by authors from Germany, Sweden, Austria Turkey, France, Israel, the USA and other countries as well as many initiatives developed in partnership with the cultural institutes inside the country. The youngest viewers will also be catered to: the programme ‘The Small NIGHT’ will be especially designed for them.

In order to experience the cultural diversity of Plovdiv and exhibit their art, 13 creative companies from Belgium, France, Italy and Switzerland will take to the road. They will arrive in the European capital of culture on June 1st, coming on foot, on horseback, by bicycles, trailers or trucks. In the city this multitude of over 200 creative artists and their collaborators will set up three art camps. They will share their art with the public over the course of 10 days. 

The Week of Contemporary Art is also a large-scale international exhibition project with an over 20-year-old history and content of the highest standard of quality. In 2019, the Week of Contemporary Art will be held from September 1st to October 1st.

One of the distinctive features of Bulgarian culture is the language – complex, but rhythmic and beautiful. The written expression of the language is the Cyrillic alphabet – recognized as the third official alphabet of the European Union. The city of Plovdiv is the first European capital of culture which uses the Cyrillic alphabet.

Plovdiv – the European Capital of Culture 2019 is already welcoming its guests with a wide range of events, meeting places and breath-taking views. With some appetizing food and Thracian wine, you will get a taste of the contemporary feel of a Bohemian life. You can enjoy unique cuisine, including a number of food festivals, influenced by the many cultures that live in harmony under the Plovdiv hills. More about the programme you can find on the website of Plovdiv 2019 Foundation (www.plovdiv2019.eu) and the official pages of the initiative on social media platforms.

The end of the democracy dream is very close. We’ve already taken the first steps into it

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By Paul săndulescu.

PLUTOCRACY – Noun

1.    Government by the wealthy.

2.    A controlling class of the wealthy. (Wiktionary)

PLUTOCRACY – A plutocracy or plutarchy is a society that is ruled or controlled by people of great wealth or income. (Wikipedia)

PLUTOCRAT – Noun

Someone who rules by virtue of his or her wealth. (Wiktionary)

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE – Noun

1. The branch of computer science dealing with the reproduction or mimicking of human-level intelligence, self-awareness, knowledge, conscience, thought in computer programs.

2. The essential quality of a machine which thinks in a manner similar to or on the same general level as a real human being.

3. A computer system or software package which is artificially intelligent.

4. An intelligent, self-aware computer or computer program. (Wiktionary)

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE

Artificial intelligence is intelligence demonstrated by machines, in contrast to the natural intelligence displayed by humans and other animals. (Wikipedia)

On November 17, 2018, street demonstrations began in France, which proved to be the most extensive and serious of the past decades, even for a country where such movements have a tradition of hundred-years. It is important to keep in mind that they did not have a leadership and were not stirred up by trade unions or opposition political parties. The spark was kindled by the rise in fuel prices (sic!) and the taxes to be introduced from January 1, 2019, but behind them is the general impoverishment of the population, predominantly of the workers and of the middle class, especially in rural and peri-urban areas. The magnitude and violence they came to (including the dead and seriously injured) denote that the roots are deep and spread, although the protests seem to drop in intensity for now. The protesters adopted as distinctive sign the yellow jackets that the law compels the car workers to wear.

Dissatisfaction is general on the global level, not only in France, so the symbol of the yellow vests appears more and more rapidly and more often in the protest movements starting from Europe and reaching North Africa, Middle East and North America, although the claims do not seem to be always the same. Not yet. So, what is it about?

Whether you are aware or not, you are contemporaries to two enormous global currents that feed each other and whose effect you have been feeling for a long time, but for which you are continually intentionally induced to find side causes. It would be great, however, to know the real ones, because they will determine the future of your existence and the course of the events you will be facing.

These two currents are: the ultra-concentration of wealth and the disappearance of the need of people.

In 2014, in New York, plutocrat Nick Hanauer made at the TEDSalon NY2014 the presentation “Beware, fellow plutocrats, the pitchforks are coming“. I invite you to watch it!!! The title itself is suggestive. Note that this warning comes from a plutocrat!

Just three years before, on September 17, 2011, due to social and economic inequality, corruption and the undue influence of corporations on the US government — particularly from the financial services sector, appeared the Occupy Wall Street (OWS) movement. The OWS slogan, “We are the 99%”, refers to the income inequality and wealth distribution in the U.S. between the wealthiest 1% and the rest of the population.

It is true that after nearly two months, on November 15, 2011, the protesters were forced out of Zuccotti Park, which they occupied, and 2,000 were arrested in New York and 6,000 in the rest of the US. It is true that the movement has lost breath, is true that in 2016 the businessman Donald Trump was elected president, but that does not mean the reasons were not real or have disappeared. On the contrary, they are getting deeper with every day passing.

 Nick Hanauer pointed out in 2014 that in 1980 the top 1% of Americans held 8% of the country’s wealth, while the 50% of the lower half of their compatriots shared 18% of it; that in 2010 the top 1% owned 20% of the wealth, while the bottom 50% owned 12% of it; and if this trend persists in 2040 the 1% will own 30% of the wealth, while the 50% bottom will have only 6%. Forbes magazine outlined that in the 1950s a typical US CEO made 20 times the salary of his average worker. In 2018, the ratio rose to 1: 361, but there are cases where it reaches 1:4.987!!! Nick Hanauer has warned that this evolution will transform the modern capitalism into an eighteenth century neo-feudalist rentier society. That the things are much worse on the entire planet, and that the things are accelerating results too from the reports Oxfam presented in two consecutive years to the annual meeting of the World Economic Forum in Davos in 2016 and 2017.

 In 2016, Oxfam warned that compared to 2010, the wealth of the poorest half of the world fell by 1 trillion USD, which means a 38 % reduction (!!!), while the world’s population grew by 400 million over the same period. In the same 6 years, the wealth of the richest 62 people in the world grew by more than half a trillion dollars, so they held half of the world’s wealth in 2016. In 2010, the number of the rich people who owned half the wealth of the world was 388, but it fell steeply from year to year: 177 in 2011, 159 in 2012, 92 in 2013, 80 in 2014, and 62 in 2015! So, wealth is concentrating very fast! This is in the conditions of the great global financial depression, which started in 2007!

 In its January 2017 report, Oxfam outlined that, although the previous year’s calculation may have been badly misplaced because it did not have all the data at its disposal (so instead of 62, the rich were probably only 9) the number of those concentrating the wealth of the world narrowed further: early last year only 8 people (Bill Gates, Amancio Ortega, Warren Buffett, Carlos Slim Helu, Jeff Bezos, Mark Zuckerberg, Larry Ellison, Michael Bloomberg) owned as much as 3.6 billion people. Meanwhile, the number has probably narrowed even more. I do not intend to address the issues of equity, but the question arises for itself: what is the social utility of this accumulation for it to be allowed?

 In his turn, former Greek finance minister Yanis Varoufakis, in a 2015 presentation in Geneva entitled “Capitalism will eat democracy – unless we speak up“, showed that in the democratic process appeared a split: democratic decisions include only the political factors, while the financial and corporate ones, which really influence the lives of the populations of the planet, were totally left on their own. And they finally came to acquire such power that a rumor is circulating that the “Democracy would be banned if it ever threatened to change anything.”

 As early as 1923, the Freemason Count Richard Nikolaus von Coudenhove-Kalergi, recognized as the “father” of the European Union constitution, stated that: “Today, democracy is a facade for plutocracy: because the people would not tolerate naked plutocracy, the nominal power is left to them, whilst the actual power rests in the hands of plutocrats. In republican as in monarchical democracies the statesmen are puppets of capitalist masterminds: they dictate the guidelines of the policy, they control voters through the purchase of public opinion, thorough business and social relations controls the Minister….The plutocracy of today is more powerful than the aristocracy of yesterday: because nobody is above it in the country which is their tool and accomplice“.

 In France, in December 2018, Macron (a former banker at Rothschild & Cie Banque) admitted nonchalantly that protesters’ anger is “deep and in many ways legitimate” but did not give up to rising the taxes, including increasing the tax for low-income pensioners, the tax for overtime payments and end-of-year bonuses, only just postponed them. On the other hand he refused to reinstate the wealth tax he scrapped upon entering into office.

 Besides that, as Nick Hanauer admitted, till now the wealth of the powerful Western countries was based on a strong and large middle class, so absolutely necessary, but throughout history when was needed the masses had their means of struggle needed to improve the situation: strikes, protests, riots, revolutions. The vote is not to be taken into account because we came at the moment when no matter who is in power they are doing what plutocracy “asks”. Just as Richard Nikolaus von Coudenhove-Kalergi said.

 What gave people real force was that they were needed by the plutocrats: they were need to work, so to produce value added, therefore wealth; they were needed for the force bodies (to wage wars to seize or defend the seizure, and for the internal guarding of the wealth); were necessary for the government apparatus (for the proper functioning of the society, so that the wealth to continue to be produced).

Only now, with the advent of the Artificial Intelligence and the accelerated replacement of people in all social processes, the need for people disappear so that their democratic means of struggle disappear. Who’s interested if someone goes on strike when he is no longer needed?! Artificial Intelligence is the future evolutionary step, so it is a threat to the survival of the human species is, but this isn’t the aspect I want to bring to your attention, but the present and what’s next: the impoverishment of people and the decrease to extinction of the need of them.

The European Parliament already takes into account the fact that the Artificial Intelligence will “pose a challenge to humanity’s capacity to control its own creation and, consequently, perhaps also to its capacity to be in charge of its own destiny and to ensure the survival of the species“. Consequently, already is preparing the necessary legislation, but in the interest of the Artificial Intelligence. Among other things, its existence will be recognized by law and will be given the right to be employed; insurance companies will be obliged insure the AI for the accidents it causes maliciously, recklessly or carelessly; the companies producing AI will be released from liability for the damage caused by the AI they produced, for the reason that AI has the ability to learn by itself, and they do not have to respond for it.

A former Facebook employee, programmer Antonio Garcia Martinez, has clearly stated that “You do not realize we’re in a race between technology and politics, and technologists are winning, they are way ahead. They will destroy jobs and disrupt economies way before we even react to them“. He is sure that in at most 30 years, half of mankind will remain without jobs, but the beginning is much closer than that: 5, at most 10 years. As a consequence, he bought some land on an island near Seattle, where he is preparing for the wild times to come. And he says that many Silicon Valley IT professionals are doing the same, but on a larger scale.

Antonio Garcia Martinez, however, was optimistic, for Artificial Intelligence had already for long time occupied people’s jobs. If 30-35 years ago you were calling at a company, a centralist was answering; now a robot is responding to you. The doors were opens by a gatekeeper, and now is a robot that opens them. Even the telephone surveys are made nowadays by robots. Until now, the commercial vehicles were driven by professional drivers, but they will to be driven by computers in a short time. This means not only that the drivers will disappear, but traffic police will no longer be needed. The traffic control is done already by computers. And the computers are now recognizing pedestrian faces and overseeing their movements and activities, too. All these are already lost jobs, but also mean the control of the populations through and by the AI.

Note that 5 of the world’s 8 richest people are related to information technology. Their power is illustrated by the fact that Mark Zuckerberg refused to appear in November 2018 in front of an international grand committee of parliamentarians from seven countries. In May 2018, after three refusals to appear before the European Parliament, Zuckerberg eventually presented there, but although lawmakers asked him questions for 60 minutes, he spent less than 10 minutes to skirt them all. On this occasion, Guy Verhofstadt, the chairman of the Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe (ALDE), asked him if he is “a genius who created a digital monster that is destroying our democracies and our societies“, and Manfred Weber, the leader of the center-right EPP group, the largest in the European Parliament, said “I think it’s time to break Facebook as a monopoly, because it’s already too much power in one hand. So, I ask you simply, can you convince me not to do so?” Zuckerberg refused three times to appear before the British Parliament, but came before Congress in April 2018. Somehow disproportionate the forces in these meetings relationship, right? On one part a plutocrat, who comes to the audiences or not, as he pleases, and on the other hand the elected representatives of the people who prove to be powerless. In fact, it reflects very accurately the report of the world’s wealth owning. You have not forgotten, right? 8 people to 3.7 billion. Who is actually rigging the games is very clear from Zuckerberg’s attitude and behavior.

That the plutocrats have the real power also is seen from the fact that all the companies that have Internet activity, all the software companies, collect the users personal data far beyond their acceptance without taking into account any other considerations apart from the companies own interest. It is very similar to the situation in the Middle Ages, when the senior of the land owned everything you had. As a simple example, I have no preference for Google and I did not allow it to collect my data. However, if I buy a mobile phone (which is a utility), the phone has Google preinstalled and all its affiliate applications. Although I’ve disabled “Location,” and I have not allowed it, Google knows where I live, where I work, where I spend my vacations, where I am at any time.  It is following my traffic on the net, the pages I access, my shopping, correspondence, and so it knows my preferences, my relationships, how I relate, think, make choices.

Moreover, Google closes the accounts of those who dare to express their opinions contrary to hyper-liberalism, that is to say against its interests, because democracy and hyper – liberalism are their tools (remember Richard Nikolaus von Coudenhove-Kalergi ) – is selling the private information of those who use the Internet, including the correspondence of its clients, even though they did not agree and did not know this fact. And so on, and so on, and so on. And the people have no choice. If they refuse, they are denied the access to those services. They have just the option to accept the abuse. Much the same option the slaves had, and later the serfs, thralls, servants, bondmen: your accept your enslavement or disappear.

It is, however, incomprehensible how society will operate under the conditions of general impoverishment. The blood of human society is money, and its health requires good circulation of this blood. If people do not have jobs, so they cannot earn their money, if money is concentrated in the hands of 1% or less, how will the human society work? What do plutocrats have in mind???

 I am not intending in this article to suggest solutions. These involve a radical general change of thought and cannot be determined by a few pages. And I do not even know if we will get to change something. I cannot, however, not to suggest that the actual functioning of the financial system is wrongly conceived from the start. Three years ago, in September 2015, I have shown that almost all countries have debt, and the debt is growing steadily. At that time, the US had an external debt of USD 18.540 billion (i.e. 106% of GDP), the United Kingdom 406%, France 222%, Germany 145%, Norway 141%, Italy 124%, Switzerland 229%, Hong Kong 334% , Iceland 724%, and Luxembourg 3.443%. China has an external debt of 37.5%, and Russia of “only” 23%. The planet’s total debt amounted to US $ 199,000 billion in the second quarter of 2014, rising US $ 57,000 billion (17%) over the past seven years of a major global financial crisis. The whole planet was indebted in the second quarter of 2014 by 286% compared to the Gross World Product (GWP), compared to 269%, as it was in the fourth quarter of 2007.

 It is absolutely understandable that at the moment government budgets are emptied. In addition to the excessive and unnecessary indebtedness, which is siphoning huge volumes of society’s blood (money) towards plutocracy, the traditional method of ensuring a steady budget income, the only one that has been applied so far in history, is the taxation of the masses. It is based only on the certainty that the masses produce income, so that they have the money to pay with. Their income has so far resulted from sales (of products or labor), which meant that, ultimately, human labor was needed. But we came to the moment when the work of masses of people is less and less necessary, so they will not have the money to buy the goods, and ultimately to buy the work of other people. It is an auto-induced process, very similar to a plane’s stall; if the pilot does not intervene, with maximum certainty the flight will end very quickly into a crash.

The loan is useful to any person and any company to develop, so it cannot be abandoned. But would not it be an idea that the loans be granted by the state banks, so that part of the profits go to budgets? A nationalization of private banks is not possible, but they can be subjected to differentiate taxation, say double of the state banks, so they contribute more to the budget, and at the same time the clients would migrate to the state banks.

Perhaps another solution could be the drastic progressive taxation with reaching limits that exceed very much not only the normal needs of lots of generations of middle class people, but even the normal luxury of those in the upper class. We are offered arguments, first of all, by politicians (see Macron) that the rich need the money to create jobs. That is total false, misleading. The politicians are making such statements to justify to the electorate why they are not taking the necessary measures. You should watch the exposition of Nick Hanauer, mentioned above!!!

The amount of money in circulation is the same, no matter who owns it. More jobs are created, and social life goes much more harmoniously, the blood of society, the money, flows much faster and better, the competition is blooming, the political decisions and democracy ultimately work naturally, freely, as they are meant, if wealth is distributed more evenly, not concentrated in the hands of 1% or less of the people.

The very near future is not favorable to you if you are not a plutocrat. I am very sure that the next one is not favorable to them, either, even though they are convinced they will still have the control. The next evolutionary step is Artificial Intelligence, which even plutocracy cannot handle. But until then the big problems are for the 99%. The problems for the other 1%, after that ….. I mean a few years, though.

Ancient Tools Rescue Lost Cultures

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By Mara Lemanis.

Tools imperative to civilizations from time immemorial—mallets, chisels, tracers, gouges—are becoming the beacons for a new vision in age-old cultures.

The ancient cities of Aleppo, Homs, Bosra, Palmyra–all UNESCO world heritage sites–lie in ruins, razed, their monuments, tombs, citadels ravaged. But refugees in the desert town of Mafraq, Jordan are brandishing chisels and hammers against the devastation.

At Mafraq, Jordan a conservation stonemasonry program began in the fall of 2017.  In a workshop funded by the World Monuments Fund and the Petra National Trust of Jordan, a small cadre of women and men, young and old, bend over huge limestone blocks, chiseling them into replicas of ancient monuments. They are honing the ageless craft practiced by stonemasons who sculpted the portals of the antique world.

Some of the students come from the refugee camp in Mafraq, some from the desert to the east, where over 80,000 live in the corrugated shacks of Zaatari Camp.  As they train in the year-long program of restoration stonemasonry, their aim is to rebuild the heritage sites and the ornamental architecture that famously graced the millennial cities known as the glories of the ancient world.

The tools they wield do not compete with the devouring talents of the digital age. Cyberspace cannot displace the pounding of hammers, the suppleness of hands. The refugee masons carve reliefs, curves, arabesques, and balusters into a variety of geometric figures and shapes, In their devotion to their materials, they start to inhabit the stone.

Mafraq Masons

Rising at 5 a.m., they study the essentials of geometry and basic engineering before tackling the pedestal blocks to shape them to their will in the time-honored tradition of manual technique. These apprentice stonecutters are acutely aware that their increasing expertise is unlikely to help restore the ravaged sites of their former homes for a long time to come. Their determination and sentiments revolve around the principle of being ready to use their new skills at such time when the Syrian war has ended and rebuilding can begin. As masonry was nearly a lost art long before the war, the students believe their aspirations will not be in vain but will fill a cultural void.

World Monuments program director, Stephen Battle, is quick to point out that even if the will to reconstruct is strong, and even if the funds to effect preservation are available, nothing will be done unless people practiced in conservation skills are directly called in to work through the ruins.

One of the trainees, Owaish Jabra, lives with memories of the marble courtyard and glorious minaret at Aleppo’s Great Mosque. That courtyard lies under debris now, singed, riddled with bullet holes. She can only say that it hurts her heart to look at what it has become.

An especially talented student, Mahmoud Rafeeq al Quasem, says he needs to bring out what he feels. When he looks at what his chisel has carved, his feelings claim: “The stone belongs to me.”

A preserved heritage has always served as the foundation of a people’s identity, the symbol of their civilization inscribed in monuments, scrolls, artifacts that bond them to their history and culture. Dressed stone facades, buildings, sculptures are icons of communal life and pride. A broken icon derails a people’s ethos, breaks their spirit of commonalty.

The great Renaissance artist, Michelangelo, said that his task was to free the human form trapped inside the block of stone. These student refugees work to free their heritage trapped inside tons of rubble.

They labor to make the stone revive the lives they lost. It is a vision of old resolved anew.

Iran’s foreign policy

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By Corneliu Pivariu.  

On the background of the developments in the Middle East during the last years, the beginning of 2019 was marked as well by the 40 years anniversary of the Islamic Revolution in Iran which led to the Shah’s overthrowing and the establishment of the Khomeini’s Islamic regime with all the consequences and implications such a development supposed, including in what foreign policy was concerned.

The most important shift in foreign policy was exiting from the American sphere of influence and the gradual building up of its own foreign policy the way it was and is still  seen by the Iranian political and religious leaders. Two main approaches are noticed on this background: ”reactive defense”, based on the principle of recting to the instability and insecurity in the region in order to turn possible danger and threat situations to the regime in Tehran into a safer and more stable environment, with predictible developments; “proactive revolutionary attitude”, which develops and supports the issue of Iran’s regional involvement, justified by regional competences considered to belong inherently to the country.

 As far as the first approach is concerned, we notice some major elements: Iraq; other countries in the Middle East (prioritising Syria, Lebanon, Saudi Arabia, the Gulf countries – with a special emphasis on Bahrein) and Afghanistan.

  Iraq is considered the most challenging country with most opportunities as well for the Iranian regime and the situation of the relations between Tehran and Baghdad is extremely complex and is carried out on four major, interdependent levels but with interference nuances among them: at state’s level; among parties/politicians; at religious level; militarily. Managing such an intricate type of relations is a major task for the leadership of the two countries, especially taking into account that the USA tries to maintain its influence over the regime in Baghdad and to contain as much as possible (without any notable success) the Iranian influence.

  Syria and Lebanon are considered to be of strategic importance to Iran on the background of the Iranian perceptions concerning the threats it has to face, and the first two of them are the USA and Israel. The developments of the situation in Syria and the special relations Tehran has with the Lebanese Hezbollah and with Hamas movement in Gaza are essential elements of the Iranian foreign policy and the country will rely on them in the coming period, too.

  As far as the revolutionary proactive attitude is concerned, the advocates of this approach list the following arguments: the size of the population, their great educational level and the rich natural resources of the country; history and the long-standing imperial traditions; the geopolitical situation combined with a powerful and well trained military force. It is on this background that Iran consider it was invited by the countries in the region to have a military and of other nature presence on their territory, aimed at protecting their territorial integrity and national identity, and Syria is the iconic example to that purpose. 

  40 years after the establishment of the Islamic Republic, the revolutionary spirit is still strongly felt within the Iranian society under different motivations, from the belief in the goals of the Islamic revolution to personal or group interests, including benefits of material or investment nature. There is, at the same time, another segment of the society, especially of those born after 1979 who do not understand why their parents called for the Islamic Revolution.

 It seems that, in terms of regional policy, Tehran adopt a rational and pragmatic position in which president Hassan Rouhani’s administration backs rather the reactive defence position than the revolutionary one, without excluding the latter, depending on opportunities.

About the author:

Corneliu Pivariu. Photographer: Ionus Paraschiv.
Corneliu Pivariu. Photographer: Ionus Paraschiv.

Corneliu Pivariu Military Intelligence and International Relations Senior Expert

A highly decorated retired two-star general of the Romanian army, during two decades he has led one of the most influential magazines on geopolitics and international relations in Eastern Europe, the bilingual journal Geostrategic Pulse.

From the past to the future

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By H.E. Ms. Mirsada Čolaković, Ambassador of Bosnia and Herzegovina to the Kingdom of the Netherlands.

It seems as if it was only yesterday when I was a young diplomat in the mid 1990’s representing my newly independent country to the Benelux. This is where my first ties and personal connections with the Netherlands began. Today, I have the privilege to serve my country as Ambassador to the Kingdom of the Netherlands, as well as Permanent Representative to the international organizations located in The Hague.  

The Netherlands, 27 years ago, was one of the first countries to establish diplomatic relations with my country.  Those relations continue to improve. Much progress has been made in our bilateral political, economic and cultural cooperation. 

There is an important connection between our two countries. By saying this, I refer to the significant number (around 40,000) of people with Bosnian and Herzegovinian origin who found refuge here in time of great need, during the tragic war in former Yugoslavia. Today most of them are very successful and highly educated individuals, working as lawyers, doctors, business owners, artists and distinguished members of academia.

As the Ambassador of BiH1,  I am very proud when I talk to Dutch officials and hear them say that Bosnians are among the best integrated communities in the Netherlands: according to the statistics, 40% of the young generations who grew up in the Netherlands, obtained a university degree. 

A remarkable variety of people-to-people contacts between Bosnians and Dutchmen has been established. These bonds were forged in extraordinary circumstances and in difficult times. I am very happy to note that they continue to flourish to this day, as many joint commercial ventures and charitable projects show. Dutch entrepreneurs, among them quite a few from the BiH community, have discovered the economic and commercial advantages that my country has to offer.

At the Embassy of Bosnia & Herzegovina in The Hague, Ambassador Čolaković, works restless to increase bilateral relations with the Netherlands.

Portugal: From The Hague, I am serving as the non-residential Ambassador to the Republic of Portugal. In this capacity, I am paying official visits to this beautiful country several times a year. This has given me the opportunity and honour to meet the Portuguese President, Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa; Minister of Foreign Affairs, Augusto Santos Silva; as well as other high-ranking Portuguese officials and diplomatic colleagues. 

BiH is an attractive place for cost-efficient and reliable outsourcing of parts of production processes, e.g. in light metalworking, in furniture making and software development. There is room for more, notably in agriculture and in food processing.

If it is true that wisdom comes with age, it is also true that today our world is facing unprecedented challenges: multilateralism is under immense strain, and our shared values are being tested, our common endeavours, system and structures are being revisited. I feel that only a reinvigorated vision and persistent commitment to our shared beliefs can make a difference. Indeed: small and big, developed and developing countries, need to rally around and unite to uphold our legacy; the principles of international law, human rights and other core values enshrined in the UN Charter. 

My dedication to multilateralism is the result of personal experience: working as the Permanent Representative of BiH to the United Nations in New York, in particular when I represented my country during the time it served as an elected member of the Security Council (2010 /2011).  That experience gave me an additional perception and unique knowledge of global political dynamics. The Netherlands just finished a successful membership in the Security Council; my Dutch colleagues lobbied very hard to improve certain practices and to enhance the efficiency of the UN Peacekeeping efforts. The multilateral approach to global challenges is another example of a vision that BiH and the Netherlands share. On numerous occasions, the importance of this concept has been reconfirmed by high ranking officials from both countries.

The path to the European Union

Submission of the application for the EU membership by BiH occurred during the Dutch Presidency of the EU in February 2016. This date marks the completion of one of the very important steps in fulfilling the primary strategic priority and goal of my country’s foreign policy: joining the EU.

Granting the candidate status to BiH, which we expect to happen this year/in 2019, would give a strong impetus to the implementation of all necessary reforms to meet the EU membership criteria. It would also further contribute to our citizens’ natural sense of belonging to a larger European family of nations, with which they have always shared values, history as well as cultural heritage and strong personal ties. 

Security

BiH was once a receiver of international peace-keeping and security efforts, and has since moved on to become a provider of peace and security across the world. In this regard I want to underline our troop contributions and our continued presence in the NATO mission in Afghanistan, as well as to EU and UN missions dedicated to the fight against terrorism and radical extremism. 

What is Bosnia and Herzegovina famous for?

Apart from an unfortunate, tragic and painful recent past, over the centuries our country has enjoyed a very vibrant and rich history. It has always been a meeting point for the West and the East. This has resulted in a rich plethora of cultures, traditions, ethnicities, and religions. As such, diversity is one of the core principles of our country, the same principle upon which the European Union is based.

The testimonies of those who have visited my country are the best proof of the unique beauties of BiH. They will tell you of its natural wonders, ranging from snow covered mountain peaks, lush forests, deep valleys with beautiful rivers, amazing cities, deep lakes and a short but beautiful seaside. They will also tell you about the hospitality of our people, wonderful cuisine, excellent Herzegovinian wine, the best regional Film Festival and Oscar winners, our Olympic Winter Games (1984) as well as the European Youth Olympic Festival 2019, which opened just last month (February). 

What is it so special about Armenia?

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By H.E. Mr Tigran Balayan, Ambassador of the Republic of Armenia to the Kingdom of the Netherlands.

This question was formulated by an Ambassador, accredited to Armenia, after the victory of non-violent revolution in Armenia in 2018. And since, many are trying to answer this question, I would offer you my version of the answer.

Armenia: a landlocked country of a big nation, a unique corner of creativity and bright minds, an island of hospitality and warm smiles. While speaking about Armenia one can use many characteristics, objective and subjective ones, but most won’t argue that the very special thing about this country is its anthropocentrism. 

The very fact of Armenia being human centered was once again demonstrated in 2018. The Velvet Revolution that took place in April last year came to prove that the driving force of our country is its people։ the people who have once again manifested the adherence to their universal democratic values and fundamental freedoms, who have strongly and vocally confirmed their determination to strengthen the respect of human rights, who have resolutely rejected the entrenched negative practices of the past and decisively embraced reforms aimed at fighting corruption, strengthening the justice system and the rule of law, as well as good governance, securing equal opportunities in social and economic life to promote sustainable development.

The slogans of Armenian popular movement, namely “Love, fraternity and tolerance” speak for themselves.

H.E. Mr Tigran Balayan, Ambassador of the Republic of Armenia presenting his credentials to The King of the Netherlands.

The Velvet Revolution embodies an absolutely non-violent transformation without a single victim. It is another demonstration of the considerably high degree of political maturity and legal literacy of the Armenian public, of all its segments and institutions. Of particular significance is the distinctly strong role of the youth and women, who stood at the forefront of the Revolution, having a fantastic influence on peaceful transfer of power.

Noteworthy, the events of April, 2018 had their logical continuation, namely the snap parliamentary elections held last December, which were assessed by numerous international observation missions as consistent with international standards, as well as free, fair and transparent. The snap elections came to reaffirm the complete victory of democracy in the country and paved a way for building up a more prosperous Armenia.

Armenia is on his way of providing a fertile ground and attractiveness for foreign, including European investors. The “Comprehensive and Enhanced Partnership Agreement” with the European Union, which economically and politically connects Armenia to the latter, provides all the necessary conditions for creating a business friendly environment for the investors. The large scale reforms, conducted by my Government, are aimed at creating most favorable conditions for businesses and investments. This very idea of providing a revolutionary leap in economy lies in the basis of the Government’s program, due to which the Revolution is not over: there is a second stage and it is the Economic one. 

As a result of the last year’s political developments in the country, Armenia was selected by “The Economist” as “The Country of the Year”, stating that “an ancient and often misruled nation in a turbulent region has a chance of democracy and renewal”.

Certainly, achieving coherent democracy is a difficult process, which requires substantial time, unconditional commitment and even a change in mentality. Armenia has taken the first steps in this everlasting path. Due to the unprecedented level of public confidence and legitimacy the Government of Armenia remains resolute in implementing the adopted multifaceted and ambitious agenda of reforms.

Armenia has opened an entirely new page in its history, a page full of hopes and confidence in a brighter future.

The Ambassador of Armenia.

In this challenging path Armenia should not be left alone: the support of the democratic states, especially the Netherlands, as a leading advocate of human rights and fundamental freedoms, is of high importance.    

In its activities and actions by far the Government is being led by the strong recognition of the imperative of continuity and sustainability of the efforts aimed at providing tangible results, as the support of the Armenian public rendered to the Prime Minister of Armenia and to the Government is both inspiring and hugely obliging.

Armenia’s uniqueness also lies in the very fact that the Velvet Revolution has been strictly homegrown and was of an exclusively domestic nature. Both in its program and in the actual conduct of policies the Government has been distinctly adhering to continuity of its foreign policy, both at bilateral and multilateral levels, aimed at the promotion of regional and international peace, stability and mutually reinforcing cooperation.

My country’s foreign policy is strictly Armenia centered, and its domestic policy is human oriented, as we see no alternatives to democracy, which has existential importance for Armenia and Armenian Diaspora, present on all continents. And, indeed, it is exactly what is so special about Armenia.

Photography by Roy Strik.

South Sudan-India: Diplomatic Relations and Economic Partnership Potentials

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By Abraham Telar Kuc.

During the Sudan civil wars in fifties, sixties, seventies, eighties and nineties India maintained some kind of unofficial diplomatic relations with then Southern Sudan region; when His Excellency President Fakruddin Ali Ahmed the President of Republic of India visited in 1975 what was then the regional and the current capital of Republic of South Sudan, President Fakruddin was welcomed by the entire population of Juba city whom turn up in thousands for his reception. The Indian President addressed then Southern Sudanese citizen, Southern Sudan regional’s government officials, communities’ leaders, non-state actors and the members of People’s Regional Assembly based in Juba.

Although India did not take a side in supporting anyone from the warring parties of Sudan civil wars and despite not having any formal diplomatic presence in then Sudan’s southern region; but there was unofficial diplomatic communication between India and then Sudan People’s Liberation Army and Movement in eighties and nineties during the civil war era, through its diplomatic missions in D.R. Congo, Kenya, Uganda and other African’s countries India manage to establish a good impression among South Sudanese leaders and citizens which currently led to a very smooth ties with no any kind of  political and  ideological differences from the past.

As one of the world new emerging powers India showed its interest on developing diplomatic and economic ties with South Sudan long time ago; in 2005 Honorable Edappakath Ahamed the Indian Deputy Minister for External Affairs attended the signing ceremony of peace agreement between the Sudan warring parties in the Kenyan capital Nairobi, two years later in October 2007 the Indian government opened its Consulate in Juba which making it one of the first foreign diplomatic missions in the regional government capital.

India welcomed South Sudan referendum results and recognized the independence of Republic of South Sudan and sends to Juba a very high level delegation led by His Excellency Mohammad Hamid Ansari the Vice President of India to attend the 9th July Independence celebrations and followed by the upgrading of Indian Consulate in Juba to the Embassy level after seven month of the Africa and world’s newest independent state.

South Sudan, Indian relations did not only end in their bilateral ties; but India extended its bilateral engagement with South Sudan to its role within the international community and the United Nations in particular where its participated in the United Nations Mission in South Sudan (UNMISS) by the biggest and largest contingent plus civilian officials, police officers and personnel and other civilian contractors.

With India willing to have a positive influence role in South Sudan; the Indian government’s Ministry of External Affairs been providing a good number of fully sponsored scholarships for South Sudanese undergraduate and postgraduate students in Indian universities and other higher learning institutions for the past  years offered by the Indian Council of Cultural Relations; the commitment of India in helping and enhancing the specialized profession skills for South Sudanese staffs and employees both in government, independent public and private sectors through  the Indian Technical and Economic Cooperation (ITEC) which is also a government  fully funded training programs  under the Indian’s Ministry of External Affairs in collaboration with the Indian Embassies around the world, and the program aims is to provide capacity building and enhancing skills for developing  and under developing countries around the globe in different Indian higher learning, institutes, training centers and government institutions, hundreds of South Sudanese benefited from Indian’s ITEC training program and I myself I´am one of the beneficiaries of Indian Technical and Economic Cooperation program where I was offered a diploma of Development Journalism from Indian Institute of Mass Communication sponsored by Indian’s Ministry of External Affairs and facilitated by the Indian Embassy in the Republic of South Sudan.

There is no clear statistics and records on trade exchange and economic partnership between South Sudan and India. India is investing limitedly in South Sudan oil sector through India’s Oil and Natural Gas Commission and it’s largely involving in importing oil, teak and timber from South Sudan which is also exporting consuming stuffs, food items, household goods, medical and pharmaceuticals, electronics and other needs from India. Some Indian bossiness persons and private sector are operating different size companies involving in printing, internet providing, construction, borehole drilling, oil sector consultancy and services, own hotels and supermarkets and other form of bossiness; despite the trade and economic engagement between the two countries, but bilateral commercial exchange between them can be describe as a poor comparing to other countries investments including some Asian nations.

More recently in the international order and relations between nations the diplomatic and political influence on commercial relations, trade exchange, economic partnership and international trade in general is gaining more acceptance in direct foreign investments as an impact of diplomatic, bilateral and multilateral relations. With the two countries developing a deeper diplomatic ties and seem to be moving slowly to some level of diplomatic and political cooperation for more economic strength which could have a positive impact on South Sudan and India bilateral trade; Indian companies in the ICT, pharmaceuticals and medical serveries, oil and gas, finance and banking, housing and construction sectors like Reliance Industries, Tata Group, Bajaj Group, Bharti Airtel Communications and other investment corporates, the mentioned Indian companies, corporates and sectors has the potential and good investments opportunities in South Sudan as a result of strong diplomatic ties between the two countries.  

Therefore South Sudan and India should use their good ties on boosting and strengthens economics of the two countries for more common economic benefits through exploring new economic partnership potentials.       

…………………………………………………………………………………………………

The author is South Sudanese Journalist, Blogger, TV Producer, Cultural, Political and Youth Activist and postgraduate student of Diplomacy and International Studies at the Institute of Peace, Development and Security Studies – University of Juba; and  working currently with South Sudan Broadcasting Corporation and can be contacted through E-mail : telar.abra@gmail.com or phone No : +211912577222    

Afghanistan, a fragile undertaking in a post-conflict peacebuilding

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By H.E. Dr. M. Homayoon AziziAmbassador of Afghanistan in The Netherlands. Permanent representative of Afghanistan to OPCW

Decades after it became a high-profile topic for the national and international dialogue agenda, post-conflict peacebuilding remains a fragile undertaking with mixed results. While there is little doubt that peacebuilding will continue to require international attention, the lessons of the last decades do not add up to a successful record.

Peacebuilding is a Multi-Dimensional Enterprise with Several Pillars: While various actors define these pillars differently, there is consensus that peacebuilding has political, social, economic, security and legal dimensions, each of which requires attention. Distinguishing it from conventional development, peacebuilding is understood to be a highly political project involving the creation of a legitimate political authority that can avoid the resurgence of violence.

Afghanistan and the protracted war the nation is suffering for last four decades is a unique case in which root causes of the problem could be sought beyond its geographical and political borders. One cannot ignore or deny the role of regional and international role players in the historical tragedy and recent development in Afghanistan. Our geopolitical location which could have been a strength, unfortunately, has caused the country to become a playground of potential powers in the region and beyond seeking or protecting their strategic interests and lack of a powerful and legitimate government in the country has made us fail to seek and protect our own interest.

Speaking on behalf of my nation and Government, tragedy is a daily occurrence in our lives. Each week, we lose on average one hundred Afghans, from all walks of life. The scale of violence inflicted on us is dramatic.

A true sense of urgency for peace, on the one hand, requires clarity of strategic focus, reasoned discourse, calmness and deliberation. On the other hand, the daily pain and suffering inflicted upon our people and our institutions, capabilities and capitals, is intense, relentless, and horrific.

Unspeakable crimes are being committed against the Afghan people. What is being practiced against our society and people is best characterized as unrestrained war— there is not a single sphere of our life that has not been attacked. Public streets, hospitals, mosques, universities, places of business, sports centers, schools.

How have Afghans reacted to this tragedy? With despair and hopelessness? No, instead, with powerful conviction and a true sense of urgency to seek an enduring and inclusive peace. Not the formal type of peace that comes from signing a piece of paper, but the material and substantial type of peace that will enable us to address the deep roots of our inherited problems from four decades of conflict.

Let me differentiate between a false sense of urgency and a true sense of urgency. False urgency consists of hurried actions without direction, often organized around political timelines, boxes ticked without coherence—this is a dangerous and superficial path to shallow and short-term peace that we must steer clear of.

A true sense of urgency means we are laser-focused on what lasting peace requires. True urgency allows us to focus on the critical issues, to define and own our problems, and to draw on our past and the experiences of other societies. It requires careful consideration of each aspect of peace-making, but also the courage to consider and take risks and the assumption of responsibility for leading peace efforts.

 Layers for Studying in Peace in Afghanistan:

1. National and subnational actors:

  • Taliban and its affiliated groups
  • Political parties and figures
  • The Afghanistan Government,

2. Regional actors: there are some factors which link the regional actors with the national and subnational actors:

  • The concept of power shows, when there is a weakness in a country, so the Strong’s interest will increase toward the weak country.
  • Strong stakeholders will compete in weak, fragile and failed states.

3. International actors: looking to have an average perspective, which considering regional and national actors’ interests and consensus.

With the above analyses, there are at least three scenarios for peace of Afghanistan:

The government of Afghanistan is driven by a sense of true urgency for peace in our society. We have had this for years now, and we have already laid some critical groundwork for sustainable peace over the past five years.

We sought a peace agreement in which the Taliban would be included in a democratic and inclusive society, respecting the following tenets:

1. The Constitutional rights and obligations, of all citizens, especially women, are ensured.

2. The Constitution is accepted, or amendments proposed through the constitutional provision.

3. The Afghan National Defense and Security Forces and civil service function according to law.

4. Armed groups with ties to transnational terrorist networks or transnational criminal organizations, or with ties to state/non-state actors, seeking influence in Afghanistan will be excluded from the political process.

The prerequisite for achieving these end goals is state centric – Afghan Led, Afghan owned peace talks process and clearly requires a sovereign and independent Afghanistan. We must not sacrifice sustainable peace to achieve short-term objectives, which would ultimately result in a renewal of old conflicts.

This is unrestrained warfare. Its ever-changing character is driven by four dimensions:

1. Trans-national terrorist networks have targeted us since the hijacking of our country by Al-Qaeda in the 1990s.

2. Transnational criminal organizations are the second drivers of conflict

3. The third dimension is the failure of some neighboring countries – and one in particular – to fulfill all their obligations under UN conventions against terrorism

4. The Afghan Taliban are the fourth driver of conflict.

In such a context as we work together with our regional and international allies in this pursuit of lasting peace, we must not repeat the experience of 1992, where instead of stability and security, we were engulfed in massive conflict resulting in the destruction of our human, social and economic capital. Afghans may not become refugees again.

We should not allow the gains to be lost through lack of focus and hotheadedness. We are determined to have clarity of vision, focused direction, and deliberate action to voice, represent and safeguard the sacrifices of our national defense and security forces and deliver on the hopes and aspirations of our people.

 In any conflict resolution and peace building process, engagement of all parties/stakeholders are imperative to assure their interests are met and the outcome of the process is acceptable for them,

The current peacebuilding efforts in Afghanistan is led under three scenarios,

1. The Qatar Process

2. Moscow Peace Dialogue

3. Iranian Efforts

Given the similar experience of false sense of urgency for peace and reconciliations in the1990s chaotic resulting in destruction of all infrastructures, 5 million refugees and more than 65000 Afghans killed only in Kabul,

We believe that the above three mentioned scenarios are copies of the failed efforts experienced in 1990s, and different involved parties are seeking their own interests and acting in silos for a peace agreement with one side of the game while having no guarantee for ensuring the rights of Afghan women and men and our shared achievements of the last two decades.

The Afghan Government believes that the only solution for the ongoing challenge is a State Led, Afghan owned peacebuilding process while taking account not only the wills of Afghan women and men, but also the interests of all our regional and international partners to ensure a long-lasting peaceful relationship with our partners.

In light this wisdom, we clearly see that the ongoing efforts are not in line with the Afghan Government policy as we have not been party in the negotiations in Qatar and Moscow until now.

I hope and pray that we will be able to deliver on our vision of peace and the program necessary to make sure that it will be a credible and lasting peace.