Putin’s Truth in the Era of Post-truth

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By Theodor Zima, international journalist.

Every day the newsfeed looks increasingly more like a rising tide of provocative articles on the events of World War II, Nazis, concentration camps, the USSR, Putin, Russia’s constitutional reform. You’ll certainly wonder what the latter two have to do with the rest. And the only way to answer that question is with the well-known mantra:

Information wars have become part of our daily life.

The West is currently fighting at least two of such wars—one against the Chinese dragon, and the other, against the Russian bear. Yet, while the information war against the Far East is mainly fought by the United States, the anti-Russian campaign is conducted mostly in the European media space. Besides pursuing tactical purposes, such as hampering another mutually beneficial Russian-German energy project (like Nord Stream 2, which is 93 percent complete), these battles have a more serious strategic agenda. This is what experts call “cognitive warfare”—war of major meanings and frightening images. In this war, history has become a battlefield.

So, Putin went into the battle to defend the history, the truth, the memory and the meanings—a very Russian, old-fashioned approach. Yet he got a new weapon in his arsenal, having declassified the Soviet archive documents. At a recent meeting with the leaders of post-Soviet states, in St. Petersburg, Putin gave an impressive lecture on how World War II began. In fact, he knew what he was talking about, as Russia’s archives feature plenty of Nazi papers seized by the Red Army. Putin presented official telegrams and diplomatic reports dating back to that period, which had been stored by the USSR. They serve as substantial and plentiful evidence showing that it was not the USSR who incited the global fire. Recently, Vladimir Putin also announced that a most extensive archive of historical materials on World War II would be set up and would be openly available to everyone both in Russia and abroad. “It is our duty to defend the truth about the Victory; otherwise, what shall we say to our children if the lies, like a disease, spread all over the world,” he said. “We must set facts against outrageous lies and attempts to distort history. This is our duty as a winning country and our responsibility to the future generations.”

In contrast, here is a recent tweet by the US Embassy in Denmark (https://twitter.com/usembdenmark/status/1221727339358445569), which says plainly that it were American soldiers who liberated prisoners of the Auschwitz Nazi death camp in Poland. Meanwhile, even weak school knowledge would suffice to understand why that couldn’t be true. Nothing but a little mistake, it appears. In fact, that was exactly what the US replied to criticism.

The long-lasting scandal around the famous Molotov-Ribbentrop pact and the subsequent equation of Communism with Nazism as “misanthropic ideologies” are part of the same set of examples. The main idea of this narrative is as follows: “Hitler and Stalin conspired against the free world, and Poland was their first victim.”

Indeed, here we should cite Der Freitag (https://www.freitag.de/autoren/lutz-herden/polen-russland-und-der-streit-ueber-schuld), which has made a very good point that nowadays we have a fatal tendency to begin at the ending when we talk about events of the past. Yet speaking earnestly, it should be enough to remember the secret diplomacy of the summer 1939, the obscure dealings between various alliances and the enormous gap between the declarations and real intentions of the world’s political actors of that time.

In short, things stood much the same way as they stand today. So, instead of habitually laying the blame on the Soviet Union, Polish politicians could for a change rebuke France and the United Kingdom for having failed, despite their obligations to Poland, to actively interfere in hostilities back in 1939. It would also be appropriate to mention the “non-aggression pact” (Hitler-Pilsudski Pact) between Nazi Germany and Poland, concluded as far back as January 1934. Some historians (for example, the famous Rolf-Dieter Müller) believe it to be aimed at involving Poland in a military alliance, possibly with the view to jointly waging war against the Soviet Union, of which both Moscow and the European capitals were well aware at that time.

Yet what’s done is done, and history cannot be rewritten. However, one can try to falsify its interpretation and make it fit today’s reality. What is more, one can use the distant past as a lens to view the events of today. The tendency to such humanitarian violence has unfortunately become a hallmark of our time.

This is what Austrian Der Standard says (https://apps.derstandard.de/privacywall/story/2000113877992/ukraine-und-polen-vereint-gegen-moskau), drawing the same parallel—it seems that antagonism to the policy pursued by the Kremlin has become a powerful unifying factor. Andrzej Duda proposed to Volodymyr Zelensky that they commemorate Polish and Ukrainian soldiers killed in the 1920s during the fight “against the bolsheviks”, yet he overlooked that back then, 22 thousand Russian prisoners of war died in the Polish Tuchola camp alone. Zelensky, in his turn, urged humanity to join their efforts in countering “destructive ideologies” today as it did 100 years ago. At the same time, in Ukraine, visual rehabilitation of the Third Reich and SS symbols is underway and historical Nazism is glorified (https://www.euronews.com/2020/01/01/watch-live-ukrainian-nationalists-hold-torchlit-parade-in-kyiv). Even the national motto—”Glory to Ukraine! Glory to the heroes!”—quite evidently resembles in structure the well-known National Socialist salute.

Unfortunately, juggling ideas in the field of history is an inherent part of the European politics and media environment. In a number of countries, modern politicians build on “history” to shape an artificial collective unconscious, hoping to manipulate potential voters’ decision-making. The “Polish scheme“, as it might be called in that case, works as follows:

  • First, in the article “Politicians from All Parties Say: Putin Is a Liar and Wants to Hurt Us!”, whose title speaks for itself, member of the European Parliament Wlodzimierz Cimoszewicz, who is also a former Polish prime minister and head of the foreign ministry, says: “There are two issues—the first is whether the so-called historical policy makes sense and the second concerns the current situation related to Russia’s aggressive and deceitful rhetoric(https://www.se.pl/wiadomosci/polityka/politycy-ze-wszytkich-partii-mowia-dla-se-putin-to-klamca-i-chce-nam-szkodzic-aa-yYJv-U9ys-DDGp.html).”
  • Now, there is a matter of money: in an interview with the German newspaper Bild(https://www.bild.de/politik/ausland/politik-ausland/polen-kaczynski-im-interview-warum-wollen-sie-noch-immer-geld-von-uns-67543114.bild.html), Jaroslaw Kaczynski, chairman of Poland’s ruling party, claims that “Germany should send more troops, especially to the Baltic States. Lessons of the past warn us against stationing more German troops in Poland. Germany must take these concerns into account. One thing is clear, however: we need strong operational and combat readiness in Eastern Europe.” He also insists that Russialike Germanymust pay reparations to Poland, including for destroying the country’s economy, roads, factories, historic buildings and cultural values. Noteworthy is that after World War II, thanks to Stalin’s effort, Poland expanded its territory by one-third, acquiring economically viable Silesia and the Baltic coast from Germany.
  • Then, Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki writes that Poland was the first country that fought to defend “free Europe“. He forgets to mention, though, that Poland also participated, together with Hitler, in the partition of Czechoslovakia in 1938 (https://twitter.com/PremierRP_en/status/1211334067083456514/photo/1).
  • Against this backdrop, the Internal Security Agency (ISA) of Poland prepares a report about an expected “interference” by the Kremlin in the presidential election in Poland to be held in spring, surely to “undermine the integrity and effectiveness of NATO and weaken the cohesion of the European Union(https://twitter.com/Disinfo_Digest/status/1203444674415005698).
  • And incidentally, Putin is on his way to becoming “an aggressive red monarch” (https://polskatimes.pl/rosjanie-coraz-biedniejsi-wiec-putin-na-wojennej-sciezce/ar/c1-14735230) and he must go, living up to an idealistic formula that “everything was the way we want it to be today”…

So… following that logic, Putin must go. He must do so precisely because he keeps dispelling European illusions about history, which must be the way we want to see it today.

It matters not that Russia’s political system has entered a new phase of democratic transformation. Neither does it matter that major historical processes are brought about by preconditions and circumstances, not by shouts or newspaper headlines. All this mosaic nonsense is shaping an information landscape that draws historical myth from the past to the present, generating false analogies.

There are those who still tend to analyze current developments through the magic crystal of perceptions built up by history, to expound on Russia’s recent foreign policy through the lens of Stalin’s mythical “aggression” and “the Soviet empire” or to transform assessments on Russia’s internal processes, such as the initiated constitutional reform, applying notions from Russian 19th century novels. “Russia’s civil service could be likened to a pile of iron filings. Just as shavings align themselves with a magnet, so Russia’s apparatchiks align themselves with the magnet called power, without the need for instructions. They guess what is expected of them. That creates an illusion of remarkable unity—at least, as long as there is only one magnet (https://www.spiegel.de/politik/ausland/wladimir-putin-und-seine-plaene-die-verfassung-bin-ich-a-0a172ef5-d2cb-4156-904b-db15940be83e).” That is neither Dostoevsky nor Gogol—that is Spiegel.

Normally, the human brain is reluctant to take on complex tasks, it rather feeds on content that can calm it down. Such information should be familiar to it and fit perfectly into its inbuilt concepts.

Once calmed down, one can continue to buy natural gas and coal from the wicked Putin at a good price and sell him Polish apples via Belarus, earnestly believing Russia to be a decrepit totalitarian empire, dormant deep beneath the snow, rather than a complex, dynamically evolving state of the 21st century with great scientific capacity, innovative industry and open society. It seems easier this way.

But this will by no means change the reality: Putin is no tsar, but a national leader who initiates work to update the system of power he himself has constructed, while “Stalin’s version of history” is nothing but gloomy fantasies of narrow-minded people still clinging to the obsolete clichés like “dispatched to the Gulag, the Soviet Union’s archipelago of slave labour camps” (https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/putin-still-peddles-stalin-s-version-of-history-ls7pwkpmc), and the idea to convene a summit of the permanent members of the UN Security Council is the most intuitive and sensible proposal in the field of international security over the last two decades.

Now, would you like a bit of post-truth? Let’s imagine that, like many of us here hope, Putin simply resigned. Just try to hypothesize how it would affect Europe. Don’t be deluded though: the best scenario is by no means guaranteed. It is only in academic projections of American geostrategists that a weakened and disintegrated Russia is—for some reason—presented as a blessing. And what if local conflicts, like that in Ukraine, spilled over to Crimea, the Caucasus, the Urals; Islamists and terrorists from Central Asia (their natural habitats) moved to the North, prosperous Europe becoming their final destination? The downfall of the political system, inevitably followed by the coming to power of radical forces, would trigger the collapse of economic pillars, lead to energy supply disruption, losses from interrupted trading transactions for the exports (which already suffer the aftermath of sanction policies) of European goods and services to the Russian market, heighten the growth of shadow economy, create new customs barriers and escalate trade wars.

The Chinese Belt and Road Initiative would considerably slow down, which would bury all hopes for accelerating Europe’s economic growth using this channel. Migration from Russia, which is currently limited mainly to non-system politicians and businessmen with murky success stories (many of these persons being both at once very often), would become a mass phenomenon, greatly exceeding the number of Poles, Lithuanians and Ukrainians who have moved closer to the Atlantic. Europe will be swept by a new wave of crime, poverty and totally different values that are very far from the dream of a beautiful and unified Europe. How about this post-truth scenario?

Thus, the fight for history is a struggle for a dignified and dynamic future where no short-sighted ideological considerations can draw dividing lines, no matter how paradoxical this might seem.

COVID 19 by the Embassy of China

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By Tereza Neuwirthová.

On February 26th, the Ambassador of China H.E. Dr. Xu Hong, in collaboration with Diplomat Magazine, organised a briefing reception about the Corona Virus (COVID 19) at Crowne Plaza The Hague. The main purpose of the briefing was to inform diplomats posted in The Hague, Dutch Representatives, the media, as well as the general public about the situation in China in light of the recent developments connected to the spread of this disease.

At the beginning of the briefing, upon the proposal of Dr. Mayelinne De Lara, the publisher of Diplomat Magazine, all guests present at the briefing expressed their condolences to the victims of COVID 19 by holding a minute of silence together. 

Thereafter, a video demonstrating the steps China has taken at combatting the virus, as well as the international responses and reportages from the affected provinces, was shown. The video displayed the immense efforts and forces that have been employed so far, and simultaneously underlined the significance of concerted global action in order to withstand the pressured posed by the COVID 19 on the lives of millions.

H.E. Dr. Xu Hong, Ambassador of China during the briefing.

To initiate his speech, H.E. Ambassador Xu Hong remarked: 

“At this moment, my compatriots are devoting themselves fighting against the outbreak day and night. People throughout China and the world follow the changes of statistics closely and look forward to the inflection point of the epidemic. At the same time, we have also witnessed the courage and strength of China confronted by such a crisis, as well as the unity and cooperation of the international community facing such a communal challenge. That is where our confidence is sourced to defeat this epidemic.”

 “On the one hand, the number of newly confirmed cases is gradually declining, from more than 3,000 cases per day in early February to 406 yesterday. And more than 98% of the newly diagnosed cases is restricted in Hubei Province. Other mainland provinces have seen even a greater declining, from the peak of 890 in early February to 5 yesterday, with zero increase in 26 of them.”

The ambassador Dr. Xu Hong explained that despite the efforts taken, China faces challenges in combatting the COVID 19, as this virus is not only highly contagious and difficult to diagnose, but also due to its  unfortunate outbreak at the time of the Chinese New Year, which presents the highest annual personal flow. Moreover, with the spread of the virus, the pressures on medical resources such as supplies and staff have been intensified.

H.E. Dr. Xu Hong, Ambassador of China. Photography by Naldo Peverelli for Diplomat Magazine.

Dealing with all of the challenges, China’s president Xi Jinping personally directed the adoption of a series of unprecedented measures for prevention, control, and treatment, which effectively curbed the spread of the epidemic.

“31 provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities across the country activated the first-level response to public health emergencies. Large number of officials and volunteers working at the primary level, regardless of their own safety, entered communities, villages and towns to implement prevention and control measures, and to ensure the daily supplies of people.”

Addressing the necessity of international cooperation and mobilisation of forces to contain the present level, but more importantly to prevent form the further spread of COVID 19, H.E. Ambassador Xu Hong stated that:

“China keeps close contact and coordination with the health authorities and embassies of many countries including the Netherlands, to speed up vaccine and drug development, share information, verify suspected and confirmed cases, and respond to foreign concerns in a timely manner.”

Similarly, the Chinese Ambassador pointed out that close cooperation with the WHO experts, who have been invited to the most impacted Chinese provinces of Wuhan and Hubei, is currently being undertaken. In addition to investigations and in-depth professional exchanges, high-scale measures are enabled through China’s “technology-powered and science-driven” approach. 

On the topic of China-The Netherlands relations, the Ambassador reiterated his gratitude for the signs of empathy that he received form the Royal family, the Prime Minister, as well as Dutch officials. What is more, China appreciates the timely updates and releases by institutions like RIVM, which “reflect the spirit of shared destiny of the international community.”

Lastly, the economic consequences of the outbreak of COVID 19 were examined, whereby the Ambassador articulated his full confidence that the impact will be “limited, short-term, and manageable.”

Ambassador Hong during the press briefing a bout Corona virus.

“The Chinese government has stepped up macroeconomic policy adjustments and rolled out a series of policy measures, including increasing capital investment, phased tax and fee reduction, and strengthening preferential credit support.”

To stress China’s economic resilience, H.E. Mr. Xu Hong remarked that it is vital to take a long-term view; 

When looking at China’s economic development, we should insist on a comprehensive, dialectical, and long-term perspective. Laying emphasis on both epidemic containment and economic operation, the Chinese government will successfully settle the short-term impact of the epidemic, release the huge potential and strong momentum of China’s development, and work hard to complete this year’s economic and social development goals.”

Following the ambassador’s briefing, Mr. Jochum Haakma, the President of the Netherlands China Business Council informed the guests about the most vital figures and predictions with regard to the development of business and finances in light of COVID 19 outbreak. 

Firstly, having pointed out that The Netherlands is China’s second most important trade and investment partner in the EU, Mr. Haakma expressed the high impact the virus could potentially have on the Dutch companies. Referring to the predictions, the possible gaps in the supply chain, especially in resource-intensive goods production, are likely to incur losses to a number of Dutch companies. On the other hand, FDI and capital-intensive goods that form a substantial volume of the Dutch-Chinese trade, will remain stable. 

Corona virus’s briefing by the Ambassador of China.

Lastly, the President of the Netherlands China Business Council concluded by affirming the confidence in China’s ability to secure growth and swiftly overcome the crisis posed by the COVID 19 virus. Likewise, Mr. Haakma expressed the belief that the Dutch investment in China will likely bloom in the future. 

The Ambassador then took questions from the audience and journalists.

To close the briefing, H.E. Mr. Xu Hong once again thanked the guests for their presence, and concluded that: “We will continue to firmly hold our belief in victory, and work closely with the international community to win the battle against this epidemic.”

The Corona Virus – Press Briefing On COVID-19

In the picture H.E. Dr. Xu Hong, Ambassador of China. Photography by Naldo Peverelli.

By Roy Lie Atjam.

The Hague, 26 February 2020, the Ambassador of the People’s Republic of China in the Netherlands, H.E. Dr. Xu Hong held a press briefing on the Coronavirus outbreak at Crowne Plaza Hotel. This was done in collaboration with Diplomat Magazine, a magazine serving the Diplomatic community in the BENELUX. Many of Ambassador Xu Hong’s colleagues, dignitaries, media personalities and others attended the press conference.

Mr. Jochum Haakma, President of the Netherlands China Business Council also addressed the audience. Mr. Haakma stressed that with the slow shipments of merchandise from China and with just a two weeks supply for businesses as Cool Blue, Blokker and many others, these entities will no doubt begin to experience the negative effects very soon. Dr. Xu Hong is confident that the current efforts of the People’s Republic of China along with the support of the international community, the fight against COVID-19 will be a success. 

The briefing was followed by a Q&A session and a networking reception.H.E. Dr. Xu Hong, delivered the following remarks:

I’m standing here with a heavy heart because of the Covid-19 outbreak in China. As you may know, the epidemic has emerged since the beginning of 2020, spoiling the happy atmosphere of the Chinese Spring Festival. At this moment, my compatriots are devoting themselves fighting against the outbreak day and night.

According to the statistics this morning, 2,718 patients have lost their lives unfortunately, including several medical staff members at the front line. Let us express our deep condolences. There are still more than 45,604 diagnosed patients under treatment, of which 8,752 with severe symptoms. Let us cross our fingers for their quick recoveries.

The situation is still harsh. People throughout China and the world follow the changes of statistics closely and look forward to the inflection point of the epidemic. At the same time, we have also witnessed the courage and strength of China confronted by such a crisis, as well as the unity and cooperation of the international community facing such a communal challenge. That is where our confidence is sourced to defeat this epidemic.

Mr. Jochum Haakma, President of Netherlands China Business Council.

Please allow me to make some brief introductions.

I. Results achieved

On the one hand, the number of newly confirmed cases is gradually declining, from more than 3,000 cases per day in early February to 406 yesterday. And more than 98% of the newly diagnosed cases is restricted in Hubei Province. Other mainland provinces have seeneven a greater declining, from the peak of 890 in early February to 5 yesterday, with zero increase in 26 of them. 

On the other hand, number of cured cases is increasing rapidly. This number is now 29,745, consisting 38% of all confirmed cases. The fatality rate remains 3.5% (and only 0.78% outside Hubei), far lower then Ebola, SARS and MERS, which proves that the disease is largely curable. 

We believe, with the strengthening of containment and treatment, the situation will be better and better. We are seeing light of victory coming through.

II. Efforts made by China

The novel coronavirus pneumonia is a major public health emergency happened in China with the fastest spreading speed, the widest range of infections, and the most difficult containment since the founding of PRC. It has posed unprecedented challenges to us: First, difficult to diagnose. The virus is previously unknown, there have been cases of infected cases tested nucleic acid negative, carriers with no symptom, and even sudden illness after 2 weeks’ quarantine. Second, the virus is highly contagious.

To our present knowledge, the virus can be transmitted through droplets, contact, air, fecal-oral transmission, reaching the top of the known virus infection level. Third, the outbreak is difficult to contain. The outbreak occurred during the Chinese New Year Festival, the peak of yearly personal flow. Moreover, Wuhan is precisely the transportation hub of the central part of China. Fourth, shortage of medical resources. With the increasing number of patients, the shortage of doctors, beds and medical supplies intensified.

The Chinese government gives top priority to safeguarding people’s lives and health. President Xi Jinping personally directed and deployed the fight, and put forward the general requirements of steadfast confidence, working together, scientific prevention and treatment, and precise policies. With all-out efforts, China has adopted a series of unprecedented measures for prevention, control, and treatment, which has effectively curbed the spread of the epidemic.

The first measure is to race against the disease and improve the diagnosis and treatment methods as soon as possible. The genetic sequence was first time detected and published to the public. The test reagents were quickly developed. The diagnosis and treatment solutions have been updated six times in one month. Three specific drugs have been put into clinical experiments and the use of recovered patients’ plasma to treat critically ill patients has been promoted. In terms of vaccine development, five technical approaches are moving forward simultaneously, and clinical trials application will be submitted in late April.

H.E. Dr. Xu Hong, Ambassador of China.

The second is to mobilize nationwide in epidemic prevention and control work. “Lockdown” measures were adopted in Wuhan, a city with a population of over tens of millions. 31 provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities across the country activated the first-level response to public health emergencies. Large number of officials and volunteers working at the primary level, regardless of their own safety, entered communities, villages and towns to implement prevention and control measures, and to ensure the daily supplies of people. We canceled all outbound tourist groups, required every Chinese citizen leaving the country to fill out and sign on health declaration forms, and conducted temperature monitoring at all departure ports across the country to strictly prevent virus transmitting to foreign countries.

The third is to defend Hubei and Wuhan. Focus on increasing treatment and cure, and reducing infection and death toll. To this end, 2 temporary hospitals and 11 modular cabin hospitals were quickly built in Wuhan, with 400 isolation points and a total of more than 60,000 beds. Strict isolation measures have been adopted timely in the core epidemic area of Hubei. Four lines of defense have been formed: residents’ home-based prevention, community-based comprehensive investigation and centralized quarantine of suspected patients, modular cabin hospitals for minor cases, and designated hospitals for critically ill patients. More than 40,000 medical workers and 58,000 tons of medical and living supplies have been sent to Hubei from military and provinces all over the country.

The Fourth is to conduct international cooperation in an open, transparent and responsible manner. We informed the World Health Organization as soon as possible and shared the genetic sequence of the new coronavirus. We have invited WHO experts to visit Wuhan and other places and to have on-the spot investigation and in-depth professional exchanges. We keep close contact and coordination with the health authorities and embassies of many countries including the Netherlands, to speed up vaccine and drug development, share information, verify suspected and confirmed cases, and respond to foreign concerns in a timely manner.

These measures and remarkable achievement fully reflect the sense of responsibility of the Chinese government, fully demonstrate the advantages of the socialist system with Chinese characteristics, and fully show the fearless sacrifice and unprecedented cohesion of the Chinese people. According to statistics from relevant prediction models, the measures taken by China have reduced the occurrence of infections by at least 80%, which has earned valuable time for the combat in China and around the world. On this, WHO Director-General Tedros also repeatedly emphasized that “China’s speed, scale and efficiency of response is rarely seen in the world”. The decisive and extraordinary measures taken by China set an example for the global response to epidemic outbreak in many aspects. After visiting China, the WHO team of experts warned a worldwide risk of virus spreading, applauded China’s approach as “technology-powered and science-driven” and hope all countries follow China to move fast in saving lives. 

III. Cooperation between China and the Netherlands

Since the outbreak, more than 150 countries and 30 international organizations have expressed sympathy to China, and nearly 30 countries have provided official assistance to China, which fully reflects the spirit of shared destiny of the international community. Here in the Netherlands, we also deeply feel the care for the outbreak in China and the support for the Chinese people from Dutch people. Recently, His Majesty the King and Her Majesty the Queen, Prime Minister Mark Rutte and the Foreign Minister all expressed their sympathies and supports to the Chinese leaders. The Dutch government provided an additional aid fund of 1 million euros to the WHO. Dutch companies donated badly needed medical supplies worth tens of millions of RMB to China.

Our embassy receives a lot of letters of sympathy and cheering videos sent by local people from all walks of life every day. The Dutch government and people also condemn the individual cases of discrimination against Chinese in relation to the outbreak. China is deeply grateful for your support. China also praises the necessary and reasonable prevention measures taken by the Netherlands, including following WHO advice by not taking additional restrictive measures on personnel and trade, and timely releasing and updating of guidelines by relevant institutions such as the RIVM. The Chinese Embassy will continue to maintain close communication and coordination with the Dutch government.

IV. How to view the impact of the epidemic on the economy

With business activities deferred and obstruction of transportation, there has been some impact on the Chinese economy. This is inevitable and also the cost we have to bear in order to protect people’s lives and health. Yet in general, the impact is limited, short-term and manageable.

First reason, the fundamentals sustaining sound economic growth have not been changed. China has accumulated a solid material and technological foundation since the reform and opening up. China has an economy volume of nearly 100 trillion yuan. Such a large volume will not be shaken by the short-term impact of the epidemic. The World Bank and the IMF have both made statements expressing confidence of strong resilience of China’s economy. Some experts estimate that the epidemic will only reduce China’s annual GDP growth rate by 0.1 to 0.2 percent. IMF President Georgieva said that if the epidemic can be controlled in a short time, China’s economy is expected to rebound soon.

Second reason, we have sufficient policies to offset the short-term impact of the epidemic. In response to the short-term difficulties that delayed resumption of work and production may cause to the enterprises, the Chinese government has stepped up macroeconomic policy adjustments and rolled out a series of policy measures, including: increasing capital investment, phased tax and fee reduction, and strengthening preferential credit support. The Ministry of Finance has provided interest discounts on loans to key enterprises to keep their actual financing cost below 1.6%.

Local governments of all levels have also taken timely measures to ensure the supply of materials, resume production and operation, support small and medium-sized enterprises, and guarantee employment and people’s livelihood. In order to stabilize employment, some local governments return 50% of the unemployment insurance premiums enterprises paid in the previous year if they do not lay off employees. The combination of these policies will greatly relieve the pressures of the enterprises, increase market confidence, and stabilize investment expectations.

Ambassador Hong during the press briefing a bout Corona virus.

Third, impact of the epidemic accelerates economic transformation and upgrading. Currently, while offline consumption, especially transportation, exhibitions, tourism, hotels, restaurants, film and entertainment services are heavily hit by the epidemic, new business formats and models online are growing stronger, including the Internet of Things, online retail and medical service, etc.

Many challenges exist, but there are more solutions to deal with them. By constantly addressing weak links and seizing opportunities throughout storms, the Chinese economy will emerge stronger from the epidemic.

Last Sunday, China held a conference to coordinate the containment of the outbreak and the economic and social development, with 8 measures proposed.

  • First, targeted resumption of work and production in different regions with different grades.
  • Second, strengthening the adjustment of macroeconomic policies, including phased and targeted tax and fee reduction policies, to help small and medium-sized enterprises overcome difficulties. To launch flexible and appropriate monetary and financial support in a proper time.
  • Third, to comprehensively strengthen employment stabilization measures.
  • Fourth, to resolutely complete the task of fighting poverty.
  • Fifth, to promote the resumption of work and production of the enterprises.
  • Six, to guarantee agricultural production in spring.
  • Seventh, to take concrete measures to safeguard basic livelihood.
  • Eighth, to stabilize bases of foreign investment and trade. To give priority to guaranteeing the restore of production supply of leading companies and key links to stabilize the global supply chain. To ensure the smooth operation of the foreign trade industrial chain and supply chain and the landing of major foreign investment projects, to expand the opening up of financial and other service industries, to continue to optimize the business environment, in order to increase confidence in long-term foreign investment and operations.

It is important to take a long-term view. When looking at China’s economic development, we should insist on a comprehensive, dialectical, and long-term perspective. Laying emphasis on both epidemic containment and economic operation, the Chinese government will successfully settle the short-term impact of the epidemic, release the huge potential and strong momentum of China’s development, and work hard to complete this year’s economic and social development goals. 

Ladies and gentlemen, the current situation is still severe and complicated, South Korea, Iran, and Italy also face coronavirus outbreaks. We will continue to firmly hold our belief in victory, and work closely with the international community to win the battle against this epidemic.”

Ambassador Hong also thanked Diplomat Magazine, for organizing the briefing; Mr. Deputy Director Arjen van den Berg from Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Ms. Deputy Director Bruins from Ministry of Health, as well as Mr. President Jochum Haakma of Netherlands China Business Council, for their support. The event was held at Crowne Plaza Promenade hotel in The Hague.

For updated information, please visit the Embassy of the People’s Republic of China in The Hague: http://nl.china-embassy.org/eng/

A Future filled with empty Choices

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Or Tomorrow (n)ever AI-ies

By Prof. Anis H. Bajrektarevic.

Throughout most of human evolution both progress and its horizontal transmission was an extremely slow, occasional and tedious process. Well into the classic period of Alexander the Macedonian and his glorious Library of Alexandria, the speed of our knowledge transfers – however moderate, analogue and conservative – still always outpaced our snail-like cycles of our developmental breakthroughs. 

When our sporadic breakthroughs finally became faster than their infrequent transmissions, that marked a point of our departure. Simply put, our civilizations started to significantly differentiate from each other in their respective techno-agrarian, politico-military, ethno-religious or ideological, and economic setups. Soon, after, the Grand Discoveries (Europe’s shift to west) were the event transforming wars and famine from the low-impact and local one, into the bigger and cross-continental. 

Faster cycles of technological breakthroughs, patents and discoveries rather than their own transfers, occurred primarily within the Old continent. That occurrence, with all its reorganizational effects, radically reconfigured societies. It ultimately marked a birth of several mighty European empires, their (liberal) schools (and consequent imperial weaponization of knowledge) – hence an overall, lasting triumph of Western civilization.  

Act

For the past few centuries, we’ve lived fear but dreamt hope – all for the sake of modern times. From WWI to www. Is this modernity of internet age, with all the suddenly reviled breakthroughs and their instant transmission, now harboring us in a bay of fairness, harmony and overall reconciliation? Was and will our history ever be on holiday? Thus, has our world ever been more than an idea? Shall we stop short at the Kantian word – a moral definition of imagined future, or continue to the Hobbesian realities and look up for an objective, geopolitical definition of our common tomorrow?

The Agrarian age inevitably brought up the question of economic redistribution. Industrial age culminated on the question of political participation. Today, AI (Quantum physics, Nanorobotics and Bioinformatics) brings a new, yet underreported challenge: Human (physical and mental) powers might – far and wide, and rather soon – become obsolete. If or when so, the question of human irrelevance is next to be asked.

Why is AI like no technology ever before? Why re-visiting and re-thing spirituality matters … 

If one believes that the above is yet another philosophical melodrama, an anemically played alarmism, mind this:

Mankind will soon have to redefine what it considers to be life itself. 

Less than a month ago (January 2020), the successful trials have been completed. The border between organic and inorganic, intrinsic and artificial is downed forever. AI has it now all-in: quantum physics (along with quantum computing), nanotechnology, bioinformatics, and organic tissue tailoring. Synthesis of all that is usually referred to as xenobots (sorts of living robots) – biodegradable symbiotic nanorobots that exclusively rely on evolutionary (self-navigable) algorithms. The essential building element to biotronics is hence here, among us. 

React

Although life remains to be lived forward (with no backward looking), human retrospection is the biggest reservoir of insights. Of what makes us human. 

Thus, what does the history of technology in relation to human development tell us so far?

Elaborating on a well-known argument of ‘defensive modernization’ of Fukuyama, it is evident that throughout the entire human history a technological drive was aimed to satisfy the security and control objective. It was rarely (if at all) driven by a desire to gain knowledge outside of convention, in order to ease human existence, and to bolster human emancipation and liberation of societies at large. Therefore, unless operationalized by the system, both the intellectualism (human autonomy, mastery and purpose), and technological breakthroughs were traditionally felt and perceived as a threat. As a problem, not a solution.  

Ok. But what has brought us (under) AI today? 

It was our acceptance. Of course, manufactured.

All cyber-social networks and related search engines are far away from what they are portrayed to be: a decentralized but unified intelligence, attracted by gravity of quality rather than navigated by force of a specific locality. (These networks were not introduced to promote and emancipate other cultures and other narratives but to maintain and further strengthen supremacy of the dominant one.)

In no way do they correspond with a neuroplasticity of physics of our consciousness. They only offer temporary relaxation to our anxieties – in which the fear from free time is the largest. It is so, since a true free time coupled with silence is our gate to creativity and self-reflection. In fact, the cyber-tools of these data-sponges primarily serve the predictability, efficiency, calculability and control purpose, and only then they serve everything else – as to be e.g. user-friendly and en mass service attractive. 

To observe the new corrosive dynamics of social phenomenology between manipulative fetishization (probability) and self-trivialization (possibility), the cyber-social platforms – these dustbins of human empathy in the muddy suburbs of consciousness – are particularly interesting. 

This is how the human presence-eliminating technologies have been introduced to and accepted by us.  

Packed

How did we reflect – in our past – on any new social dynamics created by the deployment of new technologies?  

Aegean theater of Ancient Greece was a place of astonishing revelations and intellectual excellence – a remarkable density and proximity, not surpassed up to our age. All we know about science, philosophy, sports, arts, culture and entertainment, stars and earth has been postulated, explored and examined then and there.

Simply, it was a time and place of triumph of human consciousness, pure reasoning and sparkling thought. However, neither Euclid, Anaximander, Heraclites, Hippocrates (both of Chios, and of Cos), Socrates, Archimedes, Ptolemy, Democritus, Plato, Pythagoras, Diogenes, Aristotle, Empedocles, Conon, Eratosthenes nor any of dozens of other brilliant ancient Greek minds did ever refer by a word, by a single sentence to something which was their everyday life, something they saw literally on every corner along their entire lives. It was an immoral, unjust, notoriously brutal and oppressive slavery system that powered the Antique state.

(Slaves have not been even attributed as humans, but rather as the ‘phonic tools/tools able to speak’.) This myopia, this absence of critical reference on the obvious and omnipresent is a historic message – highly disturbing, self-telling and quite a warning for the present day.  

So, finally,  why is AI like no technology ever before?

Ask Google! I am busy messaging right now …

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About the author:

Prof. Anis H. Bajrektarevic, is author of 6 books on geopolitics, energy and technology.

EVFTA AND EVIPA: New Highway for EU-Viet Nam Trade and Investment Relations

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By H.E. Ngo Thi Hoa, Ambassador of Viet Nam to the Netherlands.

On 12/2/2020, at the Plenary Session in Strasbourg, France, the European Parliament (EP) ratified with a majority the Free Trade Agreement (EVFTA) and the Investment Protection Agreement (EVIPA) between the European Union (EU) and Viet Nam. These are the most ambitious deals ever between the EU and a developing country, which not only eliminate over 
99% of customs duties on goods, but also also open up Vietnamese services markets to EU companies and strengthen protection of EU investments in the country. 

The ratification of EVFTA and EVIPA is an important milestone in the
30th anniversary of the establishment of Viet Nam-EU diplomatic relations, bringing the EU-Viet Nam partnership to a new level. EVFTA and EVIPA have marked an important transformation in Viet Nam-EUcomprehensive partnership and cooperation while affirming the two sides’ mutual benefits and commitment to facilitating international economic connectivity, free trade and equal and transparent investment. 

EVFTA and EVIPA create benefits for both sides

As an agreement with a deep and comprehensive level of commitment covering economic, trade, investment and sustainable development issues, EVFTA and EVIPA will open up great opportunities for both sides, maximizing the potential and complementarity, thereby contributing to deepening and creating long-term benefits between the two sides.

The EVFTA will unlock a market with huge potential for EU firms. Viet Nam is a fast-growing economy of more than 100 million consumers with a growing middle class and a young and dynamic workforce. Its market offers numerous opportunities for the EU’s agricultural, industrial and services exports. Viet Nam market also serves as a gateway for deeper access to ASEAN and regional markets. The European Commission has projected the EU’s GDP to increase by USD 29.5 billion and its exports to Viet Nam by 29 percent by 2035.

For Viet Nam, the agreement is opening a great opportunity for Viet Nam ese businesses to access to a potential market with 508 million people and a gross domestic product (GDP) of roughly US$18 trillion. (accounting for 22% of global GDP). A research by the Ministry of Planning and Investment of Viet Nam shows that Viet Nam ’s export turnover to the EU will increase by about 20% in 2020, 42.7% in 2025 and 44.37% in 2030, compared to the non-EVFTA scenario. 

Golden oppoturnities for EU businesses

Viet Nam is a fast-growing and competitive economy whose bilateral trade with the EU has increased fivefold over the past 10 years. At the regional level, Viet Nam is now the EU’s second largest trade partner in ASEAN, accounting for 20.7% merchandise goods.The growing trade between the EU and Viet Nam also helps to solidify ASEAN’s position as the EU’s third-largest trading partner in the worlds.

2019 marks a new phase of Viet Nam ’s international economic integration as Viet Nam participate in new-generation FTAs, particularly the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) and EVFTA. The newly approved EVFTA and EVIPA will bolster Viet Nam ’s importance as a trading hub between Southeast Asia and Europe. 


With the ratified EVFTA and EVIPA, many European businesses will benefit, especially those doing in the field of machinery and appliances, automobile, pharmaceuticals, chemical, wine and spirits, IT, sevices operators… Given many challenges and uncertainties due to protectionism, trade tensions, and the looming effects of Brexit, it is now the golden oppoturnity for EU companies to accelerate and expand their business activities in Viet Nam.

Raise funds for Women’s Empowerment in India

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Women in Odisha posing this year’s International Women’s Day theme #EachforEqual.

To celebrate International Women’s Day on 8 March, IRC has launched crowdfunding campaign ‘She Makes Change’ and will run the City-Pier-City Run in The Hague to raise funds for women’s capacity training in one of the poorest Indian states, Odisha.

“Access to water and sanitation improves health, education and employment, reduces gender-based violence, and empowers women. And yet, over 97 million people in India do not have access to clean water, and more than 40% of the population does not have basic access to sanitation or hygiene services.”

Team IRC runs the CPC in 2017.

IRC, the international non-profit water, sanitation and hygiene organisation based in The Hague, is raising €2,500 to facilitate women’s leadership training in its partner district Odisha, India. These trainings strengthen local women with the skills, knowledge and confidence to stand up and be heard, and to demand basic rights for themselves, by themselves.

Investing in women has a positive ripple effect which benefits households, communities and entire nations. Support IRC’s campaign because safe water and sanitation for all is only possible with the full and meaningful participation of women in decision making – and these workshops provide women with the skills, knowledge and confidence to do so.

Support Team IRC’s runners and the Odisha project, and donate because She Makes Change. 100% of donations will go to these workshops.

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To donate or find out more, please visit: bit.ly/shemakeschangecampaign

Follow IRC’s campaign updates on Facebook and Twitter @IRCWASH 

Ilham Aliyev and Nikol Pashinyan on international security forum

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In the picture Aliyev Center, Baku, Azerbaijan.

On February 15, President of the Republic of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev and Prime Minister of Armenia Nikol Pashinyan took part in public debate at the Munich Security Conference. Malik Ayub Sumbal, Founder and President at the Caucasus Center for Strategic and International Studies (CCSIS) gave a special interview about the intense debate between two leaders.

How do you assess the Public Debate between Ilham Aliyev and Nikol Pashinyan in Munich? 

I listened to the debate of both the leaders very carefully. The body language of Azerbaijan President Ilham Aliyev is much more confident as compared to Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, who has a language barrier and may not well describe or present what he wants to say. Ilham Aliyev mentioned very strong historical references. In his statement he clearly said that Nagorno-Karabakh (Upper-Garabagh) is the part of Azerbaijan and it is as a legal entity.

Azerbaijan President asked more international pressure on Armenia to follow the UN resolutions and the most important is the OSCE Minks group co-chair efforts that clearly say that Nagorno-Karabakh is not Armenia. In that resolution it says Nagorno-Karabakh is not an independent country and one recognized it. 

Is it possible to say that President Aliyev has taught a lesson of history and politics to Armenian PM? 

I think President Ilham Aliyev exposed Armenian Prime Minister Mr. Pashinyan on an international security forum and this is a victory for Azerbaijan in their message to tell the world that Nagorno-Karabakh belongs to Azerbaijan and Armenia is an occupant. 

How long will Pashinyan be able to keep the status quo unchanged, given the lack of sound arguments on the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict?

 It would be getting more difficult for Armenia to keep this status quo for further long because now it is the digital information age and people are getting objective information from different sources. I think Armenian Prime Minster will face immense pressure back at home.

Mr. Pashinyan failed to defend the Armenian stance of the illegal occupation of Nagorno-Karabakh. His counter-narrative of Azerbaijan President Ilham Aliyev’s debate is not logical and hard to believe for someone who has the objective mind. 

This interview has bee published by: https://ednews.net/en/news/interview/417102-ilham-aliyev-exposed-nikol-pashinyan-on-international-security-forum?fbclid=IwAR3uIcml1am2MmTWgu4fd72QTRVLJjq_k5M_ylNNCXriKdA1c8nAumg4wUY

Europe: “The long march” or “From Berlin to Kremlin”

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The (useless) lessons of history

By Phd. Dorian Vlădeanu.

            For the last more than 500 years, the Russian Empire has been in a continuous war for … the defense of the homeland! … Let us remember some important moments:

  1. 1558: The Livonian war – it was a war fought for the capture of the territories of the Baltic States and Belarus, following the wars for the conquest of the Kazan, Astrakhan, Bashkina, the Golden Horde, the Cossacks and the Kabardine. As it lost the war, Russia dropped its claims on Belarus; but not for long…
  2. 1654: The war with Poland and the “union” with Ukraine are the imperial prizes of that tragic and sad year, both for Poland and for Ukraine. The role of Khmenytsky, the Cossack hatman, who ruled for the whole of Ukraine is not yet clarified; however, the document on “uniting” Ukraine with Russia has never been found.
  3. 1695-1696: The campaign of Peter the Great at the Sea of Azov against the Ottoman Empire. Russia needed to get direct access to sea and after 10 wars with the Turks they obtained large “chunks” from the former great empire of Suleiman the Magnificent.
  4. 1700: The Great War with Sweden – Russia needed a direct access to the North Sea and the Baltic Sea also, so that after the war large stretches of “Russian ancestral land” were attached (as the new conquests were called by the documents of the time, although they were not inhabited by any Russian)! It is then that the Baltic countries, Finland and Ingria become a Russian territory.
  5. 1772-1775: At the suggestion and initiative of Prussia (the hard core of the future of Germany) there are three divisions of Poland. Russia is “invited” to the sharing table.
  6. 1783: The first annexation of Crimea (another “Russian” land) on the grounds that otherwise the attacks of the Crimean khans could not be prevented nor could the Orthodox Christians (most Armenians) be defended. Both objectives were achieved and even one more objective was achieved: the Armenians were immediately displaced from the Crimea … so that no one may attack them!
  7. 1783: The kingdom of Kartli-Kakheti (in eastern Georgia) came under the Russian protectorate. And it it is under Russian protectorate…even today.
  8. 1853-1856: The Crimean War, a war in which, this time, Russia is fighting against an Anglo-Franco-Turkish coalition, which simultaneously attacked Sevastopol. At the same time, Russia was also in the midst of a “procurement” campaign through the Balkans.
  9. The 19th century: Without going into details, towards the end of this century the annexation of the following territories took place:
  10. Central Asia,
  11. The Kakand Khanate,
  12. The Bukhara Emirate,
  13. The Khiva Khanate,
  14. Turkmenistan.

These territories became protectorates (guberniyas) of the Russian empire, as part of the “active defense” doctrine – an older version of the preventive war doctrine, which we witness today.

            Also in this period there are the Caucasian wars that end in endless bloodbaths and suffering.

  • 1920-1921: The Russian-Polish war, a war that neither the historians nor the history of Russia remembers. We wonder why?
  • 1939 – two “brotherly” wars take place: The first is the war with Poland, when the Red Army, in order to “defend peace”, invades, in agreement with Hitler’s Germany, the east of Poland – this is another chapter very briefly dealt with by Russian historians. Also in the same year, Finland, a country counting several million inhabitants and 100 tanks, “attacks” Russia – a country counting 180 million inhabitants and over 2,300 tanks gathered on Russia’s border with the quiet northern country. As a result, the League of Nations declares both the Stalin’s USSR and Hitler’s Germany, as aggressor states, excludes them from the organization. Again one cannot find too many details about these events in the history books written by the Russian historians. Moreover, Stalin jokingly about the invasion of Poland that “it is a stroll of the Red Army”.
  • 1940: The “peaceful” annexation of the “brotherly” Baltic countries, so that the multi-secular “dream” of Estonians, Lithuanians and Latvians has suddenly becomes a cruel reality.
  • 1941: The Great War for the Defense of the Fatherland remains one of Russia’s strangest military actions from many viewpoints; there is also the strange and unanswered question: why Germany first attacked a state that managed to get out of the shameful state after the first war, a state that has proved to be capable, at least to a certain extent, of a blitz-Krieg war (the example of the attack on Poland is testifying), but which can be blocked when it faces a small, tenacious opponent who really defends only its homeland (the case of Finland)?
  • 1958: Russia’s aggression against Hungary and then, in 1968, Russia’s invasion of Czechoslovakia. Yugoslavia would probably have followed, but it was already too risky after so many adventures stretching from Budapest to Havana.
  • 1979: The invasion of Afghanistan has helped the great Red Army to “come to a full stop”, for at least a few decades and it was one of the decisive factors in the collapse of the USSR, with the entire so-called Communist system.

            One can say, at least after this “review” of the main wars and territorial kidnappings practiced by Russia (be it Tsar’s Russia, the Bolshevik Russia or Putin’s Russia) that no country in the history of the world has been able during 500 years to in the history of the world to occupy 1/6 of the planet’s land fighting only defense wars of its… homeland!

            Around 1900, the Russian General Aleksey Kuropatkin, in his memorandum to the Tsar, emphasized that: “… for the last 200 years, Russia has been at war during 128 years and has had peace during 72 years; of the 128 years, 123 years were spent in wars for the conquest of territories and 5 years for defense wars”. But let us go ahead and continue:

  • 2008: The annexation of Abkhazia and Ossetia for reasons of…, yes, you guessed it: for reasons of domestic stability and security! …
  • 2014: The re-annexation of Crimea and the war in eastern Ukraine.

2. Excerpts from the history of the collaboration between Russia and Germany 

            Let us draw an intermediate conclusion by citing Vladimir Putin: “From its imperial beginnings, Russia has been a Euro-Asian country but it is and will remain a European country through its geography, culture and will to integrate.”

             We will discuss further about Russia’s “will to integrate”, but there are no doubts about Russia’s ambivalent status of Euro-Asian imperial construction. Actually this has become a fact of life since the time of Ivan the Terrible (16th century) who, as it is known, considered himself, among other things, the heir of Byzantine Christianity and therefore the leader of orthodoxy (a kind of secular but equally inquisitive “pope” for Eastern Christianity). Therefore the idea that Russia was called to establish the only truly Christian empire on earth was beginning to emerge.

            From the time of the same Ivan (also called the “Terrible”) the seeds of the inexplicable “Russian-German” multi-secular collaboration begin to sprout … In the year 1547, upon the Tsar’s request, 120 specialists arrive from Germany (doctors, teachers, artists, craftsmen). After a few years (1553) the English captain Richard Chancellor arrives in Russia, and by the agreement signed in 1555, the British were able to establish under their jurisdiction, the harbor of Arkhangelsk; they subsequently sent doctors and mining specialists to contribute to the economic development of Russia. But the east-west disputes had already begun to emerge despite the favorable auspices under whom the collaborative relations began, because, unlike the western economy and culture, the Russian economy and culture was based upon the existence of a huge gap between elites and masses.

            For centuries, in its policy the West has been applying, let’s say, the “doctrine of mass integration into the nation”, while in Russia no one could not even think of it. The remark made by Ivan the Terrible to Queen Elizabeth of England in 1570 is well known and suggestive: “…but it seems that the people reigns there alongside you and not only the people but also the peasant traders.”

            The monarch who really opened the way for the “Europeanization” of Russia was Peter I (the Great), who reigned between 1682-1725 and called himself “emperor”. G.W. Leibnitz, a German philosopher and mathematician, the founder of the Berlin Academy, advises him to invite the most enlightened western minds to set up schools, libraries, universities, museums, botanical gardens, etc. But the antagonisms keep infiltrating in an ever more subtle manner, so that Mikhail Lomonosov (1711-1765) who returned from studies in Germany, warned: “We must fight against Western Europe with only one kind of war: the defense war”. Several decades later, (about 1838) the teachings of Tsar Nicholas I transmitted to his son, the future Tsar Alexander II, before a journey of several months through Western Europe, warned: “Many things will seduce you, but by looking closer, you will be able to convince yourself that not everything deserves to be imitated. We must preserve our national character, our brand and woe onto us if we move away from it”.

            But Peter the Great did not only deal with the Europeanization of the bearded Russian nobility which most often suffered from hangover, but also with the establishment, perhaps, of the most feared secret service (Okhrana), which developed a system of repression envied even by the less noble of his followers, Lenin and Stalin, who “glorified” him by calling him “the first Bolshevik” of the country! … One of the regulations personally drafted by Peter I (1720) decreed once and for all that “police is the soul of the citizen and of the order”. And so it is today, and not only in Russia!

            Russia’s colonization with the Germans was meticulously dealt with by Catherine II of Russia, who in the meantime extended the Russian empire to the Dniester, brought in German colonists, assigned them land properties, built them houses, gave them loans without interest, exempted them from taxes and the like for 30 years. “I am more Russian than you all,” said the empress with a great deal of German blood through her veins, to the high officials of her court.

            After the great emperor, Tsar Alexander I followed, was on the side of the British and against Bonaparte who, within a few years’ time annexes Finland (1809), Bessarabia (1812) and also calls himself theTsar of Poland. After Napoleon’s abdication, Russia becomes Europe’s main political actor, imposing its conditions of peace at the Congress of Vienna (1815), where it laid the foundations of the Holy Alliance, taking the lead in the fight against atheism and democratic revolutions.

            After only 100 years, Russia raised the standard to lead the opposite camp! … Until then, even the time of Nicholas I (1825-1855) was strongly marked by Russia’s involvement in the bloody overthrow of the revolutionary movements from 1848-1849. At the same time, the ideological confrontation between Slavophiles and the Westerners was consolidated, a confrontation on the side of the Slavophiles, leaded by Piotr Ceaadaev who, in 1836, published a letter that showed that, unlike the individualism that lies at the origin of the Western decline, Russia kept what “the West had lost”: the integrity of the Christian faith “that came from the old Byzantium and had been transmitted and preserved by the Orthodox Church.

            Then Alexander II comes to the throne (1855-1881), which abolishes Serbia and loses the war in Crimea (1856). In 1863, the Russian-German relations were calibrated again on the backs of poor Poland, when, based upon a powerful “unit of action”, Russia and Prussia (again we wonder: where does the common termination in two countries with totally different historical origins comes from?), overwhelmed with a cruelty rarely encountered the Polish anti-tsarist uprisings. On the side of Poland, France, England and Austria took a diplomatic stand (which was allied with the two eternal “fathers” of Poland, and which did not hesitate to “wrap itself” until they became saturated with the territories belonging to this unfortunate country).

On this occasion, Bismarck proposes that Russia and Prussia should be “united against the common dangers, as if it were a single country” [8, chapter 21]. After the Crimean War (1856) Russia loses the right to have a fleet in the Black Sea, an impediment which it resolves a few years later (1870-1871) when, again supported by Germany, they obtain the repeal of the clauses of the Treaty of Paris of 1856, which forbade this but also assimilated the neutrality status of this inland sea.

            It is France’s turn to lose, in a shameful war, Alsace and Lorraine in favor of Prussia, a situation in which Russia does not outline any gesture of minimal protest, but on the contrary, supports Bismarck to achieve the unification of the German states (and not only German) under the command of the descendants of the old Teutons.

            It would be the first operation to support the unification and constitution of Germany (we need not recall the fact that Alexander II’s uncle was the very German Kaiser, Wilhelm I, and who firmly promised he would not forget Russia’s gesture of support).

            However, the promise was kept, in the purest “European spirit” until the Berlin Congress (1877-1878), since, after the Russian-Romanian-Turkish war, the “diplomatic honeymoon” between the two everlasting colossuses, friends of rivalry was over … Although victorious, Russia gives way to Germany, Austria and England, and a year later, Germany, again in the purest “European style”, concludes a secret treaty with Austria against…you guessed it, against his great and eternal ally, Russia!

            Bismarck, Germany’s greatest chancellor of all time had already warned of the risks of a war against Russia: “The most favorable outcome of such a war cannot under any circumstances lead to the disintegration of Russia’s main forces.” It would seem that Bismarck was one of the last German politicians to heed his own advice … Bismarck said it, but in vain!

            Another unpleasant topic for Russian and German historians is that of backstage of Lenin’s arrival in Russia, with a well-sealed German train (which unfortunately it did not remain so) who quickly concludes the so-called Brest-Litovsk peace treaty about which Lenin gives an explanation “in the purest comrade style”, saying that the Bolshevik power must necessarily follow a tactic of maneuvering, withdrawal and expectation, until it is fully mature. Generally speaking, the agreements with the robbers are sometimes admissible and necessary (other details about the robbers Lenin referred to, but we do not think it was necessary). However, no one could have more succinctly grasped the essence of political correctness, which has long been practiced but has only recently been theorized.

            Although they were deadly enemies in the terrible world war (1914-1918), immediately after the hostilities ended, as both Germany and Bolshevik Russia have seeing themselves isolated, they have put themselves at the forefront of the revisionist states (obviously Hungary could not have had better teachers). History rarely records closer collaboration between states with opposing ideologies. Hitler was right in his madness when he said that “The Slavs united with the doctrine of the proletariat are the most dangerous weapon in the world.” In turn, the founder of the German inter-war geopolitical school, Karl Haushofer, points out that the two great powers “were called upon to investigate together the injustices of the Treaty of Versailles and to successfully confront the coalition of the oceanic states.” But, it was not meant to be … A promoter of the theory of “moving borders”, he develops a whole series of procedures and techniques of expansion on the neighbors by “… friendly penetrations” understood then, as now, as deceptive propaganda actions that will lead to the ideological demobilization of the targeted nations”. Does that sound familiar?!…

            Let’s go back in time a little, to the “attachments” of Bolshevik Russia, during the Second World War, in order to reveal a “beneficial” statistic:

  1. After the agreement with Germany, Stalin’s Russia “liberated” all of eastern Poland (about 200,000 km2).
  2. In the same “style”, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania voluntarily “returned” to the body of “mother Russia”.
  3. Finland has surrendered over 40,000 km2 (after a grueling battle in which over 15 divisions of the, “Liberating” Red Army were annihilated, i.e. more than 200,000 soldiers).
  4. Bessarabia and Bukovina followed – over 50,000 km2.

            All in all, after this liberating “raid”, Bolshevik Russia has attached a country about the size of France, with a population of millions of souls (of which one third died in Siberia) … How many of the inhabitants of the new Europe do know these details?

            Despite the drama of the period and the human tragedies that we may imagine, one can get a bitter taste in one’s mouth when the propaganda campaigns of the time states that a country like Finland, with a population of 3 million inhabitants and an army equipped with several dozen tanks attacks Bolshevik Russia, a country with 180 million inhabitants and an army equipped with over 2,500 tanks…while the Polish campaign was labeled a “military stroll” for the liberating Soviet Army … In fact, after 1943 Germany’s aggression against Europe ended and those of the only USSR began.

            Russian journalist and analyst Alexander Podrabinek wonders rhetorically how and when did the USSR enter World War II?

  • Was it in October 1939, in the war with Poland?
  • Was it in November 1939, when Moldova (Bessarabia and northern Bukovina) was annexed?
  • Was it in August 1940, when Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia were annexed?

            In our opinion the greatest communist among the unfrocked and the greatest unfrocked of the Communists (V.I. Stalin), allowed the greatest Nazi among the painters and the greatest painter among the Nazis to systematically run out on the stretches of Europe (though not without huge risks), so that he can then conquer half of Europe, for half a century, with the invaluable help of his democratic allies … We would also like to emphasize another strange aspect of a history that some learn and nobody keeps in mind: both Stalin and Putin had to solve, during 8 decades, the same problem: the restoration of the Russian empire.

            And we believe that both have succeeded then and now with the decisive and invaluable help of the same West, which is today more united in division and more divided in union as ever.

3. The Russian-German secret diplomacy for a united Europe

            The building of the Soviet military power is due, as everybody knows, to 1920s Germany, a defeated and humiliated but especially isolated Germany (like Bolshevik Russia).

            At the same time, after Russia, Germany was the Western country most  infested with the Communist virus, a virus that appeared out of nowhere but was present everywhere (just as the Spanish influenza virus and about the same number of victims).

            During the first five-year plan, 50% of the USSR imports came from Germany, and the first German officers visited the new Soviet state in the spring of 1922; in April, the same year, the construction of Junker planes (near Moscow) began … Things happened in a similar manner as during the times of the empress … 

            Krupp also had factories near Rostov (on the river Don) and in 1925 a Flight Pilot School (near Lipetsk) was set up for the instruction of the first pilots of the future Luftwaffe planes … After only one year (1926), the Reichwehr (German army) was allowed to use the Kazan Tank School; in parallel, Russian armament factories (in Kharkov and Leningrad) also developed…

            The coming to power of Hitler and Molotov at the Foreign Ministry (on the other side) ended a period of fruitful collaborations whose fruits would soon be destroyed on the battlefields, between those who had been “friends” until not long ago … And the collaborations were restored only in a generation (1958).

            After 1945, the relationships between Russia and Germany relations entered a somewhat darker and somewhat “frozen” area. However, the thaw came soon, with all its consequences…

            Initially, the former USSR tried to block the establishment of the Federal Republic of Germany, but they ultimately gave in. Moreover, they allowed an article in the German Constitution to stipulate the possibility of reunification (which, for example, other “friendly” states, Poland, Finland, Romania were not allowed to).

            Obviously, beyond the Marshall plan, beyond the German diplomacy, beyond the political, military and economic backdrops, the recovery of Germany in less than two decades (after 1945) is the result, first and foremost, of the efforts of a hard-working nation, of a people who did not leave their country massively when times were harsh, when it was almost impossible to live and that was based upon patriotism, fondness and determination to be what they were and more than that once again.

            This is why, after only two decades, the German Federal Republic has become a world economic power, the world’s largest net exporter, the standard country for science, culture, technology and functional democracy at supraunitary return!

            Germany has once again become an economic giant but a political dwarf, and the alleviation of this disproportion was one of the fundamental concerns of the people of this country, through the agreements between Adenauer, the Chancellor of Federal Germany and De Gaulle, the President of France, as they were both the representatives of a generation of great politicians but especially great statesmen.

            At the same time, the accounts between Czechoslovakia, Poland, on the one hand and the German Federal Republic led by Willy Brandt were settled, and Romania recognized the new German state despite the “indications” received from Moscow.

            During Helmut Schmidt’s time, Germany consolidated its political status and, without the slightest trace of servility, recognizes, whenever it has the opportunity and context, that the Germans owe America the inspiration that comes from the Declaration of Independence, but also from the Constitution (the two documents are not cited randomly). In addition, H. Schmidt agreed with the statement of Germany’s Christian Democratic President, Richard von Weizsacker (1985) who accepted (for the first time) that “the lost war was a release.”

            H. Schimdt is a supporter of the political approach to litigation and rejects the instrument of sanctions and boycotts, measures that never give good results (on the contrary).

            Caught by surprise, M. Thacher acknowledged: “We have twice defeated the Germans and now they are again in front of us!”… Slowly, cautiously and noiselessly, Germany was approaching the theme of reunification of the country, though even the best friends did not get too easily convinced. Whenever he had the opportunity, F. Mitterand used to say: “I love Germany so much that I would like to see two Germanys sooner and not one!” But somehow, it was concluded that a lasting peace in Europe could not take place without a united Germany! … (although the lessons of history have taught us something else, twice in half a century). However, the geopolitical terrain was not sufficiently prepared, so in the relations with the great powers:

  • Germany teamed up with France in making reservations regarding the interventions in Iraq;
  • Germany did not accept the international isolation of China and Russia;
  • Germany had an exceptional continuity in foreign policy on the axis defined by a suite of state people who in turn held the position of chancellor: Helmut Schimdt, Helmut Kohl, Gerhardt Schroder and Angela Merkel.
  • Germany has been able to permanently maintain relationships with the U.S. and China, as economic superpowers, and relationships with the U.S. and Russia, as military superpowers.

            It is widely recognized that the unification of Germany under the mandate of H. Kohl could not have been achieved without the prestige previously gained in the field of international political relations.

            In approaching the unification with former President Gorbachev, H. Kohl started from the economic viewpoint: a united Germany can more firmly support a weakened Russia.

            In (August) 1990, Germany becomes a NATO member and in October, the same year, the reunification takes place (according to art.2.3 of the German Constitution of … 1949 – so unification can be achieved)…

            G. Schroder has collaboration with Russia and Putin, involving many known aspects but also many hidden aspects, given that Germany’s interests in working with Russia are vital and key. At the same time, China is a strong partner for Germany.

            Clinton’s U.S. agreed that Germany is playing a major role in “supporting the Eastern colossus not to collapse economically” (can one hear a number of Romanian quasi-politicians state their warlike ideas just to please the strategic partner?)… In fact, it was G. Schroder who insisted that Russia be part of the G8 (together with India and China). In fact, he wished Russia would become a member of the EU as a major partner and not as an irreconcilable opponent!

            “It is totally wrong for Russia to be evaluated from the perspective of one conflict or another and acknowledged only as a source of problems” – the German Chancellor asserted. Maybe he did too bluntly…

            Angela Merkel continued on the same line with the “three superpowers”. “The basis of my political thinking and action is the Christian understanding of man and the fundamental values that result from it – freedom, solidarity and justice.” We beg Mrs. Merkel for forgiveness, but if the influx of Islamist migrants with the explosive potential they carry with them is still an emanation of the Christian understanding of man, then many readers should read and document further). But, as the chancellor adds, “risk is a chance” (probably this is less a chance when a bomb explodes on the streets of our towns)…

            Whether we like it or not, the quality of the Russian diplomatic schools, but especially the German ones, is by far the highest (in the good sense of the word), and the conflicts between them have not provided happy consequences for the entire population of the planet.

            The Stalin-Hitler agreements cannot be considered the fruit of random historical accidents but the fruit of “traditional historical accidents” … After only one year, the USSR is dissatisfied that not all its claims have been met and insists on new protocols regarding the “delimiting the spheres of influence”. Hitler would have exclaimed: “Russia has already received the lion’s share of the advantages it aspires to.”

            Beyond violating all international treaties, the Ribbentrop-Molotov pact had to be kept “in the strictest secrecy”; for the same reason, the protocol on the division of “spheres of interest” between the two has not been subject to ratification procedures. In fact, this “treaty” could not be discussed in Nürnberg either, and when the Americans published a volume of documents on Russian-German relationships and agreements between 1939 and 1941, including the “devil’s pact”, the Soviets vehemently denied them.

            And so it remained until 1984 when even Gobaciov denied their existence. If the lie worked like the Spanish flu virus, surely the world would be much cleaner … Especially the horrible world of politicians!

            The Brest-Litovsk treaty was valid for less than a year, and the non-aggression treaty between Germany and Stalin’s Russia lasted for almost two years’ time.

            In contrast, the Ribbentrop-Molotov treaty has withstood more than half a century.

            On September 12, 1990, all the four victorious powers in World War II sign the treaty stating they renounces the rights they had in 1945 over Germany, and on October 3, 1990 we have the unified Germany again!

            Hans Dietrich Genscher, Minister of Foreign Affairs of the F.R.G. and François Mitterand, on November 30, 1989, have a meeting during which the President of France declares: “If, on the contrary, the German unity is done after that of Europe, we will help you.” As he was reluctant about the rapid emergence of united Germany on the map of Europe, on December 6, in Kiev, Mitterand tries to “hijack” Gorbachev by suggesting that France would support the East German government but the Russian president replied with an elegant “en-passant” ! …

            On the other side, H. Kohl addressed very respectfully to Gorbachev: “I kindly ask you to disagree with Malta on any decision that could limit the scope of our policy in the German issue.”

            Let us make a bridge over time and go to Italy in 1922 (April 16), in the city of Rapallo, where the USSR and Germany have just signed a treaty by which the Russians renounce the financial claims imposed by the Treaty of Brest-Litvosk. Only, behind this treaty that respects the spirit of the League of Nations (the UN of that period) as well as the provisions of the Treaty of Paris, respectively Triannon, there is a secret protocol that allows Germany to violate their respective commitments to train their soldiers in the territory of the former enemy (USSR), and even to manufacture weapons for itself in the newly built factories in the vastness of Russia.

            Going back to the 1990s (September), also in Italy, but this time in Genoa, the Russians and the Germans, in secret, agree on issues that, in fact, had nothing to do directly with either of them, namely:

  • The peaceful division of Czechoslovakia without opposition from Germany and especially from the USSR;
  • The Czech Republic will enter into the sphere of influence of Germany and Slovakia into the sphere of influence of Russia;
  • the USSR does not oppose the dismemberment of Yugoslavia nor the entry into the sphere of influence of Germany of Croatia and Slovenia;
  • Hungary will not be hindered in its efforts to reacquire its “lost” territories after the First World War (after the Treaty of Trianon)! …

            Maybe now one can explain a lot of what could not be understood and explained at one point in time, maybe now we can see the diplomatic depths of some policies as well as the policies that resulted in many diplomatic arrangements and meetings that were not allowed to escape the attention of many government decision-makers, but also of the European Union (if we are to live finally, in a united Europe, a Europe of the nations that respect and support each other, in the “light of day” and not in the darkness of arrangements that from the beginning have undermined the confidence but also and the deep desire for much-desired European unity and peace).

            Well, after so many successes over the last three decades, it seems that Germany wants to go crazy again! In 2016, the German Defense Minister Sigmar Gabriel recommended the establishment of a European Union army in which Germany should play a leading role. In Berlin and Brussels the phrase “Germany has the increasing responsibility for actively contributing to the formation of the new world order and it is ready to take matters in their own hands in the face of security and humanitarian challenges” is heard more and more frequently (the history of the last century has shown us that indeed Germany is always ready, especially from a humanitarian standpoint) … Let us note that until A. Merkel no one had the courage to send the soldiers of the German army outside the NATO application fields.

            A European Security Compart is a recent Franco-German document on the security of Europe, which specifies and emphasizes a number of interesting aspects, of which we recall:

  • The world and European peace and security need an agreement with Iran;
  • France and Germany will promote the EU Global Strategy in the field of security policies;
  • France and Germany will promote the U.E. as a global and independent actor capable of taking advantage of its unique matrix of expertise, as well as of its civil and military instruments (obviously, independent of NATO and USA – author’s note);
  • France and Germany demand that the Member States of the E.U. to increase the defense budgets in the formation of their own and independent common defense forces.

            As a long-awaited conclusion, the bicephalous agreement underlines that France and Germany see BREXIT as a “historical opportunity” … Is that so!

            It was and it is obvious that Germany and France were permanently disturbed by the presence of Great Britain, the US ally in NATO, and the strengthening of the flanks with Poland and Romania explicitly indicates that the US suspects treason in the most classical and known European style.

            And what is good for Germany is also good for Russia … it cannot stop us from thinking that even if the NATO treaty were to fall, no comma in the Russian-German agreements would change so easily! But let us not anticipate too much!

4. Why is Germany strong or the “Locomotive and the stocker”

            The Former British Prime Minister (Margaret Thatcher) ‘s remarks about Germany’s strong comeback after being virtually destroyed during the First and Second World Wars have gone somewhat unnoticed. At least that would be the conclusion that most of the governments and leaders of the U.S., G8, and so on are reacting to the new trajectories they the older and newer Russian-German treaties (secret or not)have generated and still generate.

            From the geopolitical perspective but also from the historical perspective, Germany’s high-power status derives from the through the veins of a people who has been “polished” for centuries, either by the terror of wars due to political causes, by the terror of religious wars, or by both. Germany is located (as well as other states, such as Romania, for example) on one of the most unfavorable geostrategic alignments in the world, but from other viewpoints, on the most favorable geostrategic positions.

            For example, Berlin is practically the best positioned city in the world:

  • At the intersection of two large rivers, both navigable (Spree and Havel);
  • It is located at 100 km away from Oder.

            Let us remember that, for example, the river and maritime transport is:

  • 40 times cheaper in plains and fields and
  • 70 times cheaper in the less populated mountain areas.

            Moving on to other coordinates, let us note that Prussia had in 1717 (!) a compulsory education system (150 years before England, which we believe the “Iron Lady” of Great Britain had knowledge of) … Then, in contrast from any other state in yesterday’s, today’s and probably tomorrow’s Europe, local governments have enjoyed and are enjoying immense prestige and this is because they have always been and are models of professionalism, integrity and administrative efficiency.

            Although it was the 12th nation in eighteenth-century Europe as a population, Germany had Europe’s fourth army (in size) and it was in this field the state with the first regular and permanent army (1740).

            It should also be noted that the German excellence has always started from the very construction of social hierarchies: scientists, teachers, military, financiers, industrialists, ministers, princes – all had equal social status.

            Either of them had the right to consult and advise all levels of political decision making in the German area, even to the Chancellor and the Emperor.

            Germany was the first country in the world to become a predominantly urban country and in 1900 it had more industrial cities than the whole of Europe at one place. Also, the attraction of the private capital in the economy was achieved through the total support of the German state.

            All actions to strengthen the German status (education, infrastructure, culture, army, industry) permanently required huge sums of money. Most of the money came from the population, so that their economies were connected with the governmental reserves within centralized, state-owned German banks, whose officials, with a professional, moral and impeccable background, managed the financing of the German state project.

Later on, under government pressure, local banks began to merge, becoming strong regional banks, thus creating a strong and well-structured conglomerate between the financial, industrial, intellectual, military and local German governments.

            Compared to its neighbors of the 18th century, Germany was, as Peter Zeihan noted, “the kid in the neighborhood, but a kid with a gun in one hand and a PhD in engineering in the other.”

            It should also be noted that all these advances have been made against the backdrop of a hostile economic and social climate at European level. It should not be forgotten that by the middle of the 19th century, in all German territories, the British products that had benefited greatly from the advantages of the industrial revolution, have “decimated” the German guilds and manufactures. All Western Europe went into economic depression, thus triggering a series of revolutions in 1848 that spanned the entire continent (perhaps less Czarist Russia where the state of crisis was a “modus vivendi”).

            After the end of the revolutions, Prussia was practically destroyed without its manufacturing base, and then the rulers decided that it was time to capitalize on their great and certain advantages that were built decades before: the education, the professionalism and the civic spirit.

Thus, in this respect, one must emphasize a remarkable detail: at that time, even the smallest urban settlements had very well-skilled labor and craftsmen, which made the industrialization started in force after the revolution to be made from periphery towards the center (in the rest of Europe, the process took place much slower in the opposite direction, i.e. from the center to the periphery). The result was that after a relatively short time, each German city was able to ensure an industrial development compatible with local resources and needs (there were only 40 such cities that systematically “crushed” the British monopoly).

            Thus, the pace of Germany’s industrialization was faster than anywhere else in the 19th-century Europe. The coupling of private funds such as those of the state, local and central governments of maximum competence attached to the German state and nation (leading professionals in all fields of activity) made the industrialization of Germany complete after only 40 years (compared to 150 years, the time it took in England). Let us also add the fact that no industry in the world had as strong a military component as that of the German state, a component financed permanently and consistently by all governments.

            In 1806, the Great Defense Staff (also a German “invention”) was established and was a permanent military body, at the top of the army, with clear attributions in the direction of the elaboration and revision of the campaign plans, the mobilization plans, as well as the continuous study of all aspects of the war. The Chief of the Defense Staff had to be a graduate of higher studies at one of the most prestigious German state universities! …(nowadays it is the same).

            The fusion of the academic, financial, industrial and military competences as well as the provision of a permanent functioning of this seemingly heterogeneous assembly had many major and beneficial consequences for the German nation and state, such as:

  • the recognition of the German academic superiority has gone so far that, for a long time, the commissions for awarding the Nobel prizes were made up exclusively of German scientists;
  • the design and implementation of logistic models for the higher capitalization of the German railway infrastructure;
  • the development of heavy weapons, in relation to which military experts made up their strategies;
  • Germany was the first country that, after establishing and developing countless universities, institutes and research centers, immediately connected them to the industrial, financial, economic and military building and complex (so, for example, the pharmaceutical and car construction industry cars are today among the top corporations that run and control markets and the world).

            Thus, over a generation, Germany became industrialized under a “blitz”-like regime, so that the ordinary Germans quickly transformed from poor people in northern Europe to winners over England, France, Austria, Denmark, Poland, Russia, and so on. After only three generations of ultra-fast training and specialization, the planet heard a new word: the “blitz-krieg”, a German cocktail of technology, assumed discipline, civic spirit, strength and logistics, quite the opposite of the other cocktail – the Molotov cocktail, but both equally destructive.

And let us not forget that George Washington’s army-ready assembly was transformed into an elite military body, within a few months, by the famous German baron, Friederich von Stauben, one of the greatest military commanders and instructors in the world at that time.

            This is how the German “locomotive” was built, which now needed a stocker to feed its huge boilers. A stocker who, if he wasn’t drunk, he was a troublemaker and if he wasn’t a troublemaker, he was drunk, but most often, he was both…

            The energy project made in Moscow has generated and generates deep political and economic tensions and fractures at the level of the U.E. The project was financed by the Western energy industry, but in September 2017, lawyers from the legal service of the Council of the Union shattered into pieces the request of the European Commission to hamper the project for the construction of the Russian-German gas pipeline, Nord Stream 2 (NS2).

Germany has come into conflict with the Visegrád Group and the European Council has mentioned in its analysis that Nord Stream 2 will overturn Europe’s energy market in favor of Russia (with a capacity of about 55-60 billion cubic meters/year, NS2 will allow the doubling of the capacity connecting Russia with the European energy markets through northern Germany).

            The pipeline construction received funding from five powerful companies: OMV (where it seems that the Russians would hold a large shareholding), ENGIE (France), Uniper and Wintershall (Germany) as well as from Shell (Anglo-Dutch consortium), which a financing worth over $ 10 billion. But … the gas demand in Europe is declining and Nord Stream 1 is used at only 50% of its capacity. Why would Nord Stream 2 still be needed? There are two major reasons:

  • the first reason is that there is a risk of depletion of Europe’s natural gas resources (according to experts, most of them are probably Russians …);
  • the second reason would be the GAZPROM giant’s desire to strengthen its position on the European market (personally I would not put my hand in the fire because, in a way, OMV and Wintershall would not be subsidiaries in Europe of the Russian giant).

            The lawyers of the Council of Europe claim that Nord Stream 2 will increase the capacity of the U.E. not to be affected by the commercial, political and military disputes between Russia and Ukraine, but omitting to consider that its entry into service will quickly close other routes of methane gas transport (are they really the lawyers of the Council of Europe or …?). Under the careful German coordination, Bulgaria and Russia gave up the construction of South Stream. There are of course other aspects, but it is not the role of these lines to strictly debate the EU energy issues, but to emphasize the energy “empathy” between Germany and Russia, in an area that will become increasingly sensitive.

However, after Schroder, A. Merkel is the biggest supporter of the NS2 project (note that in the German parliament, the SPD supported the project and Mrs. Merkel’s CDU kept it quiet)! It was proven once again that the national interests come before the interests of the U.E. and the interests the interests of Germany and Russia come before the national interests…

            We conclude this paragraph by pointing out that one may be upset over the duplicity, cynicism and arrogance of the leaders of the two states, but in no way cannot one admire the selflessness, patriotism, the power to resist the dramas of history, the inventive spirit and the eternal desire to learn and to create of the two peoples. It is not the people who invented the Gulag and Auschwitz, the crime as state policy and the territorial kidnapping, the macabre games with the destinies of tens of millions of people, for centuries in a row…

5. Conclusions

            When one throws himself or herself into the turmoil of history that is impregnated with cynicism, indescribable suffering, lack of any morals, crimes, wars, it is difficult if not impossible to draw a conclusion that is optimistic, bright, beneficial, which justifies one’s status as a man or woman who respects and is respected, or the status of nation one wants to provide respect and be respected.

            Everywhere one can come across the same outdated, mimetic, primitive replies: “there are only interests in politics”… And this justifies everything, anytime, anyway. If one kills another human being, he or she is sentenced to life! If one kills 30 million human beings, one is a Führer or an army general; if one kills 20, 100, 5000 … one is a hero!

            Beyond any more or less European and more or less united political building, beyond the fact that every key leader in the international arena tries to play a highly important and visible role in the world hierarchy – some have as primary objective the interest of their own nations – the historical leaders, others always consider that their own persons comes always first (the mediocre leaders). There are nations, peoples, truths, hopes and maybe, a future…

            About 10 years ago, as we looked more closely to the map of the political leaders from Atlantic to Pacific, passing over the Urals, we found out with astonishment something that had escaped us years in a row: how is it possible that from Kamchatka to the Atlantic Ocean humanity may be (well) led by two former communists? … Merkel and Putin – two heads of state, rulers of two peoples who have always spoken different languages but have understood and still understand each other without translators, in both languages! One can rarely see such a coincidence between two of the most terrible enemies and the most devoted friends.

            The former champion of the Russian language Olympics (which is laudable fact), the former secretary of propaganda at the Academy of Sciences of the former German Democratic Republic, Mrs. Merkel has shown her inclinations towards politics since a young age. As she entered under H. Kohl’s wing, as she proved to be modest, intelligent and with an above-average political sense, a balanced behavior, the iron lady of German politics in recent decades has been the main “partner” in the “tango” of the European and world politics for the unhinged tsar of Russia, Putin (many speak of his membership of the KGB in his youth, forgetting that a former head of the CIA became president across the Atlantic).

            Without intentionally making any connections, history reminds us that such friendships have existed, such as the friendship between V.I. Lenin and the German Kaiser, a “beneficial” friendship for the whole of humanity … for many decades in a row!

            But Bismarck has left us with a piece of advice that should not be forgotten by any politician who wants to be a statesman: “With the Russians one either plays correctly or one does not play at all.”

            We are almost convinced that even the most trained German and Russian historians do not know how many times Poland, the Scandinavian countries, France, the Baltic States, Romania, Ukraine, Europe, Asia, Africa, have been divided between the two great powers for the last 500 years….
And as “friends”, it should be remembered that most of the losses (80%) Germany experienced during the Second World War occurred on the Eastern Front.

            In a more “military”-like expression, it can be said that the territory from Gibraltar to the Ural Mountains can be called the territory on which marched and “trained” the armies of the two geopolitical friend during the last hundred years. The long march … from Berlin to the Kremlin! And viceversa…

            Europe as a whole (in general), the Central and Eastern Europe in particular, has seen their destinies torn to pieces too many times over the desires and understandings between the “economic giant and the political dwarf”- Germany and the economic dwarf and the political giant – Russia.

            Could the United Europe break the status and the role of “currency exchange” of Central, Eastern and (more rarely) Western Europe that already has a “history” and “tradition” in the history of Europe during the last 500 years? … Could the German double-dealing be more convenient than Moscow pan-Slavism?

            History shows us that the betrayal of this part of Europe, which is said to have belonged to the “communist camp” by our Christian brothers, was more frequent, more devastating and more dramatic than the betrayal and attacks of the plague and Islam (altogether), during the Middle Ages, also for a period of 500 years.

            It still seems, however, that any assault by Russia over the former allied states of Eastern Europe is treated with a “forced tolerance” by Germany (the Russian foreign minister, Sergey Lavrov, did remind Germany many times that only Russia supported the unification of Germany even against the opposition of England and France, sister countries within the United Europe).

            Let us recap: after 1990, the disintegration of the USSR, the unification of Germany and the entry into force of the Maastricht Treaty determined the geopolitical repositioning of Germany and Russia, so that:

  • Germany believes that alongside the role of Europe’s economic leader it can and must also become a political leader;
  • the defense against Russia is no longer an activity of major interest, therefore,
  • the US role for Germany is considered to have been greatly diminished (as Mrs. Merkel stated not so long ago: “However, I am deeply convinced that there is no better partner for Europe than America and for America there is no better partner than Europe ”). Dear Mrs. Merkel, we are convinced that you are also convinced of that! Especially of the first part…

            On the other side, Moscow has pursued (and achieved) the implementation of policies of strategic depth by creating neutral or pro-Russian buffer zones in the west, formed by the Baltic states (under the influence of Germany, therefore an “ally”), Belarus, Ukraine and the Republic of Moldova and in the south, the North Caucasus.

            It seems as though H. Kohl was saying (if we remember and we actually should not forget) that “between the Russians and the Germans there was never an organic enmity” … What did this Bismarck of the 20th century mean?

            We do not want to be right, but the bigger Russia or Germany became, the smaller Europe became!

            However, history shows us that:

  • Russia had to lose in any conflict with Germany only at the beginning.
  • Germany had to lose, from beginning to end, in any conflict with Russia;
  • the more the United Kingdom was victorious, the bigger it became, the less it maintained its position of great power (many political scientists see it today as a great power to retire);
  • without the help of the US military, Europe would not have been able to win any war with Germany;
  • Germany never forgave Europe when “Uncle Sam” was not around.

            Is the NATO presence a necessity for a future United Europe? History says there is no other solution! But have we become as wise as to take its lessons into account?

            As things go about, it might not. In our opinion, there is no united Europe, neither without NATO nor without Russia. Also there is no more peaceful future than insofar as there will be no irreconcilable problems between NATO and Russia.

            Only in this way will the chances of survival of the planet increase in the context of future global conflicts. Whatever these conflicts are…

About the author: Phd. Dorian Vlădeanu Ist degree senior researcher within the Romanian Academy. Associate university professor. Degree in economics and automation and computers, Doctor of Economics, author of over 100 works in macroeconomics. He developed the first strategy on public services at a national level. Author, co-author and coordinator of the first generation of legislation made by the Romanian Government for public services (2002-2004).

Nation branding – a communication opportunity

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By H.E. Ambassador Nicolas Bideau, head of Presence Switzerland.

At Expo 2020, which will be held in Dubai from October 2020 to April 2021, the Swiss pavilion will take centre stage, promoting Switzerland’s traditional image as well as its innovative strengths. 

In recent decades, countries have become aware of the value of their image and have put strategies in place to shape, alter or strengthen their reputation. Communication wonks call this ‘nation branding’ and Switzerland is by no means exempt. 

World expos have therefore become essential communication platforms. Participating countries can provide an emotive experience for visitors and present themselves in surprising ways. Such exhibitions provide an ideal platform for discovery and dialogue.

Participation in such an event sends a strong signal to the international community and confirms a country’s interest in working with other nations to find solutions to global challenges, to strengthen trade and to create new partnerships.  And, Switzerland was one of the first countries to announce its participation in Expo 2020. 

Countries are now increasingly subject to scrutiny from the media, NGOs and the public, and are judged and compared on the basis of their economic prowess, political stability, sense of international responsibility and cultural interest. For this reason, world expos are important communication opportunities.

World expos enjoy a high profile in the media and among the public, both internationally and locally. In terms of nation branding, they are effective in reaching a wide audience, both directly and indirectly, via new and traditional media channels. 

The national pavilion will provide the Swiss government with an attractive platform to showcase its priority themes in international communication: business, science, education, the environment and culture. It will cast the country as innovative, competitive and responsible, while at the same time highlighting its deep-rooted traditions.

In order to maximise a country’s pull factor, nation branding experts capitalise on the perceptions of their country and its symbols to promote the brand image.  Switzerland’s most important brand identity drivers are the products it exports. The ‘Swiss made’ label is viewed by many consumers to be a guarantee of quality, whether in the machine industry, the agri-food sector or the luxury goods sector. The challenge for communicators is how best to use this perception to get the message across. Chocolate, for example, is one thing people spontaneously associate with Switzerland and can be used as a communication lever to explain how without Swiss innovation chocolate would not even exist. 

Switzerland enjoys a positive and stable image abroad and is regarded as an important player in the global economy. However, this positive image cannot last forever without constant attention: we have to maintain the high quality of the offer and invest in presenting it in a positive light. Using communication to best leverage your assets is a challenge for all countries. That is the secret of nation branding – capitalizing on your country’s known strengths to generate positivity towards it.

These communication dynamics are at the forefront of world expos. Each country presents itself through a national pavilion, and while general perceptions of a country play a crucial role in drawing the crowds, once inside the pavilion, visitors expect a memorable experience. Providing that experience is the only way to ensure a long-term impact on the perception of visitors.

As a founding member of the Bureau International des Expositions, Switzerland has taken part in most world expos. Over the years, the Swiss pavilion has gradually established itself as an attractive brand, often drawing some of the biggest crowds and gaining much media coverage. Regular surveys among visitors confirm that the pavilions leave a positive impression of Switzerland. 

At Expo 2020 in Dubai, Switzerland aims to present itself as a country of innovation which remains true to its traditions. The pavilion has therefore been modelled on a journey, travelling through Switzerland the hub of innovation and Switzerland the land of bucolic splendour. Along the way, visitors will discover Switzerland’s values, its strengths in terms of education, research, innovation and business, but also the qualities and savoir-faire specific to Switzerland that give it the ability to provide answers to the challenges of the future. Expo 2020 is an important communication opportunity in the region. 

See you in Dubai in October 2020!

Russia is ‘Convention & Culture’ partner ITB 2020

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The largest country in the world is a ‘Convention & Culture’ partner of the world’s largest travel trade fair. “We are delighted to have Russia as our Convention & Culture Partner. Russia is of great importance for the international tourism industry.

Above all, its rich cultural heritage is a very special highlight for art and culture travellers,” explained David Ruetz, Head of ITB Berlin, at the signing of the contract in London on 5 November 2019, adding: “Russia has been a regular exhibitor at ITB Berlin since 1994 and will again be strongly represented this year in Hall 3.1. In addition, exciting topics on Russia’s tourism development are on the agenda of the ITB Berlin Convention”.

“The cooperation with ITB Berlin 2020 is an important platform for us to bring Russia as a travel destination with its enormous cultural diversity closer to a broad international audience,” said Zarina Doguzova, Head of Russian Federal Agency for Tourism, as per statement. 

For further information: 
Russian Federal Agency for Tourism: https://www.russiatourism.ru/en/
Embassy of Russia to Germany: https://russische-botschaft.ru/ru/