EU Spring Forecast: Dutch economic recovery gains groundEdited by Joseph Dailey.
On the basis of approximately 180 indicators such as GDP, inflation, employment and public finances, the European Commission has forecasted economic growth in the European Union, the euro area and its major trading partners. The forecasts are the basis for economic monitoring procedures during the European Semester.
The aforementioned forecasts are based on a series of external assumptions regarding exchange rates, interest rates and commodity prices. The figures given are as predicted at the time of the forecast. This forecast also takes into account additional relevant data and factors, including assumptions about government policies which became available on April 21, 2015.
Netherlands: Economy grows strongly
The Dutch economy grew strongly in the fourth quarter of 2014, driven by domestic demand and the recovery of investment. Based on early indicators, we can expect domestic demand to increase further in 2015 and the export sector to benefit from the depreciation of the euro. It is also expected that inflation will reach its lowest point this year before once again rising over the predicted level of 1% next year. Estimates put the overall deficit at 1.7% in 2015 and 1.2% in 2016.
You can find the complete forecast for the Netherlands at: http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/eu/forecasts/2015_spring/nl_en.pdf
General forecast
The economy in the European Union will benefit this year from a favorable economic tailwind. According to economic forecasts, in 2015 the European Commission will have a slight upturn in the EU through these temporary factors.
In regards to monetary policy, quantitative easing from the ECB has had a clear effect on the financial markets, leading the expansion to lower interest rates and result in expected improvement in credit conditions. With the EU more or less balancing  a neutral fiscal stance – there is no question of tightening or easing – fiscal policy can be expected to promote growth. Over time, structural reform and investments in Europe should also pay off.
As a result, it is currently assumed that the real GDP will grow by 1.8% in the EU and 1.5% in the eurozone in 2015. This is respectively 0.1% and 0.2% more than anticipated three months ago. For 2016 the Commission expects a growth of 2.1% for the EU and 1.9% for the eurozone. Domestic demand will contribute the most to this GDP growth.
On the occasion of the celebration of the landmark exhibition âCarthagoâ, held from 27th November 2014 until 10th May 2015, a glamorous Tunisian fashion show took place in the Leiden Museum of Antiquities on 8th May 2015.
For a photo-album on the Tunisia Fashion Show in the Leiden Museum of Antiquities, please click here: https://www.flickr.com/photos/121611753@N07/sets/72157652807551862
The Fashion Show was made by the Tunisian designer Faouzi Naouar who presented his spring and summer collection high in colours with different variations according to the typical tradition of every region and city in Tunisia. He thus successfully presented a mosaic of traditional clothes with a fashion design and a modern touch in an original creative style.
H.E. Mr Karim Ben Becher, the Ambassador of Tunisia, praised the dynamic bilateral cooperation relations with the Dutch side, that made possible the organization of such an exhibition on Carthage, its history, its culture and its unforgettable civilization, pointing out that it was the most important event ever organised about this Punic city, regarding its high quality and the number of exhibited archaeological monuments that came mainly from the Bardo and the Carthage Museums in Tunisia.
He expressed his satisfaction to the fact that this major exhibition on Carthage attracted more than 100 000 visitors, giving Tunisia more visibility and hopefully a positive impact on tourism.
Ambassador Ben Becher then indicated that fruitful cooperation with the Leiden Museum of Antiquities is to be continued, with a coming exhibition in Tunisia on the findings of the Dutch archaeologist Jean-Emile Humbert about Carthage, considered the modern discoverer of the ancient city in the XVIIIth century.
Ninth report of the Prosecutor of the International Criminal Court to the UN Security Council pursuant to UNSCR 1970 (2011) Â
The deteriorating security situation in Libya continues to be a matter of great concern not only for my Office, but for this Council and the broader international community. Innocent civilians continue to bear the brunt of the deteriorating security situation. The frequency and brutality of assassinations, terrorist attacks, threats to media workers, human rights defenders and women in particular are especially troubling. Libya continues to be split, with two governments vying for legitimacy.
The international community must be more proactive in exploring solutions in order to tangibly help Libya restore stability and strengthen accountability for Rome Statute crimes. Toward this end, my Office has encouraged the formation of an international contact group on justice issues through which material, legal and other support could be provided to Libya.
My Office is modestly contributing to these efforts by fostering cooperative efforts between investigative authorities in Libya and other countries. One proposal I submit before the Council is for a willing State, with substantial experience in transitional justice, to consider partnering with Libya to explore more concretely how such a contact group might be brought to life in the near future. It is crucial for such efforts to include local actors, so that their voices and views on achieving justice are amplified and heard. My Office appreciates the efforts that the UN Support Mission in Libya as well as the Permanent Mission of Libya to the UN have made towards this end, and looks forward to continuing these efforts with these and other partners as we forge ahead in finding solutions for the crisis in Libya.
As I have suggested in my previous statements, the Libyan authorities should facilitate a visit by representatives from the local councils of Misrata and Tawergha to New York to meet and engage with Council members. My Office agrees with those who believe that facilitating a solution for the Tawergha issue will have symbolic importance and resonance in Libya. While it has not yet been possible to organize this visit, I believe that with the help of the UN Support Mission in Libya, the Libyan Mission to the UN, the Libyan focal point to the ICC, and other initiatives engaging with Libyan local leaders and civil society to promote justice, we can achieve results before our next briefing in November 2015.
Madame President, Your Excellencies:
I have taken note of this Councilâs resolutions 2174 of 27 August 2014, as well as 2213 of 27 March of this year. Both reference the referral of the Libya situation to the ICC in UN Security Council resolution 1970, and stress the importance of the Libyan governmentâs full cooperation with the ICC and with my Office. Like the Council, we deplore the increasing violence in Libya, and we are deeply concerned at the impact of this violence on Libyaâs civilian population and institutions. Accountability for those responsible for violations or abuses of human rights or violations of international humanitarian law is essential.
I have also taken note of this Councilâs call for accountability for the use of violence against civilians and civilian institutions by groups purportedly claiming allegiance to the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (âISILâ) or Daâesh. My Office considers that ICC jurisdiction over Libya prima facie extends to such alleged crimes. I recall however the principle that States, in the first instance, bear the primary responsibility to investigate and prosecute their nationals who have joined forces with ISIL/Daâesh and are alleged to be committing Rome Statute crimes.
Similarly, my Office continues to be concerned about alleged indiscriminate attacks in heavily populated areas by both Libya Dawn and Operation Dignity forces, resulting in civilian casualties, in particular in Benghazi, Tripoli, Warshefana, and in the Nafusa Mountains. I reiterate my call to all parties involved in the conflict to refrain from targeting civilians or civilian objects, or committing any other crime that may fall within the ICCâs jurisdiction, and to be vigilant and actively take all necessary measures to prevent the commission of such crimes.
My Office is actively considering the investigation and prosecution of further cases, and will not hesitate to take such action as may be needed to contribute to ending impunity in Libya or to contribute to such action by other relevant prosecutorial authorities.
Madame President, Your Excellencies:
Although the Libyan Prosecutor-Generalâs office in particular has engaged in fruitful cooperation with my Office, I must reiterate that there are specific areas in which the government of Libya is in non-compliance with the Courtâs orders. In particular, I recall that on 10 December 2014, the Pre-Trial Chamber found that Libya has failed to comply with the Chamberâs requests to surrender Saif Al-Islam Gaddafi to the Court, to return to his Defence the originals of the documents seized in Zintan by the Libyan authorities from the former Defence counsel of Saif Al-Islam Gaddafi, and to destroy any copies thereof.
The Pre-Trial Chamber decided to refer the matter of Libyaâs non-compliance to the Council in accordance with regulation 109(4) of the Regulations of the Court. The Office notes that the Council referred to this decision in United Nations Security Council 2213 of 2015. The Office continues to press Libyan authorities to comply and to consult with the Court in order to resolve any problems that may impede or prevent execution of the requests. This Council is also encouraged to do the same.
The Rome Statute provides for such consultation, and in light of the continuing cooperation my Office receives from the Prosecutor-Generalâs office, the importance of constructive consultations to address problems which may impede or prevent the execution of these requests is even greater. My Office will do whatever it can to encourage and facilitate these consultations, with the goal of ensuring Libyaâs full cooperation with the Court.
In relation to the case of Abdullah Al-Senussi, the Office stated in its last report to the Council that no decision had been taken at the time to submit a request for review under article 19(10) of the Rome Statute. As indicated, the Office had requested information on the national proceedings against Mr Al-Senussi from Libya and had taken steps to access data and analysis from independent trial monitoring sources.
The Office has since received information from the United Nations Support Mission in Libya on the domestic proceedings, as well as from the Libyan Prosecutor-Generalâs office and from independent civil society members. Based on this information and on an internal analysis of available video recordings of selected trial sessions received from United Nations Support Mission in Libya, the Office has concluded that it is not in possession of new facts that would fully satisfy it that the basis on which the case against Mr Al- Senussi had previously been found inadmissible before the ICC has been negated.
This position is taken on the basis of information that is currently available to the Office and is subject to change should we receive further reliable information that would warrant a reassessment of this finding. The Office will continue to monitor the situation in Libya and the domestic proceedings against Mr Al-Senussi.
Madame President, Your Excellencies:
In conclusion, I will simply restate that there is more that we can and must all do to ensure peace and justice in Libya. I will do my part in the effort to end impunity, and I look forward to working with our partners in Libya and amongst Libyan civil society and grassroots leadership, at the UN, amongst the Rome Statute States Parties, and with the Libyan Mission to the UN, to bring these plans to fruition.
ICC judges hold roundtable meeting with United Nations Special Representative for Sexual Violence in Conflict.The United Nations Secretary-Generalâs Special Representative for Sexual Violence in Conflict, Ms Zainab Bangura, visited the International Criminal Court (ICC) at the invitation of the President of the Court, Judge Silvia FernĂĄndez de Gurmendi, to participate in a roundtable meeting with the judges of the Court yesterday May 13.During the meeting, which built on earlier contacts between President FernĂĄndez and Ms Bangura, the judges of the Court and the Special Representative discussed areas of common interest in the two institutionsâ mandates aimed at ending impunity for mass crimes of sexual and gender-based violence.âEnsuring accountability for sexual and gender-based violence and providing justice to the victims of such crimes is an integral aspect of the ICCâs mandate,â said President FernĂĄndez. âI am truly delighted for this opportunity to discuss the many synergies between the important work conducted by Ms Bangura and her office on the one hand and the ICC on the other hand. Ending conflict-related sexual violence is a vitally important objective for the global community, and the ICC is deeply committed to working together with the United Nations and other relevant actors toward that end.ââThe International Criminal Court is a vital tool in the fight against impunity for crimes of sexual violence,â said Special Representative Bangura. âIt is essential for my mandate to engage with the Court to discuss the pressing challenges that we face together, including evidentiary issues, victims and witness protection, and reparations. I am incredibly grateful for the President of the Courtâs invitation and for the judgesâ strong engagement in the roundtable discussion.âDuring her visit to the ICC, Ms Bangura also met with officials of the Courtâs Office of the Prosecutor and Registry, as well as the Trust Fund for Victims associated with the ICC. She also briefed a meeting of the Hague Working Group of the Assembly of States Parties to the Rome Statute on her mandate and activities. In her remarks to the various stakeholders of the ICC, Ms Bangura underlined the Courtâs key role in ensuring accountability for sexual and gender-based crimes and breaking the culture of denial about sexual violence in conflict. Â
On the picture Dr. Dilruba Nasrin spouse of the Ambassador of Bangladesh, Jan Hoekema Mayor of Wassenaar with Sheikh Mohammed Belal Ambassador of Bangladesh.
The Bangladesh community in the Netherlands got the opportunity to observe Bengali New Year, what they call Pohela Boishakh, this year on 18 April 2015 with a kind of festivity never seen before.
Not only a crowd of about 500 people of Bangladesh origin turned out to join the celebration, a good number locals including Mr. Jan Hoekema, Mayor of Wassenaar and members of diplomatic community, media, academics, civil society etc also joined the event. Apart from the Netherlands, Bangladeshis from Belgium, Poland, Germany, among others, also participated in this mega festival.
H.E. Mr. A. H. Mahmood Ali, Minister of Foreign Affairs, in a conversation with Mayor of Wassenaar and Ambassador Belal.
Bengali New Year, as they call it Pahela Baishakh or Naba Barsha, in Bengali, is the first day of Bengali calendar. It falls on 14th of April every year as per the Gregorian calendar.
The day is celebrated in Bangladesh and in the Indian states of West Bengal, Assam, Tripura, Jharkhand, Orissa and also in Myanmar, Sri Lanka, Cambodia, Thailand, Laos etc. The day is an occasion to bid adieu to the past year and welcome the New Year with joy and happiness. A new beginning of hope irrespective of the barriers of caste, religion and regional differences.
The residence of Bangladesh Ambassador, what is known as Bangladesh House, in Wassenaar was beautifully decorated with motifs, balloons, festoons, posters, banners to beam an aura of Bengali culture befitting the day.
A cultural troupe from Bangladesh performed with song, dance, recitation of poems and mini drama. Local artists, with experience in the Bangla culture, also performed in the event. All Bangladeshis, on a sunny spring day, adorned specialized colorful Bengli dresses while ladies with colorful sarees and mehendi tattoos made a mini Bangladesh where children roamed with their faces painted in Bangladeshi flags and other traditional New Year motifs.
The high point of the day was performance by Bangladesh folk maestro Ms. Momtaz Begum, who is also a member of Bangladesh parliament. Performance of Momtaz was greeted with thunderous applause and jubilation. The crowd erupted into dance when she performed to sing folk music of Bangladesh.
Bangladesh Foreign Minister AH Mahmood Ali, MP, who was visiting The Hague as leader of Bangladesh delegation to the Global Conference on Cyber-security (GCCS 2105), was present as Chief Guest in the festival.
In his statement Mr. Ali urged all nationals of Bangladesh to live in their country of residence imbued with the spirit of liberation. He also advised them to contribute to their nation building as, according to him, this is the high time to invest and doing business with Bangladesh.
Bangladesh Foreign Minister also acknowledged continued support and assistance from the Netherlands since independence of Bangladesh in 1971.
In this biggest gathering of the Bangladesh community in the Netherlands, the officials of Dutch Ministry of Foreign Affairs, representatives from different government and non-government organizations, universities, local elites and media were also present. Besides, the Ambassadors of China, Japan, India, Tunisia, Sri Lanka, and Pakistan attended the programme.
Ambassador Belal, while welcoming all with new year greetings, informed the audience that unlike some other festivals, the Bengali New Year is more about simple celebrations of the rural roots. The day has deep rooted sentiments for well being of the hard working people like farmers and traders. This day is also considered auspicious for starting new ventures and businesses. So, this symbolizes the entrepreneurship spirit that is deeply engrained in our culture. Something like business DNA among the Dutch.
Ambassador Sheikh Mohammed Belal and his wife Dr. Dilruba Nasrin greeted all guests and served them with traditional Bangladeshi cuisine. Earlier all foreign guests were greeted with colorful bangles and forehead motif by colorfully dressed Bangladeshi girls. Local vendors put up stalls to serve Bangladeshi cakes and other cuisine to the visiting participants.
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By Baron Henri Estramant. 9 May 2015: Baron Alexandre LĂĄmfalussy, first president of the European Monetary Institute (EMI), a short-lived institution created in 1994 with the sole purpose of setting up the ECB and then willing itself out of existence.LĂĄmfalussyâs role in forging a path towards a monetary union began in 1976 when he embarked on a career at the Bank for International Settlements, the Basel, Switzerland-based clearinghouse for the worldâs central banks. He was promoted to BIS general manager in 1985 and, three years later, joined a committee of central bankers who sketched a road map for the European currency. They included a future president of the ECB, Wim Duisenberg, and Carlo Azeglio Ciampi, who later became Italian prime minister and president.Born on 26 April 1929 as LĂĄmfalussy SĂĄndor in KapuvĂĄr, then Kingdom of Hungary, LĂĄmfalussy fled his homeland in 1949 as the Iron Curtain was sealing off eastern Europe. With three friends, he snuck across the snowy border to Austria, en route to a Belgian university scholarship.Baron LĂĄmfalussy married Anne-Marie Cochard in 1957. The couple had three children. Belgians’ King Albert II awarded him the noble title of baron in 1996. For more informationEuropean Central Bank: www.ecb.europa.eu/home/html/index.en.htmlhttps://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2015/html/pr150511.en.htmlÂ
5 May 2015 â Prime Minister Taavi RĂ”ivas was in Brussels to meet with the President of the European Commission.
At the meetings with Jean-Claude Juncker, the President of the European Commission, and Donald Tusk, the President of the European Council, the current issues of the European Union were the topics for discussion, including the Eastern Partnership summit, which will be held in Riga in May, the security situation, the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP), the harmonisation of energy markets and ensuring security of supply, and the digital single market.
RÔivas in Brussels: Supporting Eastern partners is the most important European security challenge
Brussels, 5 May 2015 – Prime Minister Taavi RĂ”ivas discussed at todayâs meeting in Brussels with Jean-Claude Juncker, the President of the European Commission and Donald Tusk, the President of the European Council the issues of security, energy and Digital Single Market, as well as the challenges faced by Eurozone.
âAs Russia has not met all the conditions stipulated in the Minsk Agreement, there is no other choice than to continue with the sanctions,â Prime Minister emphasised during the meeting with the European leaders in Brussels. Prime Minister added that with regard to the Eastern Partnership Summit that is currently held in Riga, it its essential to use the remaining weeks in order to take concrete steps towards visa freedom for Georgia and Ukraine.
At the meeting with the President of the European Commission, the main focus was on the integration of the energy market into European market in order to warrant energy security. âGiven the current security situation, Baltic regionâs energy independence from Russian market is of strategic importance for the whole of Europe,â said Prime Minister RĂ”ivas.
âSupport given by the European Commission to large-scale energy projects, for example, Balticconnector, as well as the electric power and gas connections between Poland and the Baltic States, is important for us,â said RĂ”ivas.
At the meeting with President Juncker, Prime Minister also raised the question of air pollution limits suggested by the Commission. âIn Estonia, the situation of air quality is among the best in the world. We have put the emphasis on a wider use of domestic renewable energy, including using solid biomass for the energy and heat production. European Union has set a goal of reducing the share of fossil fuels and environmental and climate policies of the Union must support each other.â
At the meeting with Donald Tusk, the President of the of the European Council, the topics of political and security situation of the Baltic Sea were also discussed.
Prime Minister recognised the preparation of the Digital Single Market Strategy under the leadership of Andrus Ansip; the Strategy will be disclosed tomorrow and will also be discussed at the European Council Summit in June.
In addition, Prime Minister RÔivas presented the priorities of this new government.
Sources: Ave TEMPERE, https://valitsus.ee/en/news/prime-minister-roivas-meets-eu-leadershttps://valitsus.ee/en/news/roivas-brussels-supporting-eastern-partners-most-important-european-security-challenge
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Picture: European Union