By Sazzad Haider
Prior to Donald Trump’s anticipated second term in office, indications of his potential actions over the next four years are already emerging. The United States is currently navigating a complex geopolitical landscape, where the American people face the looming threat of nuclear conflict—a nuclear incidence might have happen if Trump does not play a prominent role in global politics.
It can be argued that Trump has not only safeguarded the United States but also the entire world from the specter of nuclear warfare by exerting control over the situation in Ukraine. The peace-loving citizens of Europe are likely experiencing a sense of relief following Trump’s electoral success. However, the reality for those European nations that have incited Zelensky to engage in conflict with Russia are now face multiple crisis as they are now grappling with the influx of Ukrainian refugees.
If NATO become embroiled in military hostilities with Russia, the populations of the involved countries could confront the harrowing prospect of a nuclear disaster before any resolution is achieved. In the aftermath of such devastation, NATO leaders might declare their victory to the world, standing amidst the ruins of countless civilian and military lives lost.
Recognizing the severe implications of the United States’ involvement in a European conflict, Trump has shifted his stance regarding the Ukraine war, opting to avoid further provocation. His proposed resolution to the conflict is unlikely to be favorable for Zelensky, a former comedian, as it does not guarantee the return of territories lost to Russia.
Once the conflict concludes, the Ukrainian people will begin to assess the gains and losses incurred. Zelensky suspended elections under the guise of wartime necessity, he will ultimately be compelled to conduct elections in post-conflict era. If he should choose to abstain from participating in those elections, then too, he will then bear the burden of war, potentially facing charges as a war criminal. Aware of this precarious future, Zelensky is now pursuing NATO and European Union membership, actively advocating for the deployment of European troops in Ukraine—an action that he could present to Ukrainian people as a reward for their sacrifices during the war.
If the war ends in favor of Russia, the leaders of France, Germany, and the UK, who support this war, will also face extreme disaster, just like Zelensky. Russia will also remain a threat to NATO. The question is why does Trump want to put his NATO allies in this disastrous situation? Why his affection to Putin? These are some of the questions that have arisen in December. This month, Ukraine has been in extreme danger on the battlefield. At the same time, Trump has taken a stand against the use of US missiles on Russian soil. Donald Trump has said he is “strongly” opposed to Ukraine using US long-range missiles in Russia, while vowing not to abandon Kiev.
According to an article published by Time magazine, Donald Trump wants to back down from Joe Biden’s decision to authorize long-range strikes with US weapons on Russian territory.
Under Trump’s pressure, Israel has agreed to a ceasefire with Hezbollah. At the same time, Syrian rebels have come to over through Assad. It is noteworthy that Putin has not shown any activity to save Assad at this time. On the contrary, he has called Assad to Moscow before anyone understands anything and given him political asylum. This retreat of Russia has put Assad’s ally Iran in a terrible predicament. On the other hand, Trump has to withdraw his hands from Ukraine. Now Zelensky has no choice but to make a peace deal with Russia. Just as Russia has retreated in Syria, the United States is going to withdraw from the Ukraine war. It can be said that in exchange for Ukraine, the United States has been able to remove Putin from the Middle East.
Now let’s see why the Middle East is so valuable to the United States than Ukraine? The first reason is Israel’s position in the Middle East, and Ukraine is not as important to the United States as Israel. The war that has been going on for the past year, against Hamas and Hezbollah, has exposed many of Israel’s weaknesses. In other words, the so-called Iron Dome has failed to make Israel safe. The source of weapons for the Houthis in Yemen or Hezbollah or the anti-Israel fighters in Iraq is Russia. These weapons are going to the anti-Israel fighters through Iran with Russian technical assistance. Now if Russia stops all these supplies, then Putin will have to get something big in return.
A large part of Ukrainian land occupied by Russia. Zelensky will have to make a peace treaty with Russia by giving this land to Russia.
Israel’s interests are great precious for Trump. During this term, Trump will do everything possible for Israel’s long-term security and occupation. Saudi Arabia, once the United States’ biggest ally, has dangerously moved into Putin’s circle during Biden’s term. It has formed an alliance with the United States’ biggest enemy, Iran. In which another enemy of the United States, China, has played a role. During Trump’s previous term, Saudi Arabia was almost at the stage of normalizing relations with Israel. During Biden’s term, Saudi Arabia has moved to an anti-Israel position.
Trump will now apply various pressures on Saudi Arabia so that Saudi Arabia is able to establish normal relations with Israel – and withdraw from the demand for the establishment of an independent Palestinian state with Jerusalem as its capital. To keep Saudi Arabia under pressure, Iran must be weakened by any means. Now, by removing the Iranians from Syria, the United States has done the most important thing to remove Iran from the region of influence.
A large part of Syria has been occupied by Israel. Israel has destroyed almost all the Assad forces’ positions through airstrikes. Surprisingly, the ruling group in Syria is not saying anything against the Israeli attack. Perhaps they have accepted the Israeli attack. The question remains whether a pro-Israel government has come to power in Syria. After the Syrian incident, the United States and Israel are again hinting at an attack on Iran. Perhaps a terrible attack on Iran will soon occur and Iran will become a weak state. If Iran is punished, Saudi Arabia will return to the US sphere of influence.
