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Uruguayan Independence Day Celebrated in The Hague

The Embassy of the Oriental Republic of Uruguay marked his country’s Independence Day with a grand and festive reception. Held on August 27 at the Leonardo Royal Hotel in The Hague, the event drew over 200 distinguished guests from various sectors of Dutch society.

Ambassadors, chiefs of international missions, diplomats, academics, business leaders, and representatives from the Dutch Ministry of Foreign Affairs, along with members of the Uruguayan community, all responded to H.E. Ambassador Dr. Álvaro González Otero’s invitation to celebrate ‘Día de la Independencia’—Uruguay’s National Day, commemorating its independence from Brazil in 1825.

H.E. Dr. Álvaro González Otero, Ambassador of Uruguay. National Day 2024 The Hague.

After nearly 200 years of conflict and civil unrest under Spanish and then Brazilian rule, Uruguay has emerged as a country renowned for its welcoming people, stunning landscapes, first-class meat production, and high-quality wine. In recent decades, Uruguayans have enjoyed a stable democracy, a steady improvement in living conditions, and overall well-being.

In a packed room with an animated audience, Ambassador González Otero took the microphone to thank all the attendees for their sincere affection for his people and country. He then proudly expressed:

“Two years have quickly passed since I arrived in this lovely kingdom. Since then, we have started to shift the focus of the Embassy, placing more emphasis on our bilateral relations. The Netherlands and Uruguay have more in common than people might imagine. We share international principles, landscapes, agricultural production, developed services, qualified exports, and a progressive lifestyle.

We also share strong commitments to the well-being of our citizens and visitors, the protection of human rights, environmental sustainability, progressive social policies, and significant efforts towards renewable energy and climate action. Both countries also emphasize education, democratic governance, and active participation in international organizations promoting peace and development. So, we will keep working to boost our bilateral relations.”

Uruguay National Day, August 27 at the Leonardo Royal Hotel in The Hague.
From the Embassy of Uruguay, Counsellor Pablo Bayarres, Ambassador Gonzalez Otero and Hans Akerboom, Deputy Director Protocol and Host Country Affairs from the Netherlands.

Ambassador González Otero then listed some of the most relevant initiatives undertaken by the Embassy over the last few months:

Uruguayan participation in the World Hydrogen Summit 2024: Led by the Minister of Industry, Energy, and Mining, Ms. Elisa Facio, with over 50 representatives from various sectors of the public and private sectors.

Active participation in the “26th World Energy Congress.”

Cooperation Project with Delft Institute for Water Education: Since 2011, Uruguayan professionals specializing in water resources have participated in the Delft Institute program for advanced training. Initially, the program began with 40 scholarships, resulting in 37 professionals successfully completing their studies. This early success led to the program’s relocation and implementation at the Technological University of Uruguay, now featuring regional participation. The program has since had two new editions in 2022 and 2024, expanding to include 17 professionals from Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Colombia, Ecuador, Honduras, Mexico, Panama, and Peru. This development has transformed Uruguay into a regional hub in the field of water resource education.

Uruguay’s status as one of the 32 signing states of the Ljubljana – The Hague Convention in February 2024.

Positioning Uruguay as a potential living and working destination for Dutch farmers.

Interactions with RVO and Port of Rotterdam related to port cooperation.

Exploring and initiating new cooperation projects with Westland Municipality and Wageningen University.

Meetings with private sector actors related to agribusiness.

Preparation for the Capitan Miranda’s visit to Amsterdam: Uruguay’s school tall ship has already confirmed its participation in Sail Amsterdam 2025.

Multilateral achievements: The Embassy has made progress in multilateral areas, including ongoing contributions and work with international organizations based in The Hague: the ICJ, ICC, OPCW, HCCH, and the Permanent Court of Arbitration. Additionally, a closer relationship with The Hague Academy of International Law has been pursued. Significant advances have also been made through the coordinated work of the GRULAC Group in relation to various international organizations.

H.E. Mr. Fernando Arias, OPCW Director General , Ambassador Gonzalez Otero and Mr Arias spouse, Patricia van Oordt.

Following his remarks, Ambassador González Otero invited the audience to watch a short video about Uruguay, which made a great impression on those present. He expressed, “Uruguay is an exceptional country that has developed a dynamic and robust culture, shaped by a fascinating blend of gaucho traditions, European influences, and the unique Rioplatense spirit. Tango, folklore, candombe, and milonga are examples of its rich artistic musical expression. Uruguayan gastronomy, featuring high-quality meat, wine, and dairy products, especially the beloved ‘dulce de leche,’ delights palates and consistently wins prestigious awards worldwide.”

“The work we have done does not mean we are satisfied; we want to continue advancing in a deeper process. The bilateral relationship is already strong, but the potential to strengthen bonds in several key areas is even greater.”

The Ambassador of Uruguay, H.E. Alvaro Gonzalez Otero and the President of the International Residual Mechanism for Criminal Tribunals, Judge Graciela Gatti Santana with her husband Mr Gustavo Segovia.

The event was conceived to showcase the rich and diverse culture of Uruguay, a nation with a population of approximately 3,495,527 as of 2022.

The national anthems of Uruguay and the Netherlands were performed by the Uruguayan opera singer Sara de los Campos. After the ambassador’s speech, the Embassy paid tribute to two influential musicians: José “El Sabalero” Carbajal and Jaime Roos, who both lived in the Netherlands. Jaime Roos settled in Amsterdam in 1978, where he played bass in several salsa, rock, and jazz groups. He had a son and remained in the Netherlands until 1984 when he returned to Uruguay.

Carbajal spent his days in the Netherlands with his wife, Anke van Haastrecht, and their two children. Anke was invited to share some special stories from their life together.

Uruguayan opera singer Sara de los Campos.
Uruguayan drummers Luis Gradin, Marcelo Terra, and Nicolás Sánchez.

The enthusiastic audience enjoyed an authentic performance by talented Uruguayan drummers Luis Gradin, Marcelo Terra, and Nicolás Sánchez. The celebration continued with Uruguayan wine, classic savory empanadas, and dulce de leche, which delighted the crowded room and completed the great celebration.

Ambassador González Otero concluded the event by thanking his Embassy team: Counselor Pablo Bayarres, Chancellor Gustavo Morales, his assistant Juan Diego, and Martha Hernández and Sofía Anastasiou. He then led a warm toast for the people of the Netherlands, Uruguay, and the necessary and desired peace in the world.

China: A New Actor in the Contemporary Multipolar World

By Mariarosaria Iorio, Political Analyst

I. The post-cold war world  

International relations are nowadays characterised by major changes that started at the end of the 80s with the fall of the Berlin Wall.  Indeed, the end of the cold war was marked by the dislocation of the two main political blocks, namely the Soviet Union and the Western World. Such a dislocation resulted in the marginalization of the post-war multilateral system embodied in the United Nations, and the standstill of the multilateral trade negotiations in the late 90s in the context of the World Trade Organisation.  New lines of political thought have been facing each other since then, while reshaping the post-cold war world in a number of fragmented and variable sub-blocks of countries. 

The United States decided to put itself first by concentrating on its internal affairs, while withdrawing from international affairs.  

Europe, the old continent, looks for an efficient strategy towards autonomy from the United States.  Europe also tries, not without difficulty, to create a more cohesive internal and external political approach.  The reality is however evolving rather more towards fragmentation of Europe in favour of European National fragmented interests. Such a fragmentation is the natural consequence of the decadence of the European Institutional and collective actions to the advantage of individual Sates actions and interests.   In sum, what seemed to be a structured and coherent European Union block fighting for the promotion of its economic and political values all over the world has somehow become an alliance at variable geometry both internally and externally.  The disorganisation of the leadership results in a chaotic and unpredictable European External and Internal action. 

Thereof, the empty influence spaces left on the international relations scene has given new international actors the opportunity to emerge.  

Meanwhile, the fragmentation of the European Institutions has also impacted the EU-USA relations within NATO, and affected the security and peace sphere.  Security issues have been on and off on the European agenda.    

In this context, Russia that has lost its empire in the 80s looks now for a new power game. In spite of the disruption of the Soviet Union, Russia attempts either by influence or by force to exercise power in its ancient affiliate countries.  Russia that was supposed to be defeated with the fall of the Berlin Wall takes back its role of opponent to the Western World on the international scene at least as it concerns the international affairs philosophy.  Thus, creating a tension aimed at restoring its power in the world.   

The group of emerging and developing economies that constitute a new variable block with a large portion of population employed in agriculture have emerged as new actors in the world’s geo-political discourses.  At the head of this block on the international scene, there is China.  The shaky international leadership context has indeed given China a new space. China’s   communist past combined with its market-based economic strategy gives it a particular position.  

China is The One that can communicate to Russia. China is also The One that can have an influence on the Western economic and political scene as China owns a big part of Western Foreign Debt  

China embeds a horizontal strategy in both its trade and development policies, while producing at low wages.  Its production system coupled with its pragmatic political approach has reshaped the international power structure.  The top-down approach of the Western World faces now the competition created by the horizontal win-win approach proposed by China in both developing and industrialized countries.

Indeed, as a result of the decline of the Western World global hegemony based on market access and economic and social liberalism as a means to ensure economic growth and promote economic development, the vision promoted by China’s discourse, centred on the protection of livelihoods and local sovereign choices finds new adepts.  Furthermore, China has successfully attempted to promote a trade-off approach to international cooperation during the last 20 years.  A cooperation that does not interfere in internal affairs of partner countries as it has often reproached to the Western countries involved in international cooperation.  

As the developing countries leader, China positions itself as the spoke country for the poor.  As a new world powerful economic actor China plays as the guarantor of the Western Economic stability.  China positions itself as the bridge between the rich and the poor.  It is representing a different hegemonic game that only changes in its discourse, while still pursuing its own interests and influence zones.  Such a situation poses the question of the values that the international regime wants to embrace.  Indeed, this changing world results in an increased number of conflicts – be new or historical conflicts.  

The dislocation of the traditional leaders of the international relations has definitely created a chaotic and unpredictable scenario.  Chaos has in some cases been chosen as a political strategy to disrupt the post-1945 international regime. Such a disruption has benefitted new actors, and given space to new lines of thought.  These new lines of thought have attacked the existing international framework but has not yet succeeded in creating a new regime.  The increasing unbalance of power and the lack of leadership on the international political scene is risky. 

The reduction by choice of leadership of the United States has indeed resulted in the weakening of the values emerged as a result of the dramatic experience of Second World War, namely freedom of thought and freedom of speech to mention only a few.   We are now facing a much more authoritarian world with force used as a means to manage the political arena.  Dialogue seems to be a rather consuming exercise that has left its place to the use of force.  Force is no longer seen as the last option but rather the opening act for political dialogue.  Nationalism and individual interests are now at the centre of the political game. This trend is taking the world to instability and conflict.  

The peoples of the world are more and more questioning the existing system. People’s needs and expectations are not met.  The new emerged actors, such as China have given the hope of a possible change in the present international system without fundamentally questioning its rationale but rather trying to rip a slate of the cake.  

The struggle for influence among countries has not succeeded in building a peaceful and stable world. Citizens will have to face the challenge of building a new era of peace and stability worldwide.

Derrière les murs du Palais de la Paix : permanence et changements de la Cour internationale de Justice

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S.E. M. Philippe Couvreur est arrivé à La Haye en avril 1982, où il a d’abord occupé le poste d’assistant spécial aux bureaux du greffier et du greffier adjoint de la Cour internationale de Justice.

Il a ensuite exercé les fonctions de Secrétaire, Premier Secrétaire et Secrétaire juridique principal, avant d’être élu Greffier de la Cour en 2000, et réélu en 2007 et 2014. Pour marquer l’anniversaire de ses débuts à la Cour, il y a 35 ans, Diplomat Magazine l’a invité à témoigner de son expérience unique au service de cette institution, des évolutions qu’il a pu y observer, et à partager le regard qu’il porte sur les changements qui ont marqué la Cour et La Haye au cours des trois dernières décennies.
Philippe Couvreur avec le Pape Jean-Paul II prise le 13 mai 1985.
Je suis arrivé à La Haye en avril 1982 — de façon aussi inattendue que j’avais entamé des études de droit treize ans auparavant (mais c’est là une autre histoire…) — pour occuper un poste temporaire à la Cour internationale de Justice. La Cour était alors la seule institution judiciaire internationale existante au plan universel. Son activité, particulièrement faible à la fin des années 1970, ne pouvait en ce temps-là guère laisser présager du succès que rencontrerait la Cour dans les décennies à venir. Mon bienveillant maître de Louvain, le professeur Paul de Visscher, fils du célèbre internationaliste Charles de Visscher, unique juge belge à la Cour, m’avait prédit des jours aussi sereins qu’heureux, écoulés à lire et à écrire des ouvrages dans la solitude des imposants murs de la bibliothèque du Palais de la Paix…
Les mémoires ont été dûment déposés dans l’affaire El Salvador c. Honduras dans la salle Bol le 1 juin 1988, l’affaire du Différend frontalier terrestre, insulaire et maritime.
En rejoignant la Cour, un frais matin d’avril, dont je garde un souvenir très précis, le jeune juriste que j’étais découvrit, non sans étonnement, une organisation de taille très modeste, le Greffe, qui en est l’organe administratif, alors composé de moins d’une quarantaine de fonctionnaires. Le fonctionnement de la Cour reposait entièrement sur cette équipe restreinte de personnel permanent, auquel s’ajoutait, selon que de besoin, un personnel temporaire pour faire face au surcroît de travaux linguistiques et de sténodactylographie lors des sessions (publiques et privées) de la Cour. Je me rappelle avoir été frappé par la personnalité haute en couleur de certains de ces traducteurs indépendants, dont la grande culture littéraire m’émerveillait. Cette structure très économique du Greffe impliquait une grande polyvalence de ses membres, et les Secrétaires de la Cour — ses fonctionnaires supérieurs — étaient appelés, en sus de leurs travaux de recherches juridiques, de préparation des documents de la Cour, et de rédaction de la correspondance diplomatique, à assumer eux-mêmes l’essentiel des tâches linguistiques (traduction et interprétation) et d’information, ainsi que la supervision de nombreuses activités administratives et logistiques.
La Grande salle de Justice, l’affaire Relative au Timor Oriental (Portugal c. Australie) Arrêt du 30 juin 1995.
Il n’était nullement rare qu’un nouveau venu comme moi ait à passer week-ends et nuits blanches au Palais de la Paix à effectuer les travaux les plus divers… allant jusqu’à imprimer et polycopier, sur de vieilles machines à stencils ronéotype, des décisions dont la Cour devait donner la lecture en séance publique le lendemain ! Dès mon arrivée au Greffe, j’ai eu le bonheur et le privilège d’être initié et associé à l’ensemble des fonctions de l’institution sous la patiente supervision de personnalités d’exception, tels que MM. Torres Bernárdez et Pillepich, alors respectivement Greffier et Greffier adjoint. J’en ai retiré le plus grand bénéfice, puisque cette immersion sans préparation dans toutes les facettes de l’activité du Greffe m’a permis d’acquérir de ce dernier une connaissance unique — de l’intérieur — et sous tous ses aspects —, un acquis particulièrement précieux au moment où j’ai été amené, bien des années plus tard, à assumer la délicate responsabilité d’en assurer la gestion au plus haut niveau. Devenir un fonctionnaire du Greffe au début des années 1980 signifiait accepter de se couler sans discussion dans un moule à tous égards exigeant, et se donner corps et âme, avec humilité et discrétion, à l’institution, sans penser à soi ni parler de soi. Depuis ces années d’initiation, j’ai été le témoin de profondes transformations de la Cour, rendues inévitables à la fois pour répondre à l’accroissement considérable de ses activités, avec la disparition du monde bipolaire qui avait relégué le règlement judiciaire à un rôle quelque peu marginal, et pour saisir les opportunités nouvelles offertes, notamment, par le progrès des technologies et de la communication. Entre 1982 et aujourd’hui, le nombre de fonctionnaires a ainsi presque triplé (il a quasiment doublé depuis l’an 2000, année de ma première élection en tant que Greffier). L’organisation du travail a été progressivement spécialisée entre les divers départements, juridique, linguistique et chargé de l’information, qui furent créés en 1997, et les services techniques. Par ailleurs, les Membres de la Cour ne disposèrent pas, pendant longtemps, de « référendaires » — ils s’y sont d’ailleurs longtemps refusés—, et l’assistance apportée aux juges en matière judiciaire était principalement répartie entre les fonctionnaires du Département des affaires juridiques.
H.E. Philippe Couvreur avec la Reine Beatrix photo prise pendant le 50 eme anniversaire de la Cour (18-04-1996).
Les cinq premiers postes de juristes référendaires ne furent obtenus de l’Assemblée générale et créés qu’en 2002, à l’issue de difficiles négociations que je me souviens avoir menées avec beaucoup de plaisir et d’intérêt ; le nombre de ces postes s’est progressivement accru, pour s’élever à quinze aujourd’hui. Les divers développements qui ont marqué le monde au cours des dernières décennies n’ont pas manqué de soulever pour la Cour de nouveaux défis. Comme c’est le cas pour toute institution, elle n’a pu les relever en faisant table rase des enseignements de son histoire ni, à l’inverse, en ne saisissant pas toutes les opportunités offertes par le temps présent. A ces différents égards, la Cour est certainement parvenue, au fil des ans, à assurer un équilibre, toujours délicat, entre changements et continuité. La continuité de la Cour est bien sûr inscrite dans son Statut, qui fait partie intégrante de la Charte des Nations Unies, et reflétée dans ses méthodes judiciaires, qui ont été très largement élaborées par sa devancière, la Cour permanente de Justice internationale, et héritées d’elle. Cette continuité historique était particulièrement présente lorsque j’ai rejoint le Greffe. Ainsi, en manière d’anecdote, divers hauts fonctionnaires alors en poste avaient eux-mêmes côtoyé, au début de leur carrière, d’anciens fonctionnaires de la Cour permanente. Tous nourrissaient à l’égard de cette dernière le plus grand respect. Il régnait d’ailleurs dans les couloirs du Palais de la Paix une atmosphère feutrée et délicieusement surannée, évocatrice de la défunte Société des Nations. Je me souviens en avoir encore utilisé maintes fournitures de bureau ! La continuité jurisprudentielle et procédurale entre les deux Cours constitue pour les Etats une garantie importante de sécurité et de prévisibilité juridiques. Cette continuité, juridique et historique, de même que l’expérience accumulée en plus de quatre-vingt-dix ans d’exercice de la fonction judiciaire, sont pour la Cour un facteur crucial de légitimité.
H.E. Philippe Couvreur vec le Roi Willem-Alexander photo prise pendant le 70 eme anniversaire de la Cour (20-04-2016).
En même temps, la Cour a eu, à l’évidence, à s’adapter aux changements du monde réel dans lequel elle opère, comme aux nécessités et opportunités nouvelles de chaque époque traversée. L’une des transformations notoires auxquelles j’ai assisté fut l’ouverture croissante de la Cour sur l’extérieur : longtemps à l’écart, à dessein, des organes politiques des Nations Unies, la Cour a souhaité se faire plus et mieux entendre de ces organes et des Etats membres. Elle a ainsi rompu avec ce qui était parfois perçu comme un « splendide isolement » au sein des Nations Unies, même si elle défend toujours jalousement son autonomie. La Cour doit en outre désormais également tenir compte des nombreuses autres juridictions, internationales ou régionales, qui ont été créées ces dernières années, et veiller, autant que possible, à assurer l’harmonie du « concert judiciaire » que permet ce foisonnement de cours et tribunaux sur la scène internationale. Davantage ouverte sur la communauté internationale et ses réalités, la Cour s’est montrée de plus en plus attentive, non seulement à sa place dans l’Organisation des Nations Unies, mais aussi à la poursuite des objectifs de celle-ci et à sa mission propre au service du règlement pacifique des différends internationaux. Des différends de plus en plus complexes, tant juridiquement que factuellement, en même temps que politiquement plus denses, lui ont été soumis. En révisant constamment, selon que de besoin, ses méthodes de travail, elle a su les résoudre rapidement et efficacement, à un coût particulièrement modeste pour la communauté internationale, tout en assurant le développement du droit. Enfin, pour conclure sur une note plus prosaïque, mais qui est loin d’être négligeable, je ne peux taire la chance que j’ai eue de connaître l’extraordinaire développement de la ville de La Haye au cours des 35 dernières années. Celle-ci offre aujourd’hui à la Cour, comme aux nombreuses institutions internationales qui s’y sont installées à sa suite, une qualité de vie et un cadre de travail uniques, qui sont très loin de ressembler à ce que j’ai trouvé en y arrivant. A l’image de l’imposante stature du Palais de la Paix où elle siège, symbole mondialement connu de la justice internationale, la Cour est une institution solidement établie. En dépit des périodes de doute ou de désaffection qu’elle a traversées par le passé, son rôle est unanimement salué au sein de la communauté internationale et le recours à ses services par les Etats n’a jamais été aussi soutenu. 35 ans après, je continue de mesurer chaque jour le privilège qui est le mien de servir au mieux de mes capacités l’organe judiciaire principal des Nations Unies. —– Les photos dans l’article sont une courtoisie de la Cour International de Justice.

Explores the Impact of Artificial Intelligence on International Arbitration

New Book by Dr. Fernando Messias Published by Springer Nature

Lisbon, 28 November 2025 — Portuguese lawyer and researcher Dr. Fernando Messias has released his new book, “The Practice of Law and International Arbitration in the Age of Artificial Intelligence”, published by Springer Nature. The publication offers an in-depth analysis of how artificial intelligence is transforming legal practice and international dispute resolution.

Springer Nature, one of the world’s leading academic publishers, is renowned for its rigorous peer-review process and scientific excellence. It publishes thousands of peer-reviewed journals and books annually, serving as a global benchmark for research quality and trusted scholarship.

Dr. Messias’s book examines the ethical, organisational, and procedural implications of integrating artificial intelligence into law and arbitration. Drawing on interdisciplinary research spanning law, ethics, and organisational psychology, it proposes a forward-looking framework for the responsible incorporation of AI in international arbitration.

Impact of Artificial Intelligence on International Arbitration

The official book launch will take place during the international seminar “AI and International Arbitration – Ethical and Practical Challenges in Light of the New CIArb Guidelines”, to be held on 28 November 2025 in Lisbon. The event is supported by the Fundação Lusíada, the CIArb Iberian Chapter, and Springer Nature.

Confirmed speakers include Professor Dr. Diogo Leite de Campos, Dr. Abel Lacerda Botelho, Prof. Nazareth Romero, Dr. João Valadas Coriel, Dr. Claire Morel de Westgaver, Dr. Eduardo Gómez, Dra. Silvana Marcotulli, among others.

The seminar will also feature the attendance of the President of the Portuguese Bar Association, underscoring the institutional importance of this discussion on the evolving role of artificial intelligence in legal practice and international arbitration.

Czech Republic Reiterates Commitment to Victims of Rome Statute Crimes

The Czech Republic, a State Party to the International Criminal Court (ICC) since 2009, has made an unrestricted voluntary contribution of EUR 20,000 to the Trust Fund for Victims (TFV), reaffirming its steadfast commitment to international justice and the rights of victims of crimes under the Rome Statute.

Mr. Andres Parmas, Chair of the Board of Directors of the Trust Fund for Victims at the ICC, stated:

“This continued support highlights the Czech Republic’s dedication to addressing the harm endured by victims of Rome Statute crimes. Through this contribution, the Czech Republic demonstrates its commitment to justice and to ensuring that victims of the most horrendous crimes regain their hope, dignity, and ability to rebuild their lives.”

H.E. René Miko, Ambassador of the Czech Republic to the Kingdom of the Netherlands, remarked:

“I am pleased to announce the Czech Republic’s contribution to the Trust Fund for Victims at the ICC. Its mandate to support those who have suffered harm constitutes an inherent component of international law. Reparations and assistance provided by the Trust Fund are vital parts of restorative justice and reconciliation, complementing the role of the International Criminal Court.”

Since 2011, the Czech Republic has consistently supported TFV programmes benefiting victims through sustained and progressively increasing voluntary contributions.

For more information about the Trust Fund for Victims at the ICC, please contact trustfundforvictims@icc-cpi.int or visit www.trustfundforvictims.org

Negotiating Peace in a Fragmented World: The Case for Preventative Diplomacy

By Mr. Rabbih El-Haddad, Director of the Division for Multilateral Diplomacy at UNITAR

Across the world, fractures appear to be widening faster than old wounds can heal. Conflicts that were once local now reverberate globally while new crises – pandemics, climate change, and mass displacement – place unprecedented strain upon our established systems of cooperation. In such a landscape, it might seem as though the time for preventative diplomacy has passed. However, the commitment to negotiate before disputes spiral out of control has never been more important.  

Preventative diplomacy has always been one of the most vital, yet most understated tools of the United Nations. It tends to operate outside of the spotlight, seeking to de-escalate tensions through dialogue and mediation rather than force. Though its successes may rarely make headlines, its absence is unmistakable in the devastation left by war. The conflicts that dominate our headlines today illustrate the immense cost of waiting too long to negotiate and remind us that prevention is not only more humane, but far less costly than response and reconstruction. As the United Nations commemorates its 80th anniversary, this is a moment to reaffirm the founding vision of the Charter: that lasting peace is built not only on agreements, but on the constant practice of dialogue, cooperation, and trust. 

Preventive diplomacy begins with that trust, both between parties in a conflict and in the multilateral institutions that make dialogue possible. The erosion of this trust has made prevention harder to sustain than ever. Rebuilding it therefore calls for a renewed culture of engagement across divisions, where listening and inclusion form the foundation of collective action. 

In this spirit, the United Nations Institute for Training and Research is proud to announce the second edition of World Negotiation Day, which will be taking place on the 8th of December 2025 in Doha, Qatar. Hosted by UNITAR in collaboration with the Doha Forum and QatarDebate, this year’s event is structured around the theme “Negotiating Peace in a Fragmented World: The Case for Preventative Diplomacy.” Qatar has emerged as a key mediator in some of the world’s most complex and protracted conflicts, and its sustained commitment to dialogue makes Doha a particularly meaningful host for this initiative.

The forum will convene leading voices from international organizations, governments, and civil society to examine how negotiation can, and must, be revitalized as the first line of defense against conflict. Its agenda features an opening ceremony, a high-level panel, and the presentation of the “Doha Best Negotiator of the Year” award, which honors an individual whose skills, integrity, and impact in negotiation have contributed meaningfully to international peace and cooperation. 

As fragmentation threatens the foundation of multilateralism, we must resist the temptation to believe that dialogue is no longer sufficient or effective. Negotiation is not a relic of a more optimistic age, but the pathway to a more sustainable one. 

About the author:

Mr. Rabbih El-Haddad is the Director of the Division for Multilateral Diplomacy of the United Nations Institute for Training and Research (UNITAR), his work focuses on supporting governments, decision-makers, multilateral negotiators and the numerous negotiating groups that use diplomacy and negotiation as tools to defend their national interests in a complex context.

China Defined – Propositions on the meaning of “developing country” in the World Trade Organization

By Isa Jeziah Dookie

 “CHEATING,” is how President Donald Trump described China’s self-designation as a developing country in the World Trade Organization (WTO). One might be forgiven for dismissing President Trump’s tweet as just another bombastic Trumpism were it not for the fact that the subsequent U.S. administration and the U.S. Congress made it clear this, albeit in more diplomatic but no less strong words, was U.S. policy. Under the Biden administration, the (unpretentiously named) “PRC Is Not a Developing Country Act” cleared the House in a 415-0 vote and was approved by a Senate committee, though it has not yet been enacted into law. The U.S. remains firm in its stance that China should not receive developing-country treatment at the WTO.

China, for its part, labelled President Trump’s cheating allegation as the absurd trickery of a global hegemon and has staunchly defended its position before the WTO, maintaining that it is merely the world’s largest developing economy. However, in September 2025, China announced that while it continues to regard itself as a developing country, it will no longer seek Special and Differential Treatment (SDT) in current and future WTO negotiations, a significant policy shift aimed at defusing the long-running U.S.–China dispute. Even so, Beijing’s declaration does not affect its existing WTO commitments or its broader developing-country narrative, leaving the debate over how “development” should be defined very much alive.

The WTO should adopt objective but non-deterministic criteria for deciding which countries are “developing countries” for the purpose of WTO trade agreements and which are not. The decision on whether a country is developing should be placed before the Dispute Settlement Body as a strategy to break the deadlock on the WTO Appellate Body.

The Dispute: Redefining “Developing” in the WTO Order

In the aftermath of World War II, the United States and its allies rebuilt global institutions on principles of fairness, justice, and non-discrimination, establishing the United Nations to safeguard peace and human rights and creating a new economic order, embodied in the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade and later the WTO, to promote equal access to trade, economic collaboration, and shared prosperity.

The WTO trade order rests on five core principles: non-discrimination, freer trade, predictability, fair competition, and support for development. Non-discrimination, through Most-Favoured Nation and national treatment rules, ensures equal trading conditions among members. Together with tariff reduction, transparent commitments, competitive fairness, and flexibility for developing nations, these principles aim to create a stable and equitable global trading system.

Concessions for developing countries in the WTO

The WTO’s founding promise was clear: give developing nations, especially the poorest, a fair share of global trade, but in practice, those lofty words often clash with limited capacity and uneven benefits. In line with the stated principle to encourage development and economic reform, the WTO agreements contain special provisions to the benefit of developing countries by offering special rights or extra leniency. This is referred to as “special and differential treatment” (SDT).

Developing countries are facilitated by being allowed extra time to fulfil their commitments, given greater market access to increasing trading opportunities, having their interests safeguarded, and being helped. Developing countries enjoy limited trade advantages under WTO rules.For instance, the Subsidies and Countervailing Measures Agreement exempts those with a per capita GNP under $1,000 from subsidy bans and grants all developing members a grace period to phase out export subsidies. They also benefit from the Generalized System of Preferences, which lowers tariffs on their exports to developed nations, and from preferential trade arrangements among developing countries themselves.

China’s WTO Accession and the “Developing Country” Status

In the WTO’s world, countries decide for themselves whether they’re ‘developing’; a self-declared status that lets China and others claim benefits meant for the world’s poorest nations.

When China joined the WTO in 2001, it claimed developing-country status but was pressed by the U.S. and EU to accept stricter “WTO-plus” terms eliminating subsidies without a transition period and waiving rights under Article 27 of the Subsidies Agreement. Two decades later, Beijing highlighted its over-compliance, cutting tariffs on manufactured goods to 2.8% below required levels and opening 20 more service sectors than pledged, yet critics argue it still lags on subsidy disclosure and reform of its vast state-owned enterprises.

The USA’ led complaints

From the start, developed nations bristled at China’s ‘developing country’ label, a dispute that has since snowballed into a global backlash against self-designation even stalling the Doha talks.

In February 2019, the U.S. escalated its challenge to the WTO’s self-declared “developing country” system, warning in a 45-page paper that the practice was outdated, stifled liberalization, and risked making the WTO irrelevant; it also tabled a draft decision urging that wealthier members forgo special treatment in future trade talks.

U.S. lawmakers have taken a united stand against China’s “developing country” label. After the protectionist Inflation Reduction Act, Congress introduced Mitt Romney’s Ending China’s Developing Nation Status Act, and the PRC Is Not a Developing Country Act, which orders the State Department to identify all treaties granting China leniency based on development status within 180 days, a clear signal that Washington’s patience has run out.

Self Designation – Is It Really the Issue?

Analysts argue that China’s “developing country” status offers little real benefit, since it cut industrial tariffs to 9.5% from the usual 31.4% and agricultural tariffs to 15.1% from 37.9%, showing that even as a self-declared developing nation, it received almost no preferential treatment.

While accession concessions dilute the strength of SDT, they remain a key bargaining tool for developing nations. Developed members negotiate on the assumption that such countries need incentives to join the free trade system, calibrating SDT reductions to their economic limitations. Today’s backlash arises from the view that China’s remaining SDT benefits, once justified by its developmental status, now grant it an unfair competitive edge it no longer needs.

India made a different case that the label does not matter. India argued that most SDT provisions in the WTO covered agreements are imprecise, unenforceable and in the form of ‘best endeavour clauses, noting that though Members can declare themselves as developing, their specific rights and obligations are still subject to negotiations.

India’s stance carries weight. Developing-country status under the WTO is less a fixed label than a flexible negotiating tool that depends on each nation’s economic capacity and trade needs. The law merely requires developed members to avoid demanding reciprocal concessions that exceed those capacities. From this perspective, debates over who “is” a developing country miss the point, the real question is how development needs should be assessed case by case in future negotiations.

The EU’s proposal for a targeted, evidence-based approach to SDT reflects a shift toward practicality, moving away from broad, open-ended exemptions. This approach assumes that SDT was a mechanism designed by developed countries to help or control developing nations within a global trade framework. Yet the balance of advantage has shifted: rather than a gateway to economic liberalization, SDT has become a strategic shield for emerging powers like China, which have used it to expand global market access while limiting exposure to intrusive trade rules. In this light, debates over original intent are secondary to present realities; if China truly gained no advantage from its developing status, it would have little reason to resist mounting pressure to give it up.

Alternatives to Self-Designation

If the era of self-designation is to end, what is to replace it? In its draft decision, the United States proposed that WTO members falling into any of four categories should no longer qualify for SDT: those belonging to or seeking accession to the OECD, members of the G20, countries classified by the World Bank as “high income,” or those accounting for at least 0.5% of global merchandise trade. These are independent disqualifiers; meeting even one would exclude a member from SDT, and the proposal also reserves the right to deny SDT to other developing countries in specific sectors.

The U.S. justified this approach to modernize WTO rules, yet each criterion raises questions. OECD membership is treated as proof of “developed” status, even though this effectively substitutes one form of self-declaration for another. G20 membership is offered with no clear rationale, despite including entities like the EU and the African Union that are not countries. The World Bank’s income classification provides a more objective measure, though its thresholds are arguably arbitrary. The trade volume test, set at 0.5% of global merchandise trade, is equally problematic, as it ignores the nature of exports and unfairly penalizes populous economies such as China.

Critics argue that these criteria are designed to target China, which meets several of them, and to curtail SDT for emerging economies more broadly. China denounced the proposal as relying on “flawed” indicators that exaggerate development levels, while India condemned it as “arbitrary” and “divisive,” suspecting it to be a strategy to phase out SDT altogether.

Two weeks after the U.S. unveiled its proposal, China, India, and several developing nations fired back with a joint statement invoking Thomas Jefferson’s warning that “nothing is more unequal than the equal treatment of unequal people.” They defended self-declaration as the fairest way to define developing-country status, acknowledging economic progress but stressing that indicators like per capita GDP, poverty, undernourishment, agricultural dependence, and energy disparities still justify differential treatment.

What criteria then?

While agreeing with the U.S. that self-declaration should be replaced by objective measures, the U.S. criteria, based largely on membership and size, fall short of true objectivity. A fairer approach would combine measurable indicators like GDP per capita, poverty and undernourishment rates, life expectancy, and the share of high-value trade and services, reflecting real quality of life and economic capacity. Such a multi-factor model would prevent any single metric from being decisive, with disputes over classification settled by the WTO’s dispute resolution system, once, that is, the U.S. agrees to restore the Appellate Body it helped disable.

About the author:

Isa Jeziah Dookie is a multi-jurisdictional lawyer called to the Bars of England & Wales, Trinidad & Tobago, and Ontario, Canada. He carries qualifications in business law and middle-eastern law, and has appeared before various courts and panels in the Caribbean, Canada, and the UK, at the first-instance and appellate levels.

Bridging the Future: Strengthening Economic and Security Ties between Romania and the Kingdom of the Netherlands

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By H.E. Mr. Nicolae Comanescu, Ambassador of Romania to the Kingdom of the Netherlands


In recent years, the diplomatic, economic, and security relationships between Romania and the Kingdom of the Netherlands have witnessed significant growth and development. Rooted in shared values and interests, the bilateral cooperation continues to evolve, reflecting both countries’ commitment to enhancing their partnership in a rapidly changing geopolitical landscape.

Diplomatic Engagements and NATO Cooperation

Building on this strong foundation, this year marks 145 years of diplomatic relations between Romania and the Netherlands, highlighting the enduring partnership between the two countries. Recent high-profile diplomatic engagements, including meetings between the Romanian and Dutch foreign ministers, have reaffirmed their shared commitment to deepening cooperation across political, security, economic, technological, and cultural domains. This interaction was further illustrated by Romania’s active involvement in the NATO Summit held in The Hague in June 2025, where discussions focused on bolstering defense capacities amid the ongoing geopolitical challenges in Eastern Europe. The ongoing war of aggression of the Russian Federation against Ukraine has galvanized both nations to reinforce their commitment to NATO and European security.

Both countries are united in supporting Ukraine against this aggression, firmly believing in the importance of European solidarity and the defense of common values. The NATO Summit in The Hague in June 2025 marked a critical point in enhancing strategic military cooperation, with Romania benefiting from the stationing of NATO battle groups on its territory, further integrating into the collective defense framework.

The bilateral military cooperation has been strengthened through visits and meetings attended by Dutch military officials and their Romanian counterparts. A pivotal agreement emerged during the NATO Summit, with the signing of a Memorandum of Understanding on the expansion of the F-16 Training Center in Romania – highlighting the countries’ joint commitment to improving their defense capabilities.

Economic Collaboration

Beyond security, the economic relationship between Romania and the Netherlands has been flourishing. The Netherlands is one of the largest foreign investors in Romania, accounting for approximately 20% of total foreign direct investments, with a social subscribed and paid-in registered capital of €9.9 billion and more than 25 billion euro total invested capital across various sectors. Over 6,200 Romanian-Dutch joint ventures and a bilateral trade turnover in goods amounted to 9 billion euro in 2024 and around to 10 billion euro expected in 2025, signify the robust economic ties between the two nations. Based on this, Netherlands occupies the 7th place in the ranking of the trade partners of Romania, both on export and import.

In the ever-evolving European landscape, the two countries are currently identifying cooperative projects between their defense industries, leveraging new frameworks supported by the European Commission, such as the Readiness 2030 Plan (ReArm Europe) and the Security Action for Europe (SAFE) Regulation. There is unexploited potential for collaboration within these sectors, and both nations are poised to maximize resources to achieve NATO’s capability targets.

A significant upcoming event, the NATO-Industry Forum set to be held in Bucharest in November 2025, serves to further enhance economic cooperation in the defense sector. This forum will create opportunities for increased engagement between transatlantic defense industries, allowing for extensive bilateral contacts.

Near-Shoring Initiatives

Further cooperation has erupted in the production industry, with Romanian and Dutch companies exploring joint ventures aimed at attracting new orders and relocating manufacturing from Asia. This “near-shoring” policy is particularly relevant in the current global and regional geopolitical and economic climate, and it promises to stimulate local economies while enhancing resilience in supply chains.

Supported by one of the largest pools of IT specialists in Central and Eastern Europe, Romania is emerging as a regional high-tech hub, with recent significant investments from the Netherlands in microchip and R&D projects underscoring the maturity of its tech ecosystem and the growing confidence of international investors.

The agri-food sector attracts strong interest from both sides, as numerous Dutch investors are already active in our country and Romania aiming to enhance the value of its high agricultural potential.

Cultural Ties as a Foundation for Cooperation

Cultural initiatives significantly complement the economic and security cooperation between Romania and the Netherlands. In September 2025, a major exhibition was inaugurated and open to the public at the H-Art Museum in Amsterdam. This exhibition features over 30 sculptures by the renowned Romanian artist Constantin Brâncuși, alongside photographs, drawings, and archival materials, all inspired by Brâncuși’s studio, a space he deemed sacred. The exhibition will remain open to the public until January 20, 2026.

The last retrospective of Brâncuși’s work in the Netherlands was held 50 years ago, and the exhibition is expected to attract over 100,000 visitors, marking a significant cultural milestone. Such cultural exchanges serve to reinforce the deep-rooted ties between the nations, showcasing shared heritage and enhancing mutual understanding.

Summarizing, the relationship between Romania and the Kingdom of the Netherlands is characterized by dynamic cooperation across economic, security, and cultural dimensions. Marking 145 years of diplomatic relations, both nations are committed to strengthening their partnership in addressing current challenges, promoting shared values, and exploring new avenues of growth. As they continue to navigate the complexities of the current geopolitical landscape, the future looks promising for the further deepening of their long-standing and flourishing ties.allenges, promoting shared values, and exploring new avenues of growth. As they continue to navigate the complexities of the current geopolitical landscape, the future looks promising for the flourishing ties between Romania and the Kingdom of the Netherlands.

The Bridge Between Our Nations

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A Conversation with H.E. Mr. Almir Šahović, Ambassador of Bosnia and Herzegovina to the Kingdom of the Netherlands

Diplomat Magazine had the pleasure of meeting H.E. Mr. Almir Šahović, Ambassador of Bosnia and Herzegovina to the Kingdom of the Netherlands and Permanent Representative to the OPCW, for an insightful discussion on the evolving relations between his country and the Netherlands. The Ambassador shared thoughtful reflections on diplomacy, economic cooperation, cultural ties, and Bosnia and Herzegovina’s European aspirations.

Speaking about the current state of relations between the two nations, Ambassador Šahović said:

“The relations between Bosnia and Herzegovina and the Netherlands are very good and friendly. We enjoy strong political and economic ties, and the Netherlands is the seventh most important foreign investor in Bosnia and Herzegovina. We are pleased to see a growing number of Dutch companies interested in working with Bosnia and Herzegovina, as well as Bosnian companies starting to invest in the Netherlands.”

“Another important link between our two countries is the Bosnian and Herzegovinian diaspora. Around 60,000 people from Bosnia and Herzegovina live in the Netherlands. They serve as a true bridge between our nations — real ambassadors of Bosnia and Herzegovina in the Netherlands, and of the Netherlands in Bosnia and Herzegovina.”

When asked about Bosnia and Herzegovina’s progress toward European integration, Ambassador Šahović reaffirmed that EU membership remains the country’s highest foreign policy goal.

“EU accession is the highest priority of Bosnia and Herzegovina’s foreign policy. In this context, we highly appreciate the Netherlands’ support for our European path. We are aware that the traditional Dutch approach to EU enlargement is summarized by the principle ‘strict but fair,’ and that the Netherlands sometimes places greater emphasis on the full implementation of conditions required from candidate countries than some other EU partners.

All the more, we are pleased that the Netherlands has recognized Bosnia and Herzegovina’s strong commitment to its European future. Over the past four years, we succeeded in securing Dutch support for the EU’s decision to grant Bosnia and Herzegovina candidate status, as well as for the opening of accession negotiations with our country.”

On the topic of EU-level initiatives such as border security and institutional capacity building, the Ambassador stressed Bosnia and Herzegovina’s alignment with Dutch and EU efforts:

“We strongly support the Netherlands’ participation in EU-level initiatives such as border security cooperation and institutional capacity building. These initiatives are crucial not only for EU member states but also for candidate countries, as they help strengthen overall regional stability and preparedness for eventual EU membership.”

Looking toward the future, Ambassador Šahović noted several promising areas for bilateral cooperation, highlighting culture as a growing field of exchange:

“In general, I believe there is still much potential to further intensify cooperation between Bosnia and Herzegovina and the Netherlands — not only in politics and the economy, but also in the field of culture. A good example of this was the exhibition of the artwork Bird of Peace by the renowned Bosnian artist Mirza Morić, which was displayed in front of The Hague City Hall last summer. It demonstrated the great potential for cultural collaboration between our two countries.”

When discussing people-to-people connections, Ambassador Šahović underlined their importance for lasting understanding:

“People-to-people connections are essential for building understanding and practical cooperation between our two countries. As Ambassador, I strive to encourage such activities by visiting various Dutch cities and institutions. We have established particularly strong cooperation between Sarajevo and The Hague, especially involving young people.

I have also visited Maastricht, Arnhem, Nijmegen, and Groningen to promote local-level cooperation. In addition, I regularly give lectures on Bosnia and Herzegovina at different Dutch universities, helping to deepen academic and cultural ties between our nations.”

He also referred to the shared remembrance of the Srebrenica Genocide as a deeply meaningful component of bilateral understanding:

“In close cooperation with the Association of Survivors of the Srebrenica Genocide, as well as with the City of The Hague and several other cities and universities — particularly Utrecht University — we regularly organize and participate in various activities aimed at preserving the memory of and honoring the victims of the Srebrenica Genocide.

The Srebrenica Genocide forms part of our shared Bosnia and Herzegovina–Dutch history and our common memory.”

Reflecting on his tenure of more than four years in the Netherlands, the Ambassador shared highlights of his diplomatic achievements:

“Having served for over four years as Ambassador of Bosnia and Herzegovina to the Netherlands and Permanent Representative to the OPCW, I am proud of the results we have achieved.

Among other accomplishments, we successfully organized two official presidential visits from Bosnia and Herzegovina. As I mentioned earlier, we also secured Dutch support for the EU’s decision to grant Bosnia and Herzegovina candidate status and to open accession negotiations.

Furthermore, Bosnia and Herzegovina was, for the first time, elected as a member of the Bureau of the International Criminal Court.

I also had the honor of being elected Chairperson of the 29th Conference of the States Parties to the OPCW and was entrusted by the OPCW Member States to chair the Open-Ended Working Group on the implementation of rules governing the election of members of the Executive Council.”

Ambassador Šahović’s words reflect a vision of partnership built on dialogue, shared values, and human connection. The bridge between Bosnia and Herzegovina and the Netherlands — strengthened by trade, culture, and the dynamic Bosnian community — continues to stand as an attribute of friendship, cooperation, and mutual respect.

How the BCE Doctrine Can Benefit China in Great Power Relations

By Mr. Kung Chan, founder of ANBOUND Think Tank

Great power relations typically refer to the relations between nations within the international system that wield significant influence, such as the United States, China, Russia, and the European Union. These relations, shaped by their interactions, ultimately determine the direction of the global order. In the context of de-globalization, great power relations have come to represent the dominant power structure of the current era. In contrast, multilateral partnerships, such as U.S.-EU relations and the transatlantic alliance, are also important. However, de-globalization has undermined these multilateral frameworks, particularly as they are in direct opposition to the principles of Trumpism and the stance of American conservatives, particularly the “America First” doctrine. This ideological shift exposes a clear contradiction in U.S. foreign policy.

At its core, Trumpism is not concerned with multilateral institutions like the transatlantic partnership but rather focuses on strengthening bilateral relations among great powers. This focus helps explain why Trump consistently sought to maintain favorable relations with Russia and, despite various challenges, advanced ties with China. Some observers may highlight Trump’s recent visit to the United Kingdom, but in reality, this was more about his desire for global recognition and status, and indeed a sort of “monarchical mindset”. Trump aimed to elevate himself on the world stage, seeking recognition not from multilateral organizations but from powerful nations with traditional significance, like the U.K. However, his visit could not resolve the deeper ideological rifts between the liberal and conservative factions within the Anglo-American relationship. As noted by King Charles III during a banquet, Trump’s stances on issues such as aid to Ukraine, immigration, and environmental concerns were sharply criticized. Nevertheless, in the context of Trump’s broader worldview, these issues remain secondary. The British, of course, are well aware of this tendency.

For China, navigating the evolving landscape of great power relations requires a thoughtful and strategic approach. From a geopolitical perspective, the new international relations theory called “Balance, Cooperation, Existence” (BCE) could serve as both a guiding framework and a strategic approach for it to interact with other great powers.

The “Balance” component emphasizes the need for interdependence and mutual benefits in areas such as trade, industry, and regional interests. This requires both give-and-take, ensuring that all parties stand to gain. The “Cooperation” aspect stresses the importance of regional collaboration as a foundation for broader cooperation on specific issues. Crucially, cooperation is the key to maintaining peace and facilitating competition without leading to total breakdowns in great power relations. Finally, “Existence” underscores the importance of maintaining sovereignty and independence by avoiding entangling alliances that could compromise a nation’s interests. It advocates for China to safeguard its national interests while maintaining its stature as a key player on the global stage.

The BCE theory should form the foundation of China’s approach to future great power relations. In this framework, China should present BCE as a conceptual model for international understanding, representing a geopolitical philosophy grounded in existential principles. This approach focuses on balance rather than confrontation, cooperation over isolation, and independence rather than aggression. In a world marked by ongoing tensions, China’s adoption of the BCE framework will enhance its international standing, making it a respected and recognized global force. The key to achieving this status lies in the world’s recognition of China’s legitimate place in global affairs and a willingness to engage in dialogue based on balance and cooperation.

Great power relations are inherently complex and delicate, especially for emerging powers like China. In seeking a prominent role on the global stage, it is essential for China to draw upon historical lessons, one of the most important being the need to avoid overextending. While strategic competitions are integral to great power relations, they do not necessitate all-out confrontation. Overexertion or seeking to decisively defeat rivals in a single blow is neither a sustainable nor appropriate approach in great power relations and is counterproductive to the BCE framework.

In its dealings with the global community, China will need to adopt a diplomatic language that resonates universally, clearly articulating its national position and aspirations. Only through this approach can China truly enter the realm of great power relations and assert itself as a pivotal player in shaping the global order.

Sanae Takaichi’s Ascent: Implications for Japan’s Domestic Politics and Regional Strategy

By Kung Chan, ANBOUND’s founder, and Zhou Chao, Research Fellow for Geopolitical Strategy programme at ANBOUND. 

On October 4, 2025, Japan experienced a historic political milestone with the election of Sanae Takaichi as President of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP). Now Japan’s first female Prime Minister, her rise marks a watershed moment in the country’s political history.

Takaichi has long been identified as a hardline conservative. Often compared to U.S. President Donald Trump, she has been dubbed “Japan’s Trump” for her unapologetically nationalist stance and populist overtones.

A close political ally of the late Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, Takaichi rose to prominence during his administration and was widely seen as a key figure within Japan’s conservative bloc. Following Abe’s assassination, she positioned herself as the ideological successor to his legacy, consolidating support across LDP factions. Her political agenda is firmly anchored in the far-right spectrum. She supports the continuation of “Abenomics,” advocating large-scale public spending and ultra-loose monetary policy. On constitutional reform, she seeks to revise Article 9 to formally recognize the Self-Defense Forces and insists on maintaining a patrilineal imperial succession, opposing the notion of a reigning empress. Her views on history and foreign policy are marked by revisionism, including denial of Japan’s wartime aggression, a staunchly pro-American orientation, vocal criticism of China, and a generally exclusionary stance toward immigration.

In the wake of her election, many observers anticipate that Takaichi will actively pursue the full implementation of her policy platform, effectively translating Abe’s ideological legacy into institutional form. While Takaichi’s leadership may introduce greater uncertainty into the Japan-China relationship, her policy choices will be shaped by significant structural constraints. A more meaningful shift may lie in Japan’s foreign policy trajectory toward an “Asian rebalancing”.

U.S.-Japan Relations: Strategic Priorities and Constraints

Managing relations with the United States will likely remain Takaichi’s foremost foreign policy priority. Japan’s strategic imperative is to safeguard its national security while expanding its economic and technological interests. This involves maintaining the security umbrella provided by the U.S.-Japan alliance, while seeking greater autonomy in diplomatic and economic affairs.

Takaichi is expected to pursue a stance that is firm yet strategically flexible. Rather than provoking open conflict with Washington, she may favor institutionalized, phased negotiations to manage differences on contentious issues such as defense cost-sharing, high-tech export controls, supply chain restructuring, and market access. Her likely approach would involve segmenting complex negotiations into smaller, manageable parts, leveraging public opinion and parliamentary dynamics to expand her room for maneuver.

Key constraints will include the unpredictability of U.S. domestic politics, especially the potential return of Trump-style leadership, and Japanese domestic concerns about over-dependence or excessive alignment with U.S. interests. Indicators of this policy direction may include the frequency of economic issues in bilateral talks, the public framing of defense negotiations, and the scope of reciprocal access gained in high-tech sectors.

Defense Policy: Between Deterrence and Industrial Strategy

Japan’s recent efforts to modernize and expand its defense capabilities are likely to continue under Takaichi, driven by both security concerns and industrial policy goals. Her administration may pursue multi-year defense budget commitments to reduce political friction, integrate defense procurement with industrial subsidies to localize supply chains, and promote civil-military fusion to boost high-tech industries such as semiconductors and artificial intelligence.

Key priorities may include enhancing anti-access/area-denial (A2/AD) capabilities, improving maritime and aerial intelligence systems, and strengthening reserve mobilization. She may also move to ease restrictions on arms exports, enabling greater production scale and international collaboration.

Nevertheless, significant constraints remain. Constitutional limitations, Japan’s pacifist postwar identity, fiscal sustainability, and reliance on foreign suppliers all pose barriers. The trajectory of defense policy under her leadership will likely be gradual, marked by institutional safeguards. Observables include trends in the defense budget, domestic procurement ratios, and approved arms export cases.

Taiwan Policy: Symbolism Versus Strategic Restraint

Takaichi’s longstanding pro-Taiwan stance does not necessarily portend direct confrontation with Mainland China. A more pragmatic approach may involve deepening non-military support, such as trade, civil exchanges, technological cooperation, and intelligence-sharing, while maintaining strategic ambiguity on military matters. This would allow Japan to demonstrate solidarity without crossing red lines.

Constraints here are formidable: economic retaliation from China, domestic opposition to military entanglement, and the delicate balance of alliance commitments and regional stability. Indicators to monitor include changes in exchange policies, levels of parliamentary engagement, and the nature of Japan’s involvement in crisis scenarios.

Domestic Politics and Political Longevity

Takaichi’s political survival will hinge not solely on her ideological commitments but on her capacity to deliver economic results while balancing domestic and international agendas. If she can unify the LDP through pragmatic policies that generate tangible outcomes, such as job creation, regional development, and fiscal revitalization, her tenure may well outlast Japan’s recent trend of short-lived prime ministers.

Conversely, an excessively hardline stance on controversial issues, without economic payoff, could alienate voters and provoke internal party divisions. Her likely strategy will be to incrementally advance key policies while keeping options open for retreat on high-risk issues. Variables to watch include intra-party dynamics, voting cohesion in the Diet, approval ratings, and local election results.

Japan-China Relations: Contradictions and Calculated Engagement

Takaichi’s policy stance reflects a predictable dual logic: assertiveness when domestic or alliance politics require it, and pragmatism when economic interests are at stake. China would be wise not to dismiss her as merely another hardliner. Instead, it should seek institutionalized, interest-based engagement, focusing on dialogue, technological cooperation, and shared regional challenges like climate change and economic resilience.

Yet underlying tensions, particularly historical grievances and territorial disputes, will continue to cloud the relationship. Indicators of future direction include the frequency and tenor of high-level exchanges, continuity in joint economic projects, and alignment in multilateral forums.

Toward an “Asian Rebalancing”?

Japan may increasingly pursue a recalibrated foreign policy that reduces excessive reliance on any one power and enhances its regional autonomy. This “Asian Rebalancing” does not imply a rejection of the U.S. alliance, but rather a gradual shift toward diversified diplomatic and economic engagement across Asia.

Takaichi may view regional cooperation, as with ASEAN and even China, as a way to hedge against uncertainty and assert Japan’s independent role in regional architecture. Areas of potential engagement include infrastructure, energy, climate, and technology. The extent to which this rebalancing progresses will depend on U.S. expectations, domestic political flexibility, and the broader evolution of U.S.-China competition.

Economic Focus: Abenomics Revisited

Finally, economic policy is expected to be Takaichi’s initial priority. Her first major move may be to devalue the yen, i.e., reviving the logic of Abenomics by making Japanese exports more competitive and stimulating a stock market rally. This approach, like Trump’s early economic moves, may prioritize visible, immediate impacts over complex geopolitical recalibration. It could generate short-term corporate gains and popular support, providing political capital for her broader agenda.

France’s Candidate to the ICJ: Ambassador François Alabrune on Law, Diplomacy, and the Pursuit of Justice

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The Ambassador of France to the Kingdom of the Netherlands, H.E. Mr. François Alabrune, recently spoke with Diplomat Magazine about his nomination as France’s candidate for the International Court of Justice (ICJ). In a thoughtful and engaging conversation, the seasoned diplomat reflected on the challenges facing international law, the ICJ’s evolving role, and his lifelong vocation of service to justice and diplomacy.

Ambassador Alabrune, whose distinguished career spans over three decades, is widely recognized for his legal expertise and commitment to the principles that underpin the international legal order. His candidacy for the ICJ, he explained, represents both a personal honour and a natural continuation of a career dedicated to the service of law and peace.

“I accepted the nomination as a candidate for the International Court of Justice both as an honour and as the outcome of a lifelong commitment to serving international law,” he said. “My vocation in this field took shape early in my career, having been trained by mentors with experience as judges at the ICJ, such as Gilbert Guillaume and Ronny Abraham.” “Throughout my legal and diplomatic career, I have witnessed how law contributes to peace. If elected, I would be honoured to place this experience at the service of the Court, with the aim of maintaining and strengthening its role. I will be eager to work to promote the values that underpin its legitimacy – in particular impartiality and the diversity of legal traditions – in the service of the international community.”

Reflecting on the relevance of the Court today, Ambassador Alabrune acknowledged that the international legal system is being tested by a rapidly changing global environment.

“International law is today facing challenges, in particular to its universality and the risk of a weakening of multilateralism,” he observed. “The issues brought before the Court are increasingly complex, intertwining legal, environmental, economic, and technological dimensions.”

Nevertheless, he remains confident in the ICJ’s role as a pillar of stability and legitimacy in international relations.

“Through the quality, coherence, and independence of its jurisprudence, the ICJ demonstrates that law remains the essential framework for relations between States,” he added. “By maintaining close dialogue with other international courts and UN bodies, the Court strengthens the coherence and credibility of the international legal order.”

Ambassador Alabrune’s long experience in The Hague has given him a unique vantage point on the delicate balance between law and diplomacy.

“For more than twenty years as a legal adviser and jurisconsult, I have applied international law in politically sensitive contexts,” he said. “Law is never exercised in the abstract—it must be interpreted with rigour, while taking into account the diplomatic realities that shape its implementation.” he said. “Serving as an ambassador in The Hague offers the privilege of daily dialogue with the actors of the International Court of Justice and many other actors within the multilateral system. This proximity has given me a practical understanding of how law and diplomacy interact: law sets the rules, while diplomacy creates the conditions for their elaboration and implementation.

France’s longstanding dedication to international law also finds continuity in his candidacy.

“France’s commitment to international law is reflected in its active participation in the negotiation and promotion of numerous treaties, as well as in proceedings before international courts,” he noted. “My candidacy reflects this commitment to the promotion and respect of international law, drawing on my experience, particularly as the Legal Adviser of France and later as Ambassador to the Netherlands.”

Looking toward the future, Ambassador Alabrune emphasized the moral imperative of upholding justice at a time of global uncertainty.

“In the current international context, marked by existential questions for Humanity, the need for justice is paramount,” he said. “Today, more than ever, it is essential to demonstrate determination and courage to uphold the rule of law. The growing engagement of the international community in the proceedings before the ICJ offers hope. The work of the Court deserves the support of us all.”

As France’s candidate to the International Court of Justice, Ambassador François Alabrune embodies a vision of international law rooted in principle, inclusion, and service to the common good—a vision that resonates deeply in The Hague, the city of peace and justice.

GAFG Essay Competition

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The 2025 Technology, Mind & Health Essay Competition is open to students and young thinkers to write about balancing technology and mental well-being. Submissions are due November 16, 2025, and should be sent to info@balkanyouthcooperation.com. The competition is organized by the Global Academy of Future Governance (GAFG) and the Balkan Youth Co-operation (BYC).