By Steven van Hoogstraten
The annual gathering of business and political leaders in Davos was more than in other years a spectacle and not so easy to forget. The larger than life presence of the president of the USA explained this to a high degree. His territorial claim on the coasts and the minerals of Danish Groenland, vital for the US security infrastructure, provided a focus like never before. With that background, Davos was no longer the scene of business leaders trying to contribute to a new and sustainable world order, but rather political leaders witnessing the world legal order – the rules-based society – on a downswing path.
From the various speeches some were more than a bit noteworthy in the context of the tense international relations in the Western Hemisphere. These government leaders depicted the situation of the moment in a colourful and urgent way. The French President Macron managed to get a lot of attention, with his stern words in defense of multilateralism and European cooperation – slow and predictable. Meanwhile, his plea for European economic sovereignty sounds familiar. He showed his deep concern for a world order based on the law of the strongest: “nous basculons vers un monde sans règles ou le droit international est piétiné et où la loi du plus fort tend a s’imposer”. Macron’s presence was underscored by his typical pilot style sunglasses, which he needed for some eye trouble and which were the talk of the town.
Most impressive was without a doubt the contribution by Canadian Prime minister Mark Carney who received a standing ovation after he finished his speech. Carney spoke about “a rupture, not a transition of the world order”, originating in the great powers that do not play to the rules based international society. That international legal order – in his view – no longer exists. “It is the end of a nice story and the beginning of a brutal reality where geopolitics among the great powers is not subject to any constraints”. We played along, Carney said, but we knew it was not true, and even partly false. We are a middle power. The rules do no longer protect us. “The great powers do whatever they like” said the Canadian Prime Minister in a convincing matter-of-fact way. He called for cooperation between the middle and smaller nations: ”Strategic autonomy for middle powers can be shared , starting from a value based sovereignty”. Great powers can go it alone , middle powers should reduce their vulnerability by working together. In this connection he stated that Canada is stable and reliable with a strong economy and internal governance. “The old order is not coming back”, he emphasized, “we have to take back the sign out of the window, we simply do not believe it anymore”:
“But I also submit to you that other countries particularly middle powers like Canada, are not powerless. They have the capacity to build a new order that embodies our values, like respect for human rights, sustainable development, solidarity, sovereignty and territorial integrity of states”. It seems that every day we are reminded that we live in an era of great power rivalry. That the rules-based order is fading. Canada encourages small and middle powers to adapt as they face a rupture in global systems. Our new approach rests on what Alexander Stubb (prime minister of Finland) has termed “value-based realism”, or to put it in another way, we aim to be both principled and pragmatic. Principled is our commitment to fundamental values, the prohibition of the use of force except when consistent with the UN Charter and respect for human rights. “So stop invoking the rules based international order as though it still functions as advertised … Call it what it is: a system of intensifying great power rivalry where the most powerful pursue their interest using economic integration as a weapon of coercion”.
He continued: “We know the old order is not coming back, we should not mourn it. Nostalgia is not a strategy”. The powerful have their power, we have something too – the capacity to stop pretending, to name reality, to build our strength at home and to act together”.
Profiles in courage
When I made a trip in the USA during the period I was still a civil servant for the Dutch government (mid-80’s) I came across a small booklet written by Senator John F. Kennedy, even before his presidency of the USA. This booklet is called Profiles in Courage (1956) and it is about different landmark speeches made by American leaders, speeches which somehow changed the prevailing perspective of the time. In it, for instance, the call by Senator Lucius Laman from Mississippi aimed at the reconciliation of North and South, shortly after the end of the devastating Civil War in the US (1865). This speech of Mark Carney in Davos would have deserved a place in the book if it was written today, because it demands nothing less than personal courage and conviction to speak in this way about – inter alia – your big and powerful neighbour to the south, without citing the name of that neighbour once.
On the qualification of a rupture of the world order itself, I would like to remind us that the UN is depositary to some 560 international treaties, and that the UN may be going through a difficult time but it is still functioning in many respects. So after all, “rupture” is a strong term, which maybe has more of a political than a juridical meaning. Yet it was a great and impressive speech which left more than a significant mark.
It rang a bell.












